This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
2.20
0.00
2.00
2.00
2.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.20
0.00
2.00
2.00
2.50
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.9%
@ 2.05+7.9%
Under 2.5
46.1%
@ 1.75-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
Metz goals ↓
Martigues goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
4.8%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
1
9.7%
12%
5.3%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.9%
9.9%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
6.1%
6.1%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
4
2.8%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metz goals (down), columns = Martigues goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Metz is 0.98 points better than Martigues in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Metz is 1.01 goals better than Martigues in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 0.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Metz is 0.61 goals better than Martigues in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Metz is 14.9 percentage points better than Martigues in terms of average possession (58% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metz
For 3.5 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.9 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Martigues
For 3.4 · Against 8.8 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.8
10.0
3.0
3.2
2.8
24.6
25.5
23.8
vs Stronger (16)
8.9
7.9
9.9
3.1
3.8
2.4
23.2
24.4
22.0
vs Similar (30)
9.8
9.6
10.1
3.3
3.2
3.3
25.5
26.2
24.9
vs Weaker (4)
7.0
7.0
-
0.5
1.0
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
51%
43%
60%
42%
52%
32%
71%
76%
65%
% under line
49%
57%
40%
58%
48%
68%
29%
24%
35%
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (5)
12.2
10.3
15.0
2.8
2.3
3.5
26.2
26.3
26.0
vs Stronger (5)
12.2
10.3
15.0
2.8
2.3
3.5
26.2
26.3
26.0
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
67%
50%
40%
33%
50%
80%
67%
100%
% under line
40%
33%
50%
60%
67%
50%
20%
33%
0%
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Martigues
12.2
Rodez
10.5
RED Star FC 93
10.4
Lorient
10.1
Estac Troyes
9.8
Amiens
9.7
Dunkerque
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.6
Caen
9.5
Metz
9.5
Annecy
9.5
Grenoble
9.4
Red Star
9.4
Bastia
9.3
Guingamp
9.3
PAU
9.2
Laval
9.2
Paris FC
9.1
Ajaccio
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
4.6
Clermont Foot
4.4
Lorient
4.3
Laval
4.0
PAU
4.0
Metz
3.9
Dunkerque
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
Caen
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Red Star
3.7
Ajaccio
3.7
Rodez
3.6
Martigues
3.5
Guingamp
3.5
Paris FC
3.5
Grenoble
3.4
RED Star FC 93
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.7
Laval
27.6
Amiens
27.4
Ajaccio
27.1
Red Star
27.0
Bastia
27.0
Guingamp
26.8
Estac Troyes
26.6
Annecy
26.4
Martigues
26.2
PAU
25.9
Dunkerque
25.8
Metz
25.0
Paris FC
24.8
Lorient
24.6
Clermont Foot
24.4
Rodez
24.1
Grenoble
23.5
RED Star FC 93
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.7%
Under 9.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.7%
Under 3.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.2%
Under 21.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.93
0.81
1.06
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.20
1.00
1.67
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.79
0.78
0.67
0.90
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.31
0.50
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.10
0.33
0.83
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.53
0.22
0.33
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.80
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.80
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gauthier Hein31%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly31%
Idrissa Gueye26%
Pape Diallo19%
Ablie Jallow16%
Matthieu Udol15%
Joel Asoro14%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof12%
Ismaël Traoré11%
Morgan Bokele Mputu10%
Ibou Sane9%
Alpha Touré5%
Benjamin Stambouli3%
Jessy Deminguet3%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Maxime Colin0%
Alexandre Oukidja0%
Fali Candé0%
Koffi Kouao0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Simon Elisor0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Urie-Michel Mboula0%
Pape Sy0%
Joseph Mangondo0%
Sadibou Sané0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Urie-Michel Mboula25%
Sadibou Sané25%
Aboubacar Lô24%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof19%
Matthieu Udol18%
Maxime Colin17%
Gauthier Hein17%
Koffi Kouao16%
Ibou Sane14%
Fali Candé12%
Ismaël Traoré11%
Alpha Touré11%
Idrissa Gueye11%
Jessy Deminguet9%
Joseph N'Duquidi9%
Benjamin Stambouli7%
Ablie Jallow6%
Morgan Bokele Mputu6%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly3%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Joel Asoro0%
Alexandre Oukidja0%
Simon Elisor0%
Pape Sy0%
Pape Diallo0%
Joseph Mangondo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Elisor22%
Matthieu Udol21%
Joseph Mangondo20%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof19%
Gauthier Hein17%
Pape Diallo16%
Joel Asoro10%
Koffi Kouao9%
Benjamin Stambouli7%
Morgan Bokele Mputu6%
Jessy Deminguet6%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly6%
Ismaël Traoré5%
Idrissa Gueye5%
Ibou Sane5%
Ablie Jallow3%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Maxime Colin0%
Alexandre Oukidja0%
Fali Candé0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Urie-Michel Mboula0%
Pape Sy0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Alpha Touré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Idrissa Gueye32%
Gauthier Hein25%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly22%
Pape Diallo13%
Ablie Jallow10%
Matthieu Udol9%
Morgan Bokele Mputu3%
Koffi Kouao3%
Benjamin Stambouli0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Ismaël Traoré0%
Joel Asoro0%
Maxime Colin0%
Alexandre Oukidja0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Fali Candé0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Simon Elisor0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Urie-Michel Mboula0%
Pape Sy0%
Joseph Mangondo0%
Ibou Sane0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Alpha Touré0%
Martigues
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oualid Orinel23%
Karim Tlilli22%
Oucasse Mendy17%
Abdoul Diawara17%
Romain Montiel12%
Steve Solvet11%
Milan Robin10%
Ayoub Amraoui7%
Alain Ipiele6%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Simon Falette0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francois Kembolo Luyeye31%
Luan Gautier29%
Yan Marillat27%
Steve Solvet22%
Leandro Morante19%
Nathanaël Saintini18%
Akim Djaha18%
Yanis Hadjem17%
Simon Falette12%
Samir Belloumou12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Jeremy Aymes8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Yannick Etilé8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Milan Robin6%
Alain Ipiele6%
Romain Montiel6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Bevic Moussiti Oko4%
Ayoub Amraoui3%
Mahamé Siby0%
Steve Shamal0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayoub Amraoui13%
Alain Ipiele9%
Yanis Hadjem8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Nathanaël Saintini7%
Romain Montiel6%
Mohamed Bamba6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Samir Belloumou4%
Steve Solvet4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Oucasse Mendy3%
Milan Robin3%
Simon Falette3%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romain Montiel12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Karim Tlilli9%
Oualid Orinel8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Steve Solvet4%
Simon Falette0%
Mahamé Siby0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Milan Robin0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Alain Ipiele0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Paris FC
Dunkerque
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
PAU
Grenoble
Amiens
Ajaccio
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
Caen
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