This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.77
1.64
0.57
1.06
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
1.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.42
0.62
1.70
0.40
1.21
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.4%
Under 1.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.0%
@ 1.94-5.3%
Under 2.5
57.0%
@ 1.81+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
PAU goals ↓
Bordeaux goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
11%
8.6%
4.0%
1.4%
1
8.0%
14%
8.8%
4.0%
1.4%
2
4.7%
6.5%
4.5%
2.1%
0.7%
3
1.6%
2.2%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAU goals (down), columns = Bordeaux goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
PAU and Bordeaux are level in average points per game (both 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
PAU is 0.25 goals better than Bordeaux in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
PAU is 0.15 goals worse than Bordeaux in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
PAU is 10.8 percentage points worse than Bordeaux in terms of average possession (49% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PAU
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bordeaux
For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAU
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.7
7.5
7.8
0.8
1.0
0.6
24.5
23.0
26.0
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
7.0
7.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
28.5
19.0
38.0
vs Similar (38)
7.8
6.7
9.0
0.7
0.8
0.5
24.2
25.3
23.0
vs Weaker (8)
7.8
9.0
6.5
0.8
1.0
0.5
23.0
21.5
24.5
% over line
25%
17%
33%
10%
12%
8%
50%
33%
67%
% under line
75%
83%
67%
90%
88%
92%
50%
67%
33%
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.8
9.7
1.1
1.4
0.8
27.0
27.8
26.2
vs Stronger (18)
9.3
9.2
9.4
2.7
3.7
1.8
26.3
26.6
26.0
vs Similar (32)
9.0
7.0
11.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
30.5
34.0
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
33%
50%
12%
16%
8%
83%
83%
83%
% under line
58%
67%
50%
88%
84%
92%
17%
17%
17%
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Concarneau
11.0
Quevilly
11.0
Bordeaux
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.3
Estac Troyes
9.2
Caen
9.2
PAU
9.1
Auxerre
9.1
Guingamp
9.0
Valenciennes
9.0
Amiens
8.9
Angers
8.8
Paris FC
8.8
Bastia
8.6
Dunkerque
8.6
Grenoble
8.3
Ajaccio
8.2
Rouen
7.9
Rodez
7.9
Annecy
7.0
Laval
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
6.0
Valenciennes
4.5
Estac Troyes
4.5
Caen
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Ajaccio
4.2
Grenoble
4.1
Angers
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Bastia
3.9
Rouen
3.9
PAU
3.9
Rodez
3.8
Dunkerque
3.8
Amiens
3.7
Auxerre
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
Annecy
3.0
Concarneau
3.0
Quevilly
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.3
Dunkerque
31.0
Rouen
29.1
Laval
29.0
Quevilly
29.0
Caen
28.8
Ajaccio
28.1
Guingamp
28.0
Bastia
27.9
Rodez
27.9
Amiens
27.1
Grenoble
26.8
PAU
26.4
Estac Troyes
25.8
Saint Etienne
25.4
Paris FC
25.2
Angers
24.9
Annecy
24.3
Concarneau
24.0
Bordeaux
23.5
Auxerre
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
35.7%
Under 9.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.0%
Under 3.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.0%
Under 21.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAU
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.56
0.69
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.62
0.54
0.69
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.30
0.93
0.14
0.50
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.33
0.75
0.25
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.29
1.00
0.10
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAU
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.69
0.94
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.88
0.69
0.92
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.71
0.43
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.33
0.70
0.30
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAU
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moussa Sylla34%
Mons Bassouamina29%
Mayron George25%
Khalid Boutaïb23%
Henri Saivet22%
Charles Boli12%
Yanis Begraoui11%
Iyad Mohamed10%
Jean Ruiz9%
Yonis Njoh8%
Steeve Beusnard6%
Oumar Ngom6%
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou4%
Sessi D'Almeida3%
Tino Costa0%
Johann Obiang0%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Kenji Van Boto0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Mehdi Chahiri0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jordy Gaspar0%
Sonny Degert0%
Lenny Pirringuel0%
Louis Mouton0%
Therence Koudou0%
Thomas Colleaux0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tino Costa33%
Antoine Batisse33%
Jean Ruiz29%
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou26%
Therence Koudou25%
Sessi D'Almeida24%
Iyad Mohamed20%
Lenny Pirringuel20%
Thomas Colleaux20%
Johann Obiang19%
Ousmane Kanté19%
Xavier Kouassi19%
Louis Mouton19%
Steeve Beusnard16%
Moussa Sylla11%
Khalid Boutaïb10%
Mehdi Chahiri10%
Henri Saivet9%
Kenji Van Boto8%
Bingourou Kamara8%
Charles Boli8%
Yonis Njoh8%
Jordy Gaspar7%
Mayron George0%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Sonny Degert0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tino Costa33%
Iyad Mohamed30%
Moussa Sylla17%
Kenji Van Boto12%
Henri Saivet12%
Louis Mouton11%
Yanis Begraoui11%
Khalid Boutaïb10%
Jean Ruiz9%
Jordy Gaspar7%
Mons Bassouamina6%
Mehdi Chahiri5%
Johann Obiang4%
Charles Boli4%
Steeve Beusnard3%
Mayron George0%
Sessi D'Almeida0%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Sonny Degert0%
Lenny Pirringuel0%
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou0%
Therence Koudou0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Thomas Colleaux0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Khalid Boutaïb29%
Moussa Sylla23%
Yonis Njoh8%
Henri Saivet6%
Mons Bassouamina6%
Yanis Begraoui5%
Mehdi Chahiri5%
Charles Boli4%
Mayron George0%
Sessi D'Almeida0%
Tino Costa0%
Johann Obiang0%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Kenji Van Boto0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Steeve Beusnard0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jordy Gaspar0%
Sonny Degert0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Lenny Pirringuel0%
Louis Mouton0%
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou0%
Therence Koudou0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Thomas Colleaux0%
Bordeaux
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik24%
Zuriko Davitashvili22%
Alberth Elis21%
Pedro Díaz18%
Yoann Barbet17%
Jérémy Livolant13%
Emmanuel Biumla12%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Julien Vetro8%
Alexi Pitu4%
Vital Nsimba4%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Aliou Badji0%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Danylo Ignatenko33%
Nfansu Njie25%
Clément Michelin23%
Aliou Badji17%
Alexi Pitu16%
Stian Gregersen15%
Malcom Bokele15%
Marvin de Lima13%
Jacques Ekomie13%
Issouf Sissokho13%
Emmanuel Biumla12%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Jean Marcelin12%
Yohan Cassubie12%
Vital Nsimba12%
Yoann Barbet11%
Alberth Elis11%
Zuriko Davitashvili8%
Jérémy Livolant8%
Pedro Díaz5%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Žan Vipotnik0%
Julien Vetro0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Mathys Angely0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zuriko Davitashvili19%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Mathias De Amorim11%
Jérémy Livolant11%
Pedro Díaz11%
Aliou Badji8%
Žan Vipotnik8%
Alexi Pitu8%
Julien Vetro8%
Alberth Elis5%
Vital Nsimba4%
Malcom Bokele4%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Clément Michelin3%
Issouf Sissokho3%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Yoann Barbet0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik24%
Gaetan Weissbeck21%
Zuriko Davitashvili19%
Pedro Díaz13%
Alberth Elis11%
Aliou Badji8%
Vital Nsimba8%
Jérémy Livolant5%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Yoann Barbet3%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Julien Vetro0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Auxerre
Angers
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Caen
Paris FC
Amiens
Laval
Guingamp
Grenoble
Bastia
Annecy
Ajaccio
Dunkerque
Estac Troyes
Concarneau
Quevilly
Rouen
Valenciennes