Feyenoord’s strong home form, averaging 2.58 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against weaker opposition, makes the model pick a home win. The Eredivisie side’s unbeaten run in the last five matches, highlighted by a 5-2 victory over Cambuur, underpins the 74% chance of a win, while the 17% draw and 9% away win probabilities reflect the gap. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a moderately high-scoring encounter, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for Feyenoord at 11.2%. ADO Den Haag, playing away against stronger opponents, averages zero goals scored and two conceded, which explains the low 9% chance of victory. The model’s suggested picks include an away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.5%, away under 2.5 2H goals at 99.0%, away under 3.5 goals at 98.7%, home +2 handicap at 97.1%, under 7.5 goals at 96.8% with a 3% edge, away under 1.5 HT goals at 96.7% with a 6% edge, away under 1.5 2H goals at 94.7% with a 5% edge, and away under 2.5 goals at 93.9% with a 1% edge. These selections reflect the model’s confidence that Feyenoord will dominate the match.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Feyenoord, failed to deliver, as the match ended in a 2-2 draw. The model had picked a home win with a 72% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, a surprise for the odds makers. Every suggested selection from the model was hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.7%, Home +2 handicap at 97.1%, Under 7.5 at 96.8%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 95.2%, Away under 1.5 2H goals at 94.5%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 93.8%. Feyenoord’s unbeaten run of five games, including this 2-2 draw, shows they remain resilient, while ADO Den Haag’s recent draw keeps them in the mix.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Feyenoord win✗ Miss
72.4%
Avg Implied 81.3% · @ 1.16
Edge
-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Dafabet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Draw✓ Hit
17.5%
Avg Implied 12.0% · @ 7.90
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
8.60
Pinnacle
8.54
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Dafabet
8.20
ADO Den Haag win✗ Miss
10.1%
Avg Implied 6.8% · @ 13.98
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
17.50
10Bet
16.00
Unibet
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Feyenoord
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.60
2.27
1.67
1.53
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.00
2.50
vs Weaker (25)
2.16
1.52
2.58
1.67
1.77
1.38
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (ADO Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ADO Den Haag
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.37
2.21
1.29
1.81
1.44
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
1.44
1.62
1.88
2.00
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (13)
2.85
1.00
2.67
0.33
3.00
1.57
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
@ 1.06-2.9%
Under 1.5
14.3%
@ 8.19+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Under
Unibet
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
BetVictor
8.50
Superbet
7.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.4%
@ 1.27-8.4%
Under 2.5
34.6%
@ 3.58+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.74
Unibet
3.70
Betano
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.5%
@ 1.73-11.3%
Under 3.5
56.5%
@ 2.09+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
SBO
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.18
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
@ 1.79+1.8%
No
46.2%
@ 1.94-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
No
Betano
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
William Hil
1.95
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.8%@ 7.89+5.1%
2-1
9.3%@ 9.56+4.6%
3-0
9.0%@ 7.69+3.1%
1-1
8.2%@ 14.42+5.0%
1-0
7.9%@ 11.33+3.9%
3-1
7.8%@ 9.39+2.9%
4-0
5.7%@ 9.63+0.9%
4-1
4.9%@ 11.73+1.0%
Feyenoord goals ↓
ADO Den Haag goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
2.2%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
7.9%
8.2%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
2
11%
9.3%
4.0%
1.2%
0.2%
3
9.0%
7.8%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
4
5.7%
4.9%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feyenoord goals (down), columns = ADO Den Haag goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.14
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
ADO Den Haag
1.08
Cambuur
1.03
Feyenoord is 0.83 points better than ADO Den Haag in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
Willem II
1.32
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
ADO Den Haag
1.25
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
Feyenoord is 0.81 goals better than ADO Den Haag in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.90
ADO Den Haag
2.01
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Cambuur
2.10
Feyenoord is 0.72 goals better than ADO Den Haag in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 2.01).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Feyenoord
For 6.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ADO Den Haag
For 5.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 10.8 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feyenoord
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.4
9.6
3.4
2.8
4.0
22.8
22.5
23.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
9.8
8.2
11.5
4.3
3.2
5.5
25.8
24.2
27.3
vs Weaker (38)
10.1
11.2
8.9
3.1
2.6
3.5
21.9
22.0
21.8
% over line
46%
44%
48%
40%
36%
44%
56%
56%
56%
% under line
54%
56%
52%
60%
64%
56%
44%
44%
44%
This opponent (ADO Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ADO Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.4
3.3
3.5
3.1
26.8
26.2
27.4
vs Stronger (1)
16.0
-
16.0
1.0
-
1.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (28)
9.4
9.9
8.9
3.7
3.7
3.7
26.2
25.9
26.4
vs Weaker (21)
11.6
11.4
11.7
2.9
3.1
2.7
27.9
26.6
28.9
% over line
58%
57%
59%
46%
52%
41%
86%
87%
85%
% under line
42%
43%
41%
54%
48%
59%
14%
13%
15%
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.3
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
Fortuna Sittard
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Telstar
10.6
Willem II
10.6
ADO Den Haag
10.4
AZ Alkmaar
10.4
Groningen
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
Feyenoord
10.0
Heerenveen
10.0
Twente
9.9
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Utrecht
9.7
Ajax
9.7
Excelsior
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cambuur
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Twente
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
Feyenoord
3.8
AZ Alkmaar
3.7
ADO Den Haag
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
Ajax
3.7
Groningen
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.4
Fortuna Sittard
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.4
GO Ahead Eagles
3.3
Telstar
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Cambuur
26.7
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Fortuna Sittard
23.4
Utrecht
23.0
Feyenoord
22.8
AZ Alkmaar
22.6
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Willem II
22.5
Telstar
22.5
Ajax
21.8
Excelsior
21.7
Twente
20.8
Groningen
20.7
Sparta Rotterdam
20.6
Heerenveen
20.2
GO Ahead Eagles
18.9
PSV Eindhoven
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.8%
@ 1.51-1.2%
Under 9.5
40.2%
@ 2.36+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Under
Unibet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.38
Marathonbet
2.34
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.1%
@ 2.43+1.4%
Under 3.5
60.9%
@ 1.48-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Unibet
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Under
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.7%
@ 1.75+5.7%
Under 21.5
43.3%
@ 1.82-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
Under
Superbet
1.82
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Feyenoord or Draw✓ Hit
91.0%
Avg Implied 92.3% · @ 1.03
Edge
-1.3%
72%
18%
10%
covers Feyenoord + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.04
William Hil
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Feyenoord or ADO Den Haag✗ Miss
84.3%
Avg Implied 88.5% · @ 1.07
Edge
-4.2%
72%
18%
10%
covers Feyenoord + ADO Den Haag
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Draw or ADO Den Haag✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.95
Edge
+5.5%
72%
18%
10%
covers Draw + ADO Den Haag
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.5%
@ 1.02+0.4%
Under
6.5%
@ 13.83-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Under
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.50
Feyenoord over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
75.7%
@ 1.16-4.6%
Under
24.3%
@ 4.71+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Feyenoord over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
51.4%
@ 1.56-8.5%
Under
48.6%
@ 2.32+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Unibet
2.38
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Betano
2.35
Feyenoord over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
29.3%
@ 2.42-9.3%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.52+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.54
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Unibet
1.52
ADO Den Haag over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
59.0%
@ 1.72+4.9%
Under
41.0%
@ 2.03-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.74
Unibet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
ADO Den Haag over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
22.5%
@ 4.52+1.8%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.18-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.17
ADO Den Haag over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 13.62-0.9%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
14.00
Marathonbet
12.25
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
ADO Den Haag over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 50.50-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Feyenoord, so a minus line means Feyenoord give that many goals of a start and ADO Den Haag receive them. At -1, Feyenoord must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Feyenoord win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Feyenoord)Actual: ADO Den Haag
Feyenoord -2
34.4%
@ 2.03-9.6%
Draw -2
21.0%
@ 4.12-0.7%
ADO Den Haag +2
44.7%
@ 2.60+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Away
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.55
Handicap -1 (Feyenoord)Actual: ADO Den Haag
Feyenoord -1
55.3%
@ 1.42-7.9%
Draw -1
20.0%
@ 4.79+1.2%
ADO Den Haag +1
24.7%
@ 4.98+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
Away
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Handicap +1 (Feyenoord)Actual: Feyenoord
Feyenoord +1
91.0%
@ 1.04+1.3%
Draw +1
6.1%
@ 13.67-0.7%
ADO Den Haag -1
2.9%
@ 26.33-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Betfair
31.00
Bet365
29.00
10Bet
19.00
Handicap +2 (Feyenoord)Actual: Feyenoord
Feyenoord +2
97.1%
Draw +2
2.2%
ADO Den Haag -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Feyenoord
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.93
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
1.40
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.12
0.60
1.17
0.58
1.08
0.62
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (ADO Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ADO Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.71
0.93
0.88
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.94
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.23
0.67
0.17
1.43
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.4%
@ 1.16-4.2%
Under 0.5
23.6%
@ 4.82+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.6%
@ 1.80-5.3%
Under 1.5
53.4%
@ 1.94+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.81
Under
SBO
2.03
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Betfair
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.3%
@ 3.46-6.4%
Under 2.5
79.7%
@ 1.26+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Betano
3.55
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
73.5%
@ 1.26-0.4%
Under
26.5%
@ 3.56+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Under
10Bet
3.75
Unibet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.40
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.4%
@ 2.25-6.9%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.58+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.29
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 4.86-5.8%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.14+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Under
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
ADO Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
24.5%
@ 3.06-5.9%
Under
75.5%
@ 1.34+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.38
Unibet
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96
Under
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
ADO Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 11.25-3.6%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
ADO Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 60.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Feyenoord
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.87
1.27
1.00
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.04
0.92
1.42
1.08
0.69
0.77
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (ADO Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ADO Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.77
1.50
0.36
0.94
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.69
1.12
0.50
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.77
2.00
0.17
1.57
1.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.5%
@ 1.08-2.0%
Under 0.5
15.5%
@ 6.95+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.80
10Bet
6.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
55.3%
@ 1.46-8.6%
Under 1.5
44.7%
@ 2.58+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.53
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.70
Unibet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.59
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
28.6%
@ 2.41-10.0%
Under 2.5
71.4%
@ 1.52+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.62
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.39
Unibet
2.38
Under
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
75.0%
@ 1.15-5.4%
Under
25.0%
@ 4.72+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Under
Betano
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.55
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
39.8%
@ 1.77-12.5%
Under
60.2%
@ 1.95+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 3.34-12.1%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.28+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
ADO Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
26.7%
@ 2.45-11.1%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.49+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
ADO Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 8.86-5.0%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
Superbet
9.00
1xBet
8.90
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
ADO Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 38.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Unibet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
94.5%
1.03
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
93.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
91.0%
1.03
Betfair
1.04
William Hil
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
91.0%
1.04
10Bet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.14
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.08
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.28
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
-
+12.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
84.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
-4.2%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
84.1%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
79.7%
1.26
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
77.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-1.8%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.4%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
75.7%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals
75.5%
1.34
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.15
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals
73.5%
1.26
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
-0.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 0.5 2H goals
73.3%
1.49
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
-
+11.1%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
72.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Dafabet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-8.9%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.7%
1.29
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.4%
1.52
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
+10.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
70.7%
1.52
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Unibet
1.52
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
70.2%
1.47
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.47
+6.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Feyenoord
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayase Ueda75%
Luciano Valente50%
Gjivai Zechiël50%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Vanhoutte25%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Ayase Ueda0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Luciano Valente0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Gjivai Zechiël0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oussama Targhalline33%
Ayase Ueda25%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Gjivai Zechiël25%
Gaoussou Diarra25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Luciano Valente0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayase Ueda75%
Anis Hadj Moussa50%
Gaoussou Diarra50%
Luciano Valente25%
Gjivai Zechiël25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
ADO Den Haag
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nigel Thomas33%
Sekou Sylla25%
Evan Rottier25%
Yannick Eduardo25%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Daryl van Mieghem0%
Kilian Nikièma0%
Juho Kilo0%
Jalen Hawkins0%
Pascal Mulder0%
Matteo Waem0%
Milan Hokke0%
Jesse Bal0%
Othniël Raterink0%
Finn de Bruin0%
Illaijh de Ruijter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juho Kilo50%
Evan Rottier50%
Pascal Mulder25%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Daryl van Mieghem0%
Sekou Sylla0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Kilian Nikièma0%
Jalen Hawkins0%
Matteo Waem0%
Milan Hokke0%
Yannick Eduardo0%
Jesse Bal0%
Othniël Raterink0%
Finn de Bruin0%
Illaijh de Ruijter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nigel Thomas33%
Finn de Bruin33%
Evan Rottier25%
Milan Hokke25%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Daryl van Mieghem0%
Sekou Sylla0%
Kilian Nikièma0%
Juho Kilo0%
Jalen Hawkins0%
Pascal Mulder0%
Matteo Waem0%
Yannick Eduardo0%
Jesse Bal0%
Othniël Raterink0%
Illaijh de Ruijter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jan Žambůrek0%
Daryl van Mieghem0%
Sekou Sylla0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Kilian Nikièma0%
Juho Kilo0%
Jalen Hawkins0%
Pascal Mulder0%
Matteo Waem0%
Evan Rottier0%
Milan Hokke0%
Yannick Eduardo0%
Jesse Bal0%
Othniël Raterink0%
Finn de Bruin0%
Illaijh de Ruijter0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
Feyenoord's squad is €216m more valuable than ADO Den Haag's (€229m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
Feyenoord's attack is €86m more valuable than ADO Den Haag's (€93m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
Feyenoord's midfield is €42m more valuable than ADO Den Haag's (€43m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
Feyenoord's defence is €89m more valuable than ADO Den Haag's (€93m vs €5m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Excelsior
Groningen
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
Willem II
Utrecht
Cambuur