This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.23
1.38
0.92
1.08
1.54
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.30
1.56
1.11
1.09
1.45
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
2-2 ✓
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
FC Sion goals ↓
Servette FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
7.9%
7.5%
4.2%
1.7%
1
5.7%
12%
9.4%
5.2%
2.2%
2
4.2%
7.1%
5.9%
3.2%
1.4%
3
1.8%
2.9%
2.4%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Sion goals (down), columns = Servette FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.06
Servette FC
1.61
FC Lugano
1.58
FC Luzern
1.39
FC Basel 1893
1.31
FC ST. Gallen
1.25
Grasshoppers
1.22
FC Zurich
1.22
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion
0.82
FC Sion is 0.80 points worse than Servette FC in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.28
FC ST. Gallen
1.83
FC Lugano
1.64
Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Luzern
1.50
Servette FC
1.47
FC Basel 1893
1.42
FC Zurich
1.14
FC Sion
1.13
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion is 0.34 goals worse than Servette FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.83
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.00
Servette FC
1.28
FC Lugano
1.31
FC Basel 1893
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.44
FC Luzern
1.44
FC Zurich
1.53
Grasshoppers
1.78
FC Winterthur
1.83
FC Sion
2.08
FC Sion is 0.80 goals worse than Servette FC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.08 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
57%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Basel 1893
54%
FC ST. Gallen
53%
Servette FC
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC Zurich
48%
FC Sion
48%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
41%
FC Sion is 2.2 percentage points worse than Servette FC in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Sion
For 3.3 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Servette FC
For 6.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Sion
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (26)
10.7
9.9
11.5
5.8
6.2
5.4
24.4
26.4
22.5
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
10.0
11.5
4.0
5.0
3.5
22.7
24.0
22.0
vs Similar (20)
10.4
9.5
11.4
6.2
6.4
6.1
24.9
27.1
22.2
vs Weaker (3)
12.3
14.0
11.5
4.7
6.0
4.0
23.0
21.0
24.0
% over line
62%
54%
69%
77%
92%
62%
73%
85%
62%
% under line
38%
46%
31%
23%
8%
38%
27%
15%
38%
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (26)
10.4
9.8
11.1
5.3
6.0
4.7
20.5
22.0
19.0
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
9.5
5.0
5.0
5.5
4.0
20.3
22.0
17.0
vs Similar (20)
10.2
9.1
11.2
5.5
6.1
5.0
21.2
23.9
19.1
vs Weaker (3)
14.0
13.0
16.0
4.7
6.0
2.0
15.7
13.5
20.0
% over line
65%
54%
77%
85%
92%
77%
42%
54%
31%
% under line
35%
46%
23%
15%
8%
23%
58%
46%
69%
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Grasshoppers
11.8
FC Luzern
11.3
FC Basel 1893
10.8
FC Sion
10.7
Servette FC
10.4
FC ST. Gallen
10.3
BSC Young Boys
10.1
FC Winterthur
9.8
FC Zurich
9.7
FC Lugano
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
FC Zurich
5.9
FC Sion
5.8
FC Basel 1893
5.8
FC Luzern
5.7
FC Lugano
5.6
Servette FC
5.3
FC Winterthur
5.2
Grasshoppers
5.1
BSC Young Boys
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Lugano
25.6
Grasshoppers
24.9
FC Zurich
24.6
FC Sion
24.4
BSC Young Boys
24.3
FC Luzern
24.1
FC ST. Gallen
23.8
FC Basel 1893
23.6
FC Winterthur
23.0
Servette FC
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.0%
Under 9.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.6%
Under 3.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.9%
Under 21.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Sion
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
1.00
0.54
1.08
0.38
0.92
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.95
0.55
1.00
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
42% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.38
0.85
0.31
0.23
0.46
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.40
1.11
0.33
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
65% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Sion
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.92
0.46
1.08
1.08
0.77
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.90
0.55
1.00
1.33
0.78
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
38% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
0.85
0.54
0.62
0.85
1.08
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.90
0.44
0.78
0.82
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
38% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Sion
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mario Balotelli33%
Giovanni Sio33%
Filip Stojilković28%
Wylan Cyprien17%
Yassin Fortune14%
Itaitinga11%
Anto Grgić6%
Musa Araz6%
Luca Zuffi5%
Dimitri Cavaré4%
Joel Schmied4%
Kevin Bua4%
Denis Will Poha3%
Ylyas Chouaref3%
François Moubandje0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Kevin Fickentscher0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Baltazar0%
Gaetan Karlen0%
Heinz Lindner0%
Dennis Iapichino0%
Reto Ziegler0%
Alexandros Safarikas0%
Kevin Halabaku0%
Abdel Rachid Zagré0%
Gora Diouf0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario Balotelli50%
Baltazar35%
Wylan Cyprien33%
Numa Lavanchy33%
Gora Diouf33%
Musa Araz29%
Reto Ziegler27%
François Moubandje25%
Giovanni Sio22%
Gaetan Karlen21%
Dimitri Cavaré21%
Anto Grgić19%
Denis Will Poha17%
Joel Schmied17%
Filip Stojilković17%
Abdel Rachid Zagré17%
Nathanaël Saintini15%
Kevin Bua14%
Yassin Fortune14%
Ylyas Chouaref9%
Itaitinga7%
Dennis Iapichino7%
Luca Zuffi5%
Kevin Halabaku5%
Heinz Lindner4%
Kevin Fickentscher0%
Alexandros Safarikas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reto Ziegler20%
Kevin Bua11%
Numa Lavanchy9%
Itaitinga7%
Denis Will Poha7%
Dennis Iapichino7%
Anto Grgić6%
Musa Araz6%
Filip Stojilković6%
Luca Zuffi5%
Kevin Halabaku5%
Dimitri Cavaré4%
Baltazar4%
Nathanaël Saintini4%
Mario Balotelli0%
Ylyas Chouaref0%
François Moubandje0%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Kevin Fickentscher0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Gaetan Karlen0%
Heinz Lindner0%
Joel Schmied0%
Giovanni Sio0%
Alexandros Safarikas0%
Abdel Rachid Zagré0%
Gora Diouf0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
François Moubandje25%
Mario Balotelli22%
Itaitinga21%
Filip Stojilković17%
Giovanni Sio15%
Anto Grgić6%
Ylyas Chouaref6%
Wylan Cyprien6%
Denis Will Poha3%
Musa Araz3%
Dimitri Cavaré0%
Kevin Bua0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Kevin Fickentscher0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Baltazar0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Gaetan Karlen0%
Heinz Lindner0%
Dennis Iapichino0%
Joel Schmied0%
Reto Ziegler0%
Alexandros Safarikas0%
Kevin Halabaku0%
Abdel Rachid Zagré0%
Gora Diouf0%
Servette FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Bedia39%
Miroslav Stevanović23%
Enzo Crivelli21%
Hussayn Touati18%
Patrick Pflücke17%
Theo Valls12%
Dereck Kutesa10%
Moritz Bauer10%
Boubacar Fofana9%
Yoan Severin7%
Alexis Antunes7%
Timothé Cognat6%
David Douline6%
Steve Rouiller5%
Ronny Rodelin4%
Gaël Clichy4%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Anthony Baron0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Samba Diba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Douline39%
Diogo Monteiro33%
Boris Cespedes29%
Moussa Diallo27%
Dimitri Oberlin25%
Kevin Mbabu19%
Steve Rouiller18%
Timothé Cognat18%
Chris Bedia17%
Enzo Crivelli16%
Gaël Clichy15%
Alexis Antunes14%
Samba Diba13%
Nicolas Vouilloz13%
Théo Magnin12%
Dereck Kutesa10%
Moritz Bauer10%
Hussayn Touati9%
Miroslav Stevanović9%
Ronny Rodelin8%
Patrick Pflücke8%
Theo Valls8%
Yoan Severin4%
Jeremy Frick3%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Anthony Baron0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dereck Kutesa21%
Kevin Mbabu19%
Anthony Baron18%
Miroslav Stevanović17%
Samba Diba13%
Timothé Cognat12%
Hussayn Touati9%
Chris Bedia9%
Ronny Rodelin8%
Theo Valls8%
Patrick Pflücke6%
Enzo Crivelli5%
Boubacar Fofana5%
Gaël Clichy4%
Alexis Antunes4%
Jeremy Frick3%
Moritz Bauer0%
David Douline0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Yoan Severin0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Bedia26%
Patrick Pflücke19%
Miroslav Stevanović11%
Enzo Crivelli11%
Boubacar Fofana9%
Dereck Kutesa7%
Ronny Rodelin4%
Yoan Severin4%
Timothé Cognat3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Moritz Bauer0%
Theo Valls0%
Anthony Baron0%
David Douline0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Alexis Antunes0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Gaël Clichy0%
Hussayn Touati0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Samba Diba0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FC Sion's squad is €8m more valuable than Servette FC's (€30m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Sion's attack is €8m more valuable than Servette FC's (€15m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
FC Sion's midfield is €1m less valuable than Servette FC's (€6m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Sion's defence is €1m more valuable than Servette FC's (€9m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
FC Zurich
FC Winterthur
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy