This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.50
0.93
1.14
1.12
1.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.17
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.08
1.58
1.00
1.09
1.15
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.3%
@ 2.15+10.6%
Under 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.67-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-0 ✓
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
PAU goals ↓
Nimes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.3%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
1
7.8%
13%
7.5%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
9.1%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.7%
4.7%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAU goals (down), columns = Nimes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
PAU is 0.20 points better than Nimes in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
PAU is 0.07 goals worse than Nimes in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
PAU is 0.18 goals better than Nimes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PAU
For 4.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nimes
For 3.0 · Against 7.1 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAU
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
7.9
9.5
3.0
3.3
2.6
26.2
26.7
25.7
vs Stronger (6)
6.7
5.3
8.0
3.7
2.7
4.7
25.0
21.3
28.7
vs Similar (36)
9.6
8.4
10.6
3.0
4.1
2.2
26.8
28.2
25.5
vs Weaker (8)
7.6
8.3
7.0
2.1
1.0
3.2
24.7
25.7
24.0
% over line
39%
28%
50%
40%
43%
37%
79%
72%
85%
% under line
61%
72%
50%
60%
57%
63%
21%
28%
15%
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.6
10.1
2.9
3.0
2.8
27.7
29.3
26.2
vs Stronger (10)
8.0
7.5
8.5
2.7
3.0
2.4
24.9
24.2
25.5
vs Similar (40)
10.3
10.1
10.5
3.0
3.0
2.9
28.5
30.6
26.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
47%
47%
34%
36%
32%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
53%
53%
53%
66%
64%
68%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Dijon
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Bordeaux
9.4
Sochaux
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.1
Paris FC
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Niort
8.6
Amiens
8.5
Grenoble
8.4
Rouen
8.2
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.9
Annecy
7.0
Laval
2.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
8.0
Metz
4.6
Valenciennes
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Caen
4.4
Sochaux
4.2
Grenoble
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
4.0
PAU
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Le Havre
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Rouen
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Nimes
3.7
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
37.0
Valenciennes
31.6
Rouen
30.2
Caen
28.9
Rodez
28.3
Guingamp
28.0
Nimes
27.8
Niort
27.7
Amiens
27.5
Bastia
27.2
Dijon
27.0
PAU
26.9
Grenoble
26.5
Sochaux
26.0
Metz
25.6
Le Havre
25.4
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Bordeaux
23.5
Annecy
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.3%
Under 9.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.7%
Under 3.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.1%
Under 21.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAU
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.73
0.31
0.77
0.29
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.30
0.74
0.20
0.60
0.38
0.85
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.60
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.57
0.29
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.58
0.55
0.09
0.31
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAU
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.69
0.77
0.65
0.65
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.70
0.80
0.80
0.46
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
0.50
0.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.36
0.86
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.67
1.00
0.45
1.00
0.85
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAU
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yanis Begraoui39%
Mayron George23%
Mons Bassouamina18%
Henri Saivet18%
Pape Ibnou Ba12%
Nguyễn Quang Hải8%
Quentin Boisgard6%
Steeve Beusnard5%
Mohamed Yattara5%
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan4%
Charles Boli4%
Abzi Diyaeddine3%
Eddy Sylvestre3%
Erwin Koffi3%
Sessi D'Almeida0%
David Gomis0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Jovan Nišić0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Walid Jarmouni0%
Nathan Monzango0%
Massamba Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Kouassi28%
Abzi Diyaeddine28%
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan27%
Sessi D'Almeida26%
David Gomis25%
Nathan Monzango25%
Antoine Batisse18%
Noé Sow17%
Steeve Beusnard16%
Jean Ruiz14%
Eddy Sylvestre12%
Quentin Boisgard11%
Mohamed Yattara10%
Mons Bassouamina9%
Jovan Nišić8%
Mayron George8%
Charles Boli7%
Henri Saivet6%
Yanis Begraoui6%
Alexandre Olliero5%
Erwin Koffi0%
Nguyễn Quang Hải0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Pape Ibnou Ba0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Walid Jarmouni0%
Massamba Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Quentin Boisgard11%
Eddy Sylvestre9%
David Gomis8%
Erwin Koffi8%
Mayron George8%
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan8%
Henri Saivet6%
Xavier Kouassi6%
Steeve Beusnard5%
Charles Boli4%
Abzi Diyaeddine3%
Mons Bassouamina3%
Mohamed Yattara0%
Sessi D'Almeida0%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Jovan Nišić0%
Nguyễn Quang Hải0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Pape Ibnou Ba0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Walid Jarmouni0%
Nathan Monzango0%
Massamba Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yanis Begraoui28%
Pape Ibnou Ba25%
Quentin Boisgard11%
Mons Bassouamina9%
David Gomis8%
Mohamed Yattara5%
Mayron George4%
Charles Boli4%
Henri Saivet3%
Jean Ruiz3%
Sessi D'Almeida0%
Erwin Koffi0%
Steeve Beusnard0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Jovan Nišić0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan0%
Nguyễn Quang Hải0%
Abzi Diyaeddine0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Walid Jarmouni0%
Nathan Monzango0%
Massamba Ndiaye0%
Nimes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Tchokounté29%
Rafiki Saïd27%
Moussa Koné17%
Nicolas Benezet10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Lys Mousset9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Guessouma Fofana8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Thibault Vargas4%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Steve Ambri0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Lucas Dias0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lamine Fomba33%
Guessouma Fofana25%
Yassine Benrahou22%
Steve Ambri21%
Jean N'Guessan20%
Nicolas Benezet19%
Nasser Djiga19%
Kelyan Guessoum17%
Maël Durand de Gevigney16%
Ronny Labonne12%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Patrick Burner9%
Moussa Koné8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Axel Maraval7%
Joseph Lopy6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Jens Jakob Thomasen4%
Thibault Vargas4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Lys Mousset0%
Lucas Dias0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Rafiki Saïd0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mahamadou Doucouré33%
Joseph Lopy19%
Lys Mousset18%
Thibault Vargas12%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Rafiki Saïd10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Steve Ambri7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Nicolas Benezet5%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Ronny Labonne3%
Patrick Burner3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Lucas Dias0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Moussa Koné0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pablo Pagis22%
Elías Már Ómarsson17%
Malik Tchokounté13%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Lys Mousset9%
Moussa Koné8%
Rafiki Saïd7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Thibault Vargas4%
Ronny Labonne3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Steve Ambri0%
Lucas Dias0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Nicolas Benezet0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Caen
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Rouen
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
Dijon
Niort