The most likely outcome of this match is a home win for GO Ahead Eagles, with a 45% chance of victory. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with an average of 3.1 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 11.8% probability. At home, GO Ahead Eagles have scored an average of 0.86 goals and conceded 2.14 goals against stronger opponents. In contrast, ADO Den Haag have scored 2.15 goals and conceded 1.08 goals when playing away against weaker opponents.
The model's selection for the match result is a home win. The model's most likely selection for the total number of goals is Over 1.5, with an 82.4% probability. The model's selection for the match outcome is Home or Draw, with an 81.6% probability. The model's selection for the match outcome is also Home or Away, with a 76.9% probability. GO Ahead Eagles have a 45% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 29% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as GO Ahead Eagles secured a 3-1 victory, extending their recent winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 43 % probability and proved correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.8 %, Under 7.5 hit at 98.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.7 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.2 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 95.6 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 92.9 %, and Away under 1.5 2H goals hit at 91.8 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every selection’s result was reported.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
GO Ahead Eagles win✓ Hit
43.0%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.73
Edge
-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
888Sport
1.75
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.93
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.15
Pinnacle
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
ADO Den Haag win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.34
Edge
+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.90
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.45
1xBet
4.42
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
GO Ahead Eagles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.60
2.00
1.60
1.00
1.60
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
2.14
0.67
2.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
2.06
1.12
2.89
1.11
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (ADO Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ADO Den Haag
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.30
2.20
1.27
1.87
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
1.47
1.53
1.88
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
2.79
1.00
2.57
0.43
3.00
1.57
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.15+1.7%
Under 1.5
17.0%
@ 5.03-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.41
BetVictor
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Superbet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
@ 1.52-0.9%
Under 2.5
39.5%
@ 2.42+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.58
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.52
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.2%
@ 2.33-2.4%
Under 3.5
61.8%
@ 1.59+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.43
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
@ 1.53+2.4%
No
36.8%
@ 2.37-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
No
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Bet365
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 7.48+5.6%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.69+3.2%
1-2
7.6%@ 12.92+4.1%
2-2
6.5%@ 11.58+2.6%
1-0
6.4%@ 9.21+1.5%
2-0
6.3%@ 9.60+1.6%
0-0
5.4%@ 15.53+2.5%
0-1
5.2%@ 14.87+2.1%
GO Ahead Eagles goals ↓
ADO Den Haag goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
5.2%
4.5%
2.1%
0.8%
1
6.4%
12%
7.6%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.3%
9.0%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.6%
5.1%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.2%
1.6%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = GO Ahead Eagles goals (down), columns = ADO Den Haag goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.14
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
ADO Den Haag
1.08
Cambuur
1.03
GO Ahead Eagles is 0.04 points better than ADO Den Haag in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
Willem II
1.32
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
ADO Den Haag
1.25
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
GO Ahead Eagles is 0.34 goals better than ADO Den Haag in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.90
ADO Den Haag
2.01
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Cambuur
2.10
GO Ahead Eagles is 0.45 goals better than ADO Den Haag in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 2.01).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
GO Ahead Eagles
For 5.5 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 9.3 · Total 17.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ADO Den Haag
For 6.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 11.3 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GO Ahead Eagles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.3
11.1
3.1
2.6
3.6
18.9
19.7
18.2
vs Stronger (21)
10.9
10.1
11.5
3.1
3.1
3.1
18.1
18.9
17.5
vs Similar (28)
11.3
12.1
10.5
3.1
2.2
4.1
19.6
20.3
19.0
vs Weaker (1)
15.0
-
15.0
2.0
-
2.0
14.0
-
14.0
% over line
62%
67%
58%
32%
21%
42%
24%
29%
19%
% under line
38%
33%
42%
68%
79%
58%
76%
71%
81%
This opponent (ADO Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ADO Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.5
3.3
3.5
3.2
27.0
26.3
27.6
vs Stronger (1)
16.0
-
16.0
1.0
-
1.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (28)
9.4
9.8
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.8
26.4
26.1
26.7
vs Weaker (21)
11.6
11.4
11.7
2.9
3.1
2.7
27.9
26.6
28.9
% over line
58%
54%
62%
48%
54%
42%
86%
88%
85%
% under line
42%
46%
38%
52%
46%
58%
14%
12%
15%
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.2
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
Fortuna Sittard
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.8
Telstar
10.6
Willem II
10.6
AZ Alkmaar
10.5
ADO Den Haag
10.4
Feyenoord
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
Heerenveen
10.0
Groningen
10.0
Twente
9.9
NEC Nijmegen
9.8
Ajax
9.8
Utrecht
9.7
Excelsior
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NEC Nijmegen
4.0
Cambuur
4.0
AZ Alkmaar
3.9
Feyenoord
3.9
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
ADO Den Haag
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
Ajax
3.7
Twente
3.6
Groningen
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.4
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Telstar
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
27.0
Cambuur
26.5
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Fortuna Sittard
23.5
Utrecht
23.0
AZ Alkmaar
22.7
Feyenoord
22.7
PEC Zwolle
22.6
Willem II
22.5
Telstar
22.5
Ajax
22.1
Excelsior
21.8
Groningen
20.9
Sparta Rotterdam
20.5
Twente
20.4
Heerenveen
20.2
GO Ahead Eagles
18.9
PSV Eindhoven
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.3%
@ 1.46+1.2%
Under 9.5
35.7%
@ 2.50-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
Unibet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.56
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Unibet
2.45
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
@ 2.07-7.0%
Under 3.5
62.3%
@ 1.67+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Unibet
1.95
Under
Unibet
1.73
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.62
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.9%
@ 1.78+0.6%
Under 21.5
49.1%
@ 1.80-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Under
Superbet
1.80
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
GO Ahead Eagles or Draw✓ Hit
81.5%
Avg Implied 78.1% · @ 1.20
Edge
+3.4%
43%
26%
31%
covers GO Ahead Eagles + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
GO Ahead Eagles or ADO Den Haag✓ Hit
76.8%
Avg Implied 76.6% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.2%
43%
26%
31%
covers GO Ahead Eagles + ADO Den Haag
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or ADO Den Haag✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.07
Edge
-3.6%
43%
26%
31%
covers Draw + ADO Den Haag
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.20
SBO
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.6%
@ 1.10+2.4%
Under
13.4%
@ 5.87-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
6.00
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
59.7%
@ 1.57+0.5%
Under
40.3%
@ 2.28-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
32.7%
@ 2.78-0.8%
Under
67.3%
@ 1.40+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
Superbet
2.82
888Sport
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Under
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 5.46-2.5%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.12+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.75
888Sport
5.75
Unibet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
ADO Den Haag over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.5%
@ 1.34-3.5%
Under
34.5%
@ 3.00+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
888Sport
3.00
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
ADO Den Haag over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.8%
@ 2.70-5.8%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.43+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.70
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Betfair
1.44
888Sport
1.44
ADO Den Haag over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 6.62-4.8%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.08+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
ADO Den Haag over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 17.31-3.2%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
888Sport
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to GO Ahead Eagles, so a minus line means GO Ahead Eagles give that many goals of a start and ADO Den Haag receive them. At -1, GO Ahead Eagles must win by two or more to land; a one-goal GO Ahead Eagles win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (GO Ahead Eagles)Actual: Draw
GO Ahead Eagles -2
17.8%
@ 5.19+0.5%
Draw -2
18.1%
@ 4.85-0.4%
ADO Den Haag +2
64.2%
@ 1.39-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
Unibet
5.00
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Away
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Handicap -1 (GO Ahead Eagles)Actual: GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles -1
35.8%
@ 2.73+3.1%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.73-1.4%
ADO Den Haag +1
41.7%
@ 2.06-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.67
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Away
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Handicap +1 (GO Ahead Eagles)Actual: GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles +1
81.5%
@ 1.19+6.1%
Draw +1
11.4%
@ 6.15-3.2%
ADO Den Haag -1
7.1%
@ 9.02-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.90
Unibet
5.80
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.10
Handicap +2 (GO Ahead Eagles)Actual: GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles +2
92.9%
@ 1.05+4.6%
Draw +2
5.1%
@ 12.33-2.4%
ADO Den Haag -2
2.0%
@ 22.00-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
13.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
GO Ahead Eagles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.93
0.80
0.67
0.20
1.20
vs Stronger (14)
0.21
1.50
0.17
1.17
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.44
1.22
0.33
0.14
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (ADO Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ADO Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
0.80
0.87
0.93
0.27
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.93
0.75
1.50
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (14)
1.14
0.21
0.86
0.14
1.43
0.29
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.0%
@ 1.26+2.1%
Under 0.5
24.0%
@ 3.56-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
William Hil
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.2%
@ 2.24-0.6%
Under 1.5
58.8%
@ 1.61+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.35
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.1%
@ 4.91+5.1%
Under 2.5
75.9%
@ 1.15-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
72.0%
@ 1.59+13.2%
Under
28.0%
@ 2.26-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Unibet
2.23
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
27.4%
@ 3.76+2.8%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.23-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.85
Betano
3.75
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 9.81-0.9%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
11.00
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
ADO Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
26.3%
@ 2.25-15.2%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.59+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.31
Unibet
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.58
ADO Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 7.35-8.1%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.06+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Betano
7.30
Superbet
7.30
Under
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
ADO Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 27.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
GO Ahead Eagles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.20
0.93
0.80
0.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
0.64
0.50
1.17
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (16)
1.31
0.69
1.67
0.78
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (ADO Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ADO Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.73
1.40
0.40
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.60
1.12
0.50
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (14)
1.64
0.79
1.71
0.29
1.57
1.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.0%
@ 1.16+2.1%
Under 0.5
17.0%
@ 4.89-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Under
Betano
5.10
Unibet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.75+9.6%
Under 1.5
37.0%
@ 2.00-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.78
888Sport
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.2%
@ 3.28-3.1%
Under 2.5
74.8%
@ 1.30+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
888Sport
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
77.0%
@ 1.39+10.4%
Under
23.0%
@ 2.78-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Under
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
36.1%
@ 2.81+3.2%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.38-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 6.77-1.0%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.07+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.20
1xBet
7.10
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
ADO Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
36.9%
@ 1.87-12.7%
Under
63.1%
@ 1.84+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
ADO Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 5.35-9.1%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.12+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Superbet
5.35
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
ADO Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 14.00-5.6%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.6%
1.06
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.8%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.8%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.7%
1.08
Betano
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.4%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.6%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
85.5%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.0%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.0%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.5%
1.20
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
81.5%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.2%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
79.7%
1.30
Unibet
1.35
Superbet
1.26
-
-
-
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.39
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.38
-
-
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.0%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
75.9%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
-5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.4%
1.25
Superbet
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
+3.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 0.5 HT goals
73.7%
1.59
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.58
+15.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
72.6%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.59
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
+13.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.2%
1.43
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Betfair
1.44
888Sport
1.44
+5.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
GO Ahead Eagles
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Søren Tengstedt75%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson50%
Victor Edvardsen50%
Melle Meulensteen33%
Julius Dirksen33%
Mathis Suray25%
Erik Flataker25%
Joris Kramer0%
Richonell Margaret0%
Evert Linthorst0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Thibo Baeten0%
Dean James0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julius Dirksen67%
Dean James25%
Melle Meulensteen0%
Joris Kramer0%
Richonell Margaret0%
Evert Linthorst0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Søren Tengstedt0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Victor Edvardsen0%
Thibo Baeten0%
Mathis Suray0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
Erik Flataker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Melle Meulensteen33%
Evert Linthorst25%
Alfons Sampsted25%
Søren Tengstedt25%
Victor Edvardsen25%
Mathis Suray25%
Dean James25%
Joris Kramer0%
Richonell Margaret0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Thibo Baeten0%
Julius Dirksen0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
Erik Flataker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Søren Tengstedt50%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson25%
Victor Edvardsen25%
Erik Flataker25%
Melle Meulensteen0%
Joris Kramer0%
Richonell Margaret0%
Evert Linthorst0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Thibo Baeten0%
Julius Dirksen0%
Mathis Suray0%
Dean James0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
ADO Den Haag
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nigel Thomas33%
Sekou Sylla25%
Evan Rottier25%
Yannick Eduardo25%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Daryl van Mieghem0%
Kilian Nikièma0%
Juho Kilo0%
Jalen Hawkins0%
Pascal Mulder0%
Matteo Waem0%
Milan Hokke0%
Jesse Bal0%
Othniël Raterink0%
Finn de Bruin0%
Illaijh de Ruijter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juho Kilo50%
Evan Rottier50%
Pascal Mulder25%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Daryl van Mieghem0%
Sekou Sylla0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Kilian Nikièma0%
Jalen Hawkins0%
Matteo Waem0%
Milan Hokke0%
Yannick Eduardo0%
Jesse Bal0%
Othniël Raterink0%
Finn de Bruin0%
Illaijh de Ruijter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nigel Thomas33%
Finn de Bruin33%
Evan Rottier25%
Milan Hokke25%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Daryl van Mieghem0%
Sekou Sylla0%
Kilian Nikièma0%
Juho Kilo0%
Jalen Hawkins0%
Pascal Mulder0%
Matteo Waem0%
Yannick Eduardo0%
Jesse Bal0%
Othniël Raterink0%
Illaijh de Ruijter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jan Žambůrek0%
Daryl van Mieghem0%
Sekou Sylla0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Kilian Nikièma0%
Juho Kilo0%
Jalen Hawkins0%
Pascal Mulder0%
Matteo Waem0%
Evan Rottier0%
Milan Hokke0%
Yannick Eduardo0%
Jesse Bal0%
Othniël Raterink0%
Finn de Bruin0%
Illaijh de Ruijter0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
GO Ahead Eagles's squad is €9m more valuable than ADO Den Haag's (€22m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
GO Ahead Eagles's attack is €2m more valuable than ADO Den Haag's (€9m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
GO Ahead Eagles's midfield is €3m more valuable than ADO Den Haag's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
GO Ahead Eagles's defence is €4m more valuable than ADO Den Haag's (€8m vs €5m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
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AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Excelsior
Groningen
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
Willem II
Utrecht
Cambuur