This opponent (Servette FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.40
1.69
0.81
1.36
2.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
4.50
vs Similar (23)
1.70
1.30
1.92
0.92
1.45
1.73
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.9%
Under 2.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.5%
Under 3.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-1 ✓
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.4%
FC Winterthur goals ↓
Servette FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
7.3%
7.1%
4.0%
1.7%
1
5.4%
12%
9.3%
5.3%
2.2%
2
4.2%
7.2%
6.1%
3.5%
1.5%
3
1.8%
3.1%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Winterthur goals (down), columns = Servette FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.06
Servette FC
1.61
FC Lugano
1.58
FC Luzern
1.39
FC Basel 1893
1.31
FC ST. Gallen
1.25
Grasshoppers
1.22
FC Zurich
1.22
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion
0.82
FC Winterthur is 0.72 points worse than Servette FC in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.28
FC ST. Gallen
1.83
FC Lugano
1.64
Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Luzern
1.50
Servette FC
1.47
FC Basel 1893
1.42
FC Zurich
1.14
FC Sion
1.13
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Winterthur is 0.58 goals worse than Servette FC in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.83
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.00
Servette FC
1.28
FC Lugano
1.31
FC Basel 1893
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.44
FC Luzern
1.44
FC Zurich
1.53
Grasshoppers
1.78
FC Winterthur
1.83
FC Sion
2.08
FC Winterthur is 0.56 goals worse than Servette FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
57%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Basel 1893
54%
FC ST. Gallen
53%
Servette FC
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC Zurich
48%
FC Sion
48%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
41%
FC Winterthur is 8.7 percentage points worse than Servette FC in terms of average possession (41% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Winterthur
For 3.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Servette FC
For 6.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 9.5 · Total 18.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Winterthur
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
9.7
9.8
9.6
5.2
4.6
5.8
23.1
23.3
22.9
vs Stronger (29)
9.5
9.5
9.6
5.2
4.3
6.1
23.0
23.4
22.7
vs Similar (4)
10.8
12.0
9.5
5.5
7.0
4.0
24.0
23.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
40%
47%
76%
69%
82%
69%
80%
59%
% under line
56%
60%
53%
24%
31%
18%
31%
20%
41%
This opponent (Servette FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
10.6
10.4
10.8
4.9
5.3
4.5
20.0
21.0
18.9
vs Stronger (4)
7.8
9.5
6.0
4.5
5.5
3.5
19.2
22.0
16.5
vs Similar (26)
10.6
10.2
11.1
5.0
5.2
4.8
20.6
22.0
19.2
vs Weaker (3)
14.0
13.0
16.0
4.7
6.0
2.0
15.7
13.5
20.0
% over line
67%
65%
69%
73%
76%
69%
36%
47%
25%
% under line
33%
35%
31%
27%
24%
31%
64%
53%
75%
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Grasshoppers
11.7
FC Luzern
11.2
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Sion
10.8
FC Basel 1893
10.7
Servette FC
10.6
BSC Young Boys
10.3
FC Zurich
9.8
FC Winterthur
9.7
FC Lugano
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Sion
6.0
FC Zurich
5.9
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
FC Basel 1893
5.7
FC Luzern
5.7
FC Lugano
5.6
FC Winterthur
5.4
Grasshoppers
4.9
Servette FC
4.9
BSC Young Boys
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Lugano
24.9
FC Zurich
24.8
FC Luzern
24.7
FC Basel 1893
24.6
Grasshoppers
24.5
FC ST. Gallen
23.9
FC Sion
23.9
BSC Young Boys
23.8
FC Winterthur
23.1
Servette FC
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.2%
Under 3.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.8%
Under 21.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Winterthur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.43
0.79
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (26)
0.65
0.96
0.50
0.75
0.79
1.14
vs Similar (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
1.00
0.31
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.43
1.25
0.33
0.45
0.55
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Winterthur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.83
0.50
0.93
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (26)
0.35
0.85
0.42
1.08
0.29
0.64
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.69
0.50
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.87
0.67
0.58
1.00
1.18
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Winterthur
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joaquín Ardaiz31%
Roman Buess18%
Samir Ramizi17%
Matteo Di Giusto15%
Stephan Seiler14%
Nishan Burkart12%
Noe Holenstein12%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez9%
Florian Kamberi8%
Sayfallah Ltaief7%
Samuel Ballet5%
Hekuran Kryeziu0%
Markus Kuster0%
Neftali Manzambi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Michael Gonçalves0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samir Ramizi42%
Remo Arnold30%
Stephan Seiler29%
Granit Lekaj27%
Sayfallah Ltaief27%
Samuel Ballet26%
Michael Gonçalves24%
Roy Gelmi23%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez18%
Timothy Fayulu18%
Souleymane Diaby17%
Florian Kamberi15%
Thibault Corbaz15%
Eris Abedini15%
Hekuran Kryeziu13%
Adrian Gantenbein13%
Yannick Schmid12%
Nishan Burkart12%
Noe Holenstein12%
Roman Buess12%
Tobias Schättin8%
Matteo Di Giusto6%
Neftali Manzambi6%
Markus Kuster0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joaquín Ardaiz19%
Neftali Manzambi11%
Hekuran Kryeziu9%
Adrian Gantenbein9%
Thibault Corbaz8%
Roman Buess6%
Matteo Di Giusto6%
Nishan Burkart4%
Michael Gonçalves4%
Souleymane Diaby3%
Markus Kuster0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Samir Ramizi0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Noe Holenstein0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joaquín Ardaiz12%
Matteo Di Giusto9%
Sayfallah Ltaief7%
Roman Buess6%
Hekuran Kryeziu0%
Markus Kuster0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Neftali Manzambi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Samir Ramizi0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Michael Gonçalves0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Nishan Burkart0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Noe Holenstein0%
Servette FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Bedia39%
Miroslav Stevanović23%
Enzo Crivelli21%
Hussayn Touati18%
Patrick Pflücke17%
Theo Valls12%
Dereck Kutesa10%
Moritz Bauer10%
Boubacar Fofana9%
Yoan Severin7%
Alexis Antunes7%
Timothé Cognat6%
David Douline6%
Steve Rouiller5%
Ronny Rodelin4%
Gaël Clichy4%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Anthony Baron0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Samba Diba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Douline39%
Diogo Monteiro33%
Boris Cespedes29%
Moussa Diallo27%
Dimitri Oberlin25%
Kevin Mbabu19%
Steve Rouiller18%
Timothé Cognat18%
Chris Bedia17%
Enzo Crivelli16%
Gaël Clichy15%
Alexis Antunes14%
Samba Diba13%
Nicolas Vouilloz13%
Théo Magnin12%
Dereck Kutesa10%
Moritz Bauer10%
Hussayn Touati9%
Miroslav Stevanović9%
Ronny Rodelin8%
Patrick Pflücke8%
Theo Valls8%
Yoan Severin4%
Jeremy Frick3%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Anthony Baron0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dereck Kutesa21%
Kevin Mbabu19%
Anthony Baron18%
Miroslav Stevanović17%
Samba Diba13%
Timothé Cognat12%
Hussayn Touati9%
Chris Bedia9%
Ronny Rodelin8%
Theo Valls8%
Patrick Pflücke6%
Enzo Crivelli5%
Boubacar Fofana5%
Gaël Clichy4%
Alexis Antunes4%
Jeremy Frick3%
Moritz Bauer0%
David Douline0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Yoan Severin0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Bedia26%
Patrick Pflücke19%
Miroslav Stevanović11%
Enzo Crivelli11%
Boubacar Fofana9%
Dereck Kutesa7%
Ronny Rodelin4%
Yoan Severin4%
Timothé Cognat3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Moritz Bauer0%
Theo Valls0%
Anthony Baron0%
David Douline0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Alexis Antunes0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Gaël Clichy0%
Hussayn Touati0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Samba Diba0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FC Winterthur's squad is €15m less valuable than Servette FC's (€6m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Winterthur's attack is €4m less valuable than Servette FC's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
FC Winterthur's midfield is €5m less valuable than Servette FC's (€2m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Winterthur's defence is €6m less valuable than Servette FC's (€2m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
FC Zurich
FC Sion
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy