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AC Milan vs Lazio Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 1-2
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
40%
30%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lazio
Lazio
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 2.05
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.59
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lazio win✓ Hit
30.1%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.50
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W32W12L11D20W01L10W11D12L12LH·GIR22/01H·PAR26/01A·DIN29/01H·INT02/02A·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02A·BOL27/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.031.400.671.331.40
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.931.291.141.000.711.57
vs Weaker (15)1.670.801.620.381.711.29
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LazioLazio

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L11D30W31W12L01L21W51W22D00DA·AS 05/01H·COM10/01A·HEL19/01H·REA23/01H·FIO26/01A·SC 30/01A·CAG03/02H·MON09/02H·NAP15/02A·VEN22/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.102.071.291.690.94
vs Stronger (3)0.672.671.003.500.001.00
vs Similar (15)1.871.001.881.001.861.00
vs Weaker (12)2.170.833.000.751.750.88
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%019%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.9%
Under 1.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.4%
@ 1.83-9.9%
Under 2.5
57.6%
@ 2.01+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
1-2 ✓
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
AC Milan goals ↓
Lazio goals →
01234
011%8.8%5.5%2.0%0.5%
111%14%7.1%2.6%0.7%
27.7%8.4%4.6%1.7%0.5%
33.3%3.6%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Lazio goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
AC Milan is 0.05 points worse than Lazio in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
AC Milan and Lazio are level in goals scored per game (both 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
AC Milan is 0.16 goals better than Lazio in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
AC Milan is 1.0 percentage points worse than Lazio in terms of average possession (54% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 6.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

19054114431076562811457463915717118199119A·BOLA·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMPH·INTA·DINH·PARH·GIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

8021115334125325325223287382874A·BOLA·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMPH·INTA·DINH·PARH·GIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.3

⚠️ Fouls

300151351411101118981017591611147121828192129172714272130A·BOLA·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMPH·INTA·DINH·PARH·GIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LazioLazio

For 7.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

160667181777414233657710312891411166111413A·VENH·NAPH·MONA·CAGA·SC H·FIOH·REAA·HELH·COMA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

10024221115242753642364116698105A·VENH·NAPH·MONA·SC H·FIOH·REAA·HELH·COMA·AS H·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.4 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

3301221919101291415139121068101415181233282223282116182930A·VENH·NAPH·MONA·CAGA·SC H·FIOH·REAA·HELH·COMA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.39.94.54.64.422.621.623.6
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (23)9.49.49.55.15.34.922.421.723.0
vs Weaker (26)10.510.910.14.04.23.622.821.524.6
% over line52%56%48%60%64%56%48%40%56%
% under line48%44%52%40%36%44%52%60%44%
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LazioLazio

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.610.25.76.05.424.824.425.1
vs Stronger (6)8.58.78.34.86.03.723.823.324.3
vs Similar (21)9.49.49.46.26.55.925.523.628.0
vs Weaker (23)10.710.011.25.45.45.424.325.723.3
% over line48%40%56%80%84%76%74%68%80%
% under line52%60%44%20%16%24%26%32%20%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Empoli
10.7
Udinese
10.6
Lecce
10.4
Parma
10.3
Cagliari
10.3
Venezia
10.3
AC Milan
10.1
Hellas Verona
10.0
Lazio
9.9
Genoa
9.8
Napoli
9.6
Torino
9.6
Juventus
9.4
Inter
9.2
AS Roma
9.2
Como
8.9
Fiorentina
8.8
Monza
8.8
Bologna
8.6
Atalanta
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.0
Parma
4.9
Bologna
4.9
Udinese
4.9
Como
4.7
AS Roma
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Monza
4.5
AC Milan
4.5
Venezia
4.4
Torino
4.3
Lecce
4.1
Genoa
4.0
Empoli
4.0
Juventus
3.8
Napoli
3.7
Inter
3.3
Atalanta
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
28.4
Empoli
27.9
Como
27.9
Monza
26.6
Fiorentina
26.3
Hellas Verona
25.8
Venezia
25.7
Lecce
25.2
Udinese
24.9
Lazio
24.8
Cagliari
24.6
Genoa
23.9
Torino
23.7
AS Roma
23.6
Parma
23.6
Napoli
23.1
Inter
23.0
Atalanta
22.7
Juventus
22.6
AC Milan
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.8%
Under 9.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W11D01L10W00D01L00D10W01L10WH·GIR22/01H·PAR26/01A·DIN29/01H·INT02/02A·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02A·BOL27/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.870.270.530.53
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.430.500.710.430.140.57
vs Weaker (15)0.870.271.000.120.710.43
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LazioLazio

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W20W30W02L01L10W10W11D00DA·AS 05/01H·COM10/01A·HEL19/01H·REA23/01H·FIO26/01A·SC 30/01A·CAG03/02H·MON09/02H·NAP15/02A·VEN22/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.400.930.570.880.25
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
vs Similar (15)1.000.471.000.501.000.43
vs Weaker (12)0.920.251.000.500.880.12
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W11D01L20W00D10W01L11D02LH·GIR22/01H·PAR26/01A·DIN29/01H·INT02/02A·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02A·BOL27/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.530.400.800.87
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.790.430.570.571.00
vs Weaker (15)0.800.530.620.251.000.86
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LazioLazio

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L10W01L10W00D11D41W11D00DA·AS 05/01H·COM10/01A·HEL19/01H·REA23/01H·FIO26/01A·SC 30/01A·CAG03/02H·MON09/02H·NAP15/02A·VEN22/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.140.710.810.69
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.502.500.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.870.530.880.500.860.57
vs Weaker (12)1.250.582.000.250.880.75
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls83.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards72.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls71.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Pulišić29%
Santiago Giménez26%
Álvaro Morata26%
Tijjani Reijnders25%
Rafael Leão22%
Tammy Abraham19%
Luka Jović18%
João Félix14%
Samuel Chukwueze11%
Theo Hernández9%
Davide Calabria8%
Noah Okafor6%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Malick Thiaw3%
Youssouf Fofana2%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Yunus Musah0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Morata35%
Ismaël Bennacer29%
Filippo Terracciano25%
Davide Calabria23%
Álex Jiménez23%
Fikayo Tomori21%
Emerson Royal21%
Warren Bondo20%
João Félix19%
Yunus Musah18%
Theo Hernández17%
Santiago Giménez16%
Rafael Leão14%
Matteo Gabbia14%
Youssouf Fofana14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek11%
Malick Thiaw10%
Strahinja Pavlović9%
Francesco Camarda7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Kyle Walker6%
Luka Jović6%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Samuel Chukwueze6%
Mike Maignan4%
Tammy Abraham2%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Noah Okafor0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Youssouf Fofana18%
Santiago Giménez16%
Ismaël Bennacer14%
Tammy Abraham14%
Noah Okafor12%
Theo Hernández9%
Samuel Chukwueze8%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Álex Jiménez8%
Fikayo Tomori6%
Yunus Musah5%
Álvaro Morata4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
João Félix0%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Félix29%
Rafael Leão14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Álvaro Morata13%
Theo Hernández11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Christian Pulišić10%
Tammy Abraham7%
Youssouf Fofana4%
Álex Jiménez4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Matteo Gabbia3%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Yunus Musah3%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Strahinja Pavlović0%
Noah Okafor0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Lazio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentín Castellanos30%
Pedro25%
Boulaye Dia23%
Mattia Zaccagni22%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru17%
Gustav Isaksen12%
Alessio Romagnoli12%
Tijjani Noslin10%
Samuel Gigot9%
Adam Marušić8%
Matías Vecino7%
Patric6%
Loum Tchaouna5%
Mario Gila Fuentes5%
Mattéo Guendouzi2%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Christos Mandas0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Reda Belahyane0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Rovella39%
Mattia Zaccagni33%
Matías Vecino31%
Luca Pellegrini30%
Samuel Gigot26%
Valentín Castellanos25%
Patric22%
Mario Gila Fuentes21%
Mattéo Guendouzi19%
Elseid Hysaj14%
Gustav Isaksen14%
Alessio Romagnoli14%
Manuel Lazzari12%
Loum Tchaouna11%
Nuno Tavares10%
Boulaye Dia6%
Tijjani Noslin5%
Pedro5%
Adam Marušić4%
Christos Mandas0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nuno Tavares23%
Elseid Hysaj21%
Mattia Zaccagni17%
Matías Vecino14%
Luca Pellegrini13%
Mattéo Guendouzi10%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru10%
Gustav Isaksen10%
Valentín Castellanos10%
Pedro9%
Nicolò Rovella9%
Tijjani Noslin8%
Samuel Gigot4%
Boulaye Dia4%
Manuel Lazzari3%
Loum Tchaouna3%
Alessio Romagnoli2%
Patric0%
Adam Marušić0%
Christos Mandas0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentín Castellanos52%
Pedro11%
Mattia Zaccagni9%
Gustav Isaksen8%
Tijjani Noslin8%
Matías Vecino7%
Luca Pellegrini7%
Mario Gila Fuentes5%
Nuno Tavares3%
Loum Tchaouna3%
Alessio Romagnoli2%
Nicolò Rovella2%
Mattéo Guendouzi2%
Adam Marušić2%
Boulaye Dia2%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Samuel Gigot0%
Patric0%
Christos Mandas0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €345m more valuable than Lazio's (€585m vs €240m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €163m more valuable than Lazio's (€223m vs €60m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €66m more valuable than Lazio's (€153m vs €86m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €116m more valuable than Lazio's (€209m vs €93m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
AM wins
1
Draws
2
LAZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Lazio · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24ALazio Vs AM2-2
01/03/24ALazio Vs AM0-1
30/09/23HAM Vs Lazio2-0
06/05/23HAM Vs Lazio2-0
24/01/23ALazio Vs AM4-0
24/04/22ALazio Vs AM1-2
12/09/21HAM Vs Lazio2-0
26/04/21ALazio Vs AM3-0

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/25ABologna Vs AM2-1
22/02/25ATorino Vs AM2-1
18/02/25HAM Vs Feyenoord1-1
15/02/25HAM Vs Hellas Verona1-0
12/02/25AFeyenoord Vs AM1-0
08/02/25AEmpoli Vs AM0-2
02/02/25HAM Vs Inter1-1
29/01/25ADinamo Zagreb Vs AM2-1
26/01/25HAM Vs Parma3-2
22/01/25HAM Vs Girona1-0

LazioLazio

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25AVenezia Vs LAZ0-0
15/02/25HLAZ Vs Napoli2-2
09/02/25HLAZ Vs Monza5-1
03/02/25ACagliari Vs LAZ1-2
30/01/25ASC Braga Vs LAZ1-0
26/01/25HLAZ Vs Fiorentina1-2
23/01/25HLAZ Vs Real Sociedad3-1
19/01/25AHellas Verona Vs LAZ0-3
10/01/25HLAZ Vs Como1-1
05/01/25AAS Roma Vs LAZ2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.58
HomeWWDWD1.80
AwayLWLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.882.763.00
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %62%52%72%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.641.761.52
Conceded1.241.001.48
BTTS62%52%72%
Clean Sheet28%40%16%
Corners10.0810.289.88
Cards4.524.644.40
Lazio
Lazio
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.80
HomeDWLWD1.92
AwayLWLWD1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%56%52%
AVG goals2.843.042.64
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.701.881.52
Conceded1.141.161.12
BTTS58%68%48%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners9.909.5610.24
Cards5.806.005.58

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NapoliNapoli3882
63%
2.2
5927+32
2.3
71%
45%
16%
9.4
50%
3.2
41%
23.3
66%
459
2061011521.60.7
55%
2InterInter3881
63%
2.1
7935+44
3.0
79%
55%
39%
9.5
43%
3.3
44%
22.5
49%
694
2202322422.10.9
59%
3AtalantaAtalanta3874
58%
1.9
7837+41
3.0
82%
55%
39%
8.4
24%
3.4
36%
22.4
55%
438
1581281532.11.0
55%
4JuventusJuventus3870
47%
1.8
5835+23
2.4
76%
42%
21%
9.5
53%
3.8
58%
22.9
71%
569
2401401891.50.9
58%
5AS RomaAS Roma3869
53%
1.8
5635+21
2.4
66%
39%
24%
8.5
39%
4.3
59%
24.0
68%
471
1381182151.50.9
54%
6FiorentinaFiorentina3865
50%
1.7
6041+19
2.7
71%
61%
24%
8.0
30%
4.9
81%
27.2
86%
330
125107981.61.1
51%
7LazioLazio3865
47%
1.7
6149+12
2.9
82%
61%
29%
10.4
50%
6.2
92%
24.5
76%
240
6086931.61.3
55%
8AC MilanAC Milan3863
47%
1.7
6143+18
2.7
82%
61%
26%
9.9
53%
4.1
50%
22.7
50%
585
2231532091.61.1
54%
9BolognaBologna3862
42%
1.6
5747+10
2.7
82%
53%
34%
8.2
34%
4.4
70%
31.0
97%
218
10434791.51.2
59%
10ComoComo3849
34%
1.3
4952-3
2.7
84%
45%
24%
8.3
39%
5.1
74%
27.6
95%
488
261831441.31.4
55%
11TorinoTorino3844
26%
1.2
3945-6
2.2
68%
26%
21%
9.3
50%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
144
4346541.01.2
47%
12UdineseUdinese3844
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.0
61%
4.3
65%
24.9
76%
157
4639721.11.5
47%
13GenoaGenoa3843
26%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.4
42%
4.1
64%
25.7
79%
182
5444841.01.3
46%
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3837
26%
1.0
3466-32
2.6
68%
47%
26%
9.3
47%
4.4
65%
25.1
66%
57
1314300.91.7
38%
15ParmaParma3836
18%
0.9
4458-14
2.7
71%
55%
39%
10.3
68%
4.4
55%
23.4
61%
142
3560461.21.5
44%
16CagliariCagliari3836
24%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
76%
50%
21%
9.8
50%
3.8
53%
24.3
66%
134
5131521.11.5
45%
17LecceLecce3834
21%
0.9
2758-31
2.2
58%
39%
24%
10.4
47%
4.1
61%
24.2
68%
72
2016370.71.5
44%
18EmpoliEmpoli3831
16%
0.8
3359-26
2.4
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
3.9
46%
27.8
84%
20
11640.91.6
41%
19VeneziaVenezia3829
13%
0.8
3256-24
2.3
68%
42%
24%
9.6
47%
3.9
45%
26.3
79%
117
3931470.81.5
45%
20MonzaMonza3818
8%
0.5
2869-41
2.6
79%
50%
24%
8.7
45%
4.2
58%
28.3
84%
70
2624200.71.8
49%
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches