This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.53
0.75
1.31
1.00
1.79
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.45
0.67
1.33
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (19)
1.00
1.58
0.80
1.30
1.22
1.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
@ 2.05+9.7%
Under 2.5
44.4%
@ 1.74-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
0-0 ✓
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
Metz goals ↓
Niort goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
4.0%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
1
9.9%
11%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
7.2%
6.6%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
4
3.6%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metz goals (down), columns = Niort goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Metz is 1.17 points better than Niort in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Metz is 0.60 goals better than Niort in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Metz is 0.97 goals better than Niort in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metz
For 3.3 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Niort
For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 15.3 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
8.8
11.9
3.2
2.9
3.6
24.9
24.2
25.6
vs Stronger (15)
10.4
9.4
11.2
4.9
4.6
5.1
22.3
21.1
23.2
vs Similar (25)
10.6
8.6
12.6
3.1
2.9
3.3
26.9
26.7
27.2
vs Weaker (10)
8.5
6.0
11.0
1.0
0.8
1.2
26.5
23.0
30.0
% over line
54%
41%
67%
52%
48%
56%
80%
71%
89%
% under line
46%
59%
33%
48%
52%
44%
20%
29%
11%
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.2
9.0
2.2
1.9
2.5
26.1
24.9
27.3
vs Stronger (21)
8.7
8.3
9.1
2.2
2.1
2.4
23.2
23.2
23.2
vs Similar (29)
8.6
8.1
8.9
2.2
1.7
2.5
28.9
26.8
30.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
37%
35%
39%
24%
12%
36%
71%
71%
72%
% under line
63%
65%
61%
76%
88%
64%
29%
29%
28%
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Dijon
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Bordeaux
9.4
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.1
Paris FC
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Niort
8.6
Amiens
8.6
Grenoble
8.4
Rouen
8.2
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.9
Annecy
7.0
Laval
2.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
8.0
Metz
4.6
Valenciennes
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Caen
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Grenoble
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
4.0
Rouen
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
PAU
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Amiens
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Nimes
3.7
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
37.0
Valenciennes
31.6
Rouen
29.8
Caen
28.9
Rodez
28.3
Guingamp
28.0
Nimes
27.8
Niort
27.7
Amiens
27.5
Bastia
27.2
Dijon
27.0
PAU
26.9
Grenoble
26.5
Sochaux
26.0
Le Havre
25.7
Metz
25.6
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Bordeaux
23.5
Annecy
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.0%
Under 9.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.7%
Under 21.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.75
0.56
0.71
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.14
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.64
1.00
0.86
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.44
0.60
0.20
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.83
0.19
0.75
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.91
0.00
1.00
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.79
0.30
0.60
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.87
0.50
0.56
0.36
1.21
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.29
0.75
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.71
0.29
0.57
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (9)
0.33
0.78
0.60
0.20
0.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.56
0.56
0.29
0.86
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.55
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.79
0.50
0.70
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Georges Mikautadze43%
Amadou Dia Ndiaye25%
Youssef Maziz24%
William Mikelbrencis20%
Ibrahima Niane15%
Ablie Jallow15%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly11%
Lamine Gueye10%
Matthieu Udol8%
Lenny Joseph7%
Arthur Atta6%
Kévin N'Doram5%
Habib Maïga3%
Koffi Kouao3%
Fali Candé3%
Ismaël Traoré0%
Boubakar Kouyaté0%
Xhuliano Skuka0%
Alexandre Oukidja0%
Fabien Centonze0%
Amine Bassi0%
Vagner Dias0%
Sofiane Alakouch0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Papa Ndiaga Yade0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Ousmane Ba0%
Danley Jean Jacques0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Lamine Camara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Papa Ndiaga Yade67%
Boubakar Kouyaté42%
William Mikelbrencis40%
Fabien Centonze33%
Habib Maïga26%
Danley Jean Jacques23%
Joseph N'Duquidi21%
Koffi Kouao18%
Kévin N'Doram14%
Georges Mikautadze11%
Fali Candé11%
Ibrahima Niane8%
Lenny Joseph7%
Ismaël Traoré7%
Arthur Atta6%
Matthieu Udol5%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly4%
Lamine Gueye3%
Youssef Maziz3%
Alexandre Oukidja3%
Ablie Jallow3%
Xhuliano Skuka0%
Amadou Dia Ndiaye0%
Amine Bassi0%
Vagner Dias0%
Sofiane Alakouch0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Ousmane Ba0%
Lamine Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lamine Camara25%
Georges Mikautadze19%
Youssef Maziz17%
Ablie Jallow15%
Matthieu Udol13%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly7%
Lamine Gueye7%
Danley Jean Jacques6%
Ismaël Traoré3%
Koffi Kouao3%
Kévin N'Doram0%
Boubakar Kouyaté0%
Xhuliano Skuka0%
Alexandre Oukidja0%
Habib Maïga0%
Amadou Dia Ndiaye0%
Ibrahima Niane0%
Fabien Centonze0%
Amine Bassi0%
Vagner Dias0%
Sofiane Alakouch0%
Lenny Joseph0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Fali Candé0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Papa Ndiaga Yade0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Ousmane Ba0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Arthur Atta0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahima Niane38%
Georges Mikautadze32%
Ablie Jallow18%
Lamine Gueye17%
Youssef Maziz14%
Habib Maïga13%
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly11%
Lenny Joseph7%
Danley Jean Jacques3%
Kévin N'Doram0%
Ismaël Traoré0%
Boubakar Kouyaté0%
Xhuliano Skuka0%
Alexandre Oukidja0%
Matthieu Udol0%
Amadou Dia Ndiaye0%
Fabien Centonze0%
Amine Bassi0%
Vagner Dias0%
Sofiane Alakouch0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Fali Candé0%
Koffi Kouao0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Papa Ndiaga Yade0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Ousmane Ba0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Arthur Atta0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Lamine Camara0%
Niort
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bilal Boutobba29%
Moataz Zemzemi17%
Nesta Elphege17%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Amadou Sagna11%
Junior Olaitan9%
Samuel Renel8%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Bryan Passi5%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Lenny Vallier4%
Yanis Merdji4%
Samy Benchama3%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Landry Manga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Kabore30%
Dylan Durivaux21%
Bilal Boutobba17%
Joris Moutachy15%
Ibrahima Sory Conté14%
Moataz Zemzemi13%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Junior Olaitan12%
Quentin Bernard12%
Lenny Vallier11%
Yanis Merdji11%
Bryan Passi11%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo7%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama6%
Samy Benchama6%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Amadou Sagna5%
Samuel Renel4%
Mathieu Michel3%
Jean Louchet0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Landry Manga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amadou Sagna14%
Bilal Boutobba11%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Junior Olaitan9%
Charles Kabore7%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Samuel Renel4%
Moataz Zemzemi3%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Yanis Merdji0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Junior Flemmings0%
Samy Benchama0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bilal Boutobba20%
Junior Olaitan18%
Junior Flemmings12%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Amadou Sagna5%
Yanis Merdji4%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Ibrahima Sory Conté0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Moataz Zemzemi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Samy Benchama0%
Samuel Renel0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Bordeaux
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Caen
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Rouen
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
PAU
Dijon
Nimes