Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jong Utrecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.50
0.29
0.31
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.68
0.58
0.33
0.31
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.43
0.27
0.33
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.32
0.32
0.23
0.31
0.42
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jong Utrecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.10
0.50
0.86
0.50
1.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.00
1.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.56
1.04
0.58
0.75
0.54
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.80
0.93
0.73
1.13
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
0.80
0.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.80
1.08
0.77
0.92
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 4.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
Under 3.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 1.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
Jong Utrecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Descotte50%
Albert Lottin22%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes20%
Mees Rijks18%
Jesse van de Haar17%
Tobias Augustinus Jensen8%
Dion Versluis8%
Christopher Mamengi7%
Lynden Edhart7%
Aurelio Oehlers6%
Julliani Eersteling5%
Yannick Leliendal3%
Yuya Ikeshita3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Eliano Reijnders0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Rocco Robert Shein0%
Reda Akmum0%
Tommy St. Jago0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Taylor Booth0%
Ruben Kluivert0%
Rick Meissen0%
Dylan Timber0%
Gibson Yah0%
Kevin Gadellaa0%
Jozhua Vertrouwd0%
Ivar Jenner0%
Rafik el Arguioui0%
Wessel Kooy0%
Achraf Boumenjal0%
Olivier van Eldik0%
Gio-Renys Felicia0%
Nazjir Held0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Djevencio van der Kust33%
Ivar Jenner31%
Dylan Timber30%
Gibson Yah27%
Arthur Zagre25%
Albert Lottin22%
Christopher Mamengi21%
Jozhua Vertrouwd21%
Achraf Boumenjal21%
Yuya Ikeshita19%
Rocco Robert Shein18%
Thijmen Nijhuis17%
Gio-Renys Felicia17%
Tommy St. Jago14%
Rafik el Arguioui12%
Rick Meissen11%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes10%
Lynden Edhart10%
Yannick Leliendal10%
Julliani Eersteling10%
Fabian De Keijzer9%
Joshua Rawlins8%
Ruben Kluivert8%
Dion Versluis8%
Aurelio Oehlers6%
Mees Rijks6%
Eliano Reijnders6%
Reda Akmum0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Taylor Booth0%
Anthony Descotte0%
Kevin Gadellaa0%
Wessel Kooy0%
Tobias Augustinus Jensen0%
Olivier van Eldik0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Nazjir Held0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eliano Reijnders11%
Rocco Robert Shein9%
Kevin Gadellaa9%
Mees Rijks9%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes7%
Lynden Edhart7%
Yuya Ikeshita6%
Aurelio Oehlers6%
Rick Meissen5%
Julliani Eersteling5%
Joshua Rawlins4%
Christopher Mamengi4%
Yannick Leliendal3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Albert Lottin0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Reda Akmum0%
Tommy St. Jago0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Taylor Booth0%
Anthony Descotte0%
Ruben Kluivert0%
Dylan Timber0%
Gibson Yah0%
Jozhua Vertrouwd0%
Ivar Jenner0%
Rafik el Arguioui0%
Wessel Kooy0%
Tobias Augustinus Jensen0%
Achraf Boumenjal0%
Olivier van Eldik0%
Dion Versluis0%
Gio-Renys Felicia0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Nazjir Held0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Descotte33%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes17%
Mees Rijks15%
Rafik el Arguioui12%
Aurelio Oehlers12%
Lynden Edhart7%
Yuya Ikeshita6%
Arthur Zagre0%
Albert Lottin0%
Eliano Reijnders0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Christopher Mamengi0%
Rocco Robert Shein0%
Reda Akmum0%
Tommy St. Jago0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Yannick Leliendal0%
Taylor Booth0%
Ruben Kluivert0%
Julliani Eersteling0%
Rick Meissen0%
Dylan Timber0%
Gibson Yah0%
Kevin Gadellaa0%
Jozhua Vertrouwd0%
Ivar Jenner0%
Wessel Kooy0%
Tobias Augustinus Jensen0%
Achraf Boumenjal0%
Olivier van Eldik0%
Dion Versluis0%
Gio-Renys Felicia0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Nazjir Held0%
VVV Venlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sven Braken39%
Nick Venema30%
Martijn Berden17%
Kees de Boer15%
Thijme Verheijen12%
Daan Huisman11%
Robin Lathouwers10%
Mitchell van Rooijen8%
Tristan Dekker8%
Rick Ketting7%
Robert Klaasen5%
Soulyman Allouch5%
Γzcan Yasar4%
Carl Johansson3%
Brian Koglin3%
Simon Janssen2%
LukΓ‘Ε‘ Zima0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Richard SedlΓ‘Δek0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Sem Dirks0%
Levi Smans0%
Joep Kluskens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahcuroo Roemer25%
Kees de Boer21%
Tristan Dekker19%
Simon Janssen18%
Martijn Berden17%
Soulyman Allouch15%
Mitchell van Rooijen14%
Richard SedlΓ‘Δek12%
Joep Kluskens12%
Robert Klaasen11%
Rick Ketting10%
Sven Braken8%
Nick Venema8%
Γzcan Yasar7%
Levi Smans7%
Carl Johansson6%
Thijme Verheijen6%
Sem Dirks6%
Ennio Van Der Gouw6%
Robin Lathouwers5%
Brian Koglin3%
LukΓ‘Ε‘ Zima0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Daan Huisman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martijn Berden17%
Kees de Boer15%
Nick Venema12%
Thijme Verheijen12%
Sven Braken11%
Carl Johansson10%
Richard SedlΓ‘Δek9%
Mitchell van Rooijen8%
Daan Huisman8%
Γzcan Yasar7%
Levi Smans7%
Sem Dirks6%
Simon Janssen5%
Soulyman Allouch5%
Rick Ketting5%
Tristan Dekker4%
Ennio Van Der Gouw3%
Robert Klaasen3%
Brian Koglin3%
LukΓ‘Ε‘ Zima0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sven Braken44%
Nick Venema40%
Soulyman Allouch10%
Carl Johansson10%
Γzcan Yasar7%
Levi Smans7%
Thijme Verheijen6%
Daan Huisman6%
Richard SedlΓ‘Δek3%
Brian Koglin3%
Rick Ketting2%
LukΓ‘Ε‘ Zima0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Martijn Berden0%
Robert Klaasen0%
Tristan Dekker0%
Simon Janssen0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Mitchell van Rooijen0%
Kees de Boer0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Sem Dirks0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PZ (23)
€21m
JA (24)
€19m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
JPU (14)
€7m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
Jong Utrecht's squad is €2m less valuable than VVV Venlo's (€2m vs €4m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PZ (8)
€8m
ADH (11)
€7m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Jong Utrecht and VVV Venlo have a similar attack value (both €1m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Jong Utrecht and VVV Venlo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Jong Utrecht's defence is €1m less valuable than VVV Venlo's (€1m vs €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →