PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

AS Roma vs Fiorentina Result & Analysis

Date: 15/01/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
AS Roma
AS Roma
Vs
44%
32%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity sets the tone for this encounter, with Roma’s home form showing a clean-sheet average of 1.0 conceded per match and no goals scored in recent home fixtures, while Fiorentina’s away record indicates 1.25 goals conceded and 0.62 scored against similar opposition. The model favours a home win, assigning a 44% chance to AS Roma, a 32% chance to a draw, and a 24% chance for Fiorentina. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.4% probability. The suggested picks are: Over 19.5 fouls 93.9%, Over 2.5 cards 90.1%, Over 21.5 fouls 87.0%, Under 3.5 84.3% (hit), Over 3.5 cards 78.0%, Over 23.5 fouls 76.3%, and Under 11.5 corners 74.4%. Roma’s recent five-game winning streak and a 4-0 victory over Lecce contrast sharply with Fiorentina’s three-game losing run and a 0-3 loss to Frosinone, underscoring the home side’s advantage.

Results analysis

The match saw AS Roma extend a five-game winning streak, while Fiorentina struggled after two straight defeats. The final score was 2-0, confirming a home win. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 44% probability, and it proved correct. The only suggested pick was Under 3.5 goals, with an 84.3% probability, and it hit. The model also anticipated a 2-goal total, the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 14.4%, 1-0 at 14.1% and 0-0 at 13.8%. All selections were settled, and the predictions largely matched reality.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AS Roma win✓ Hit
43.7%
Avg Implied 47.8% · @ 2.00
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.51
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.83
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L21W31W31W01L11D11D10W22DA·SAM17/10H·NAP23/10A·HJK27/10A·HEL31/10H·LUD03/11H·LAZ06/11A·SAS09/11H·TOR13/11H·BOL04/01A·AC 08/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.031.290.711.381.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.781.440.001.001.171.67
vs Weaker (21)1.570.861.640.641.501.10
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D34L21W21W30W20W21W12L11D21WA·LEC17/10H·INT22/10H·BAŞ27/10A·SPE30/10A·RĪG03/11A·SAM06/11H·SAL09/11A·AC 13/11H·MON04/01H·SAS07/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.271.751.381.001.14
vs Stronger (4)1.501.251.501.25--
vs Similar (16)0.941.441.251.620.621.25
vs Weaker (10)2.101.003.001.001.501.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.8%
Under 1.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.04-12.3%
Under 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.79+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.7%
Under 3.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
14.1%
0-0
13.8%
2-0 ✓
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.5%
AS Roma goals ↓
Fiorentina goals →
01234
014%9.3%4.5%1.3%0.3%
114%14%5.6%1.6%0.3%
29.4%8.0%3.4%1.0%0.2%
33.9%3.3%1.4%0.4%0.1%
41.2%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Roma goals (down), columns = Fiorentina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Napoli
2.37
Lazio
1.95
Inter
1.89
Juventus
1.89
AC Milan
1.84
Atalanta
1.68
AS Roma
1.66
Fiorentina
1.47
Bologna
1.42
Torino
1.39
Monza
1.37
Udinese
1.21
Sassuolo
1.18
Empoli
1.13
Salernitana
1.11
Lecce
0.95
Hellas Verona
0.87
Spezia
0.79
Cremonese
0.71
Sampdoria
0.50
AS Roma is 0.18 points better than Fiorentina in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Napoli
2.03
Inter
1.87
Atalanta
1.74
AC Milan
1.68
Lazio
1.58
Juventus
1.47
Fiorentina
1.39
Bologna
1.39
AS Roma
1.32
Salernitana
1.26
Monza
1.26
Udinese
1.24
Sassuolo
1.24
Torino
1.11
Empoli
0.97
Cremonese
0.95
Hellas Verona
0.87
Lecce
0.87
Spezia
0.82
Sampdoria
0.63
AS Roma is 0.08 goals worse than Fiorentina in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.74
Lazio
0.79
Juventus
0.87
AS Roma
1.00
Torino
1.08
Inter
1.11
Fiorentina
1.13
AC Milan
1.13
Lecce
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Atalanta
1.26
Bologna
1.29
Empoli
1.29
Monza
1.37
Hellas Verona
1.54
Sassuolo
1.61
Salernitana
1.63
Spezia
1.67
Cremonese
1.82
Sampdoria
1.87
AS Roma is 0.13 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AS RomaAS Roma

For 7.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

22081624467194652023510598868131122815H·LUDA·HJKA·REAH·REAH·HJKA·LUDA·TORH·VENA·FIOH·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

10037323424233222613110576534841H·LUDA·HJKA·REAH·REAH·HJKA·LUDA·TORH·VENA·FIOH·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 24.7

⚠️ Fouls

3501916101281651619971910101114111610935222421282620252719H·LUDA·HJKA·REAH·REAH·HJKA·LUDA·TORH·VENA·FIOH·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FiorentinaFiorentina

For 6.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 7.9

🚩 Corners

11071651016182563162548651171011489A·RĪGH·BAŞH·HEAA·HEAA·BAŞH·RĪGA·TWEH·TWEH·JUVA·SAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

10031232434146434333345634510766A·RĪGH·BAŞH·HEAA·HEAA·BAŞH·RĪGA·TWEH·TWEH·JUVA·SAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.5

⚠️ Fouls

3301210178161415111319915181122131491822253026141833332727A·RĪGH·BAŞH·HEAA·HEAA·BAŞH·RĪGA·TWEH·TWEH·JUVA·SAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AS RomaAS Roma

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.08.84.04.43.625.925.626.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)9.18.89.43.94.43.526.024.527.2
vs Weaker (35)9.510.48.64.04.43.625.826.025.7
% over line42%44%41%58%54%62%79%62%94%
% under line58%56%59%42%46%38%21%38%6%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.07.28.93.33.82.826.827.126.5
vs Stronger (6)7.08.06.52.01.53.026.727.026.5
vs Similar (25)8.18.18.04.45.23.527.728.027.4
vs Weaker (19)8.25.511.02.32.71.925.425.525.3
% over line36%24%50%46%58%33%82%76%88%
% under line64%76%50%54%42%67%18%24%12%
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Empoli
10.8
Inter
10.4
Salernitana
10.4
Udinese
10.2
Monza
10.2
Sassuolo
10.1
AS Roma
9.8
Cremonese
9.6
Sampdoria
9.6
Lecce
9.5
Hellas Verona
9.5
Juventus
9.4
Bologna
9.4
Torino
9.3
Atalanta
9.2
Spezia
9.2
AC Milan
9.0
Napoli
9.0
Fiorentina
8.4
Lazio
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AS Roma
5.7
Lazio
5.6
Fiorentina
5.5
Lecce
5.3
Cremonese
5.3
Salernitana
5.1
Monza
5.1
Torino
5.0
Udinese
4.9
Hellas Verona
4.9
Bologna
4.9
Atalanta
4.8
Napoli
4.7
Sassuolo
4.6
Spezia
4.6
Juventus
4.6
Empoli
4.5
AC Milan
4.5
Sampdoria
4.4
Inter
4.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Monza
31.3
Torino
30.1
Lecce
30.0
Cremonese
29.4
Hellas Verona
28.7
Salernitana
28.1
Udinese
27.8
Fiorentina
27.0
Spezia
26.9
Sampdoria
26.9
Juventus
26.6
Atalanta
26.6
Empoli
26.5
Bologna
26.1
Sassuolo
25.9
Napoli
25.8
AS Roma
25.7
AC Milan
25.6
Lazio
24.0
Inter
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.0%
Under 3.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.0%
Under 21.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AS RomaAS Roma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D10W11D01L01L00D00D10W01LA·SAM17/10H·NAP23/10A·HJK27/10A·HEL31/10H·LUD03/11H·LAZ06/11A·SAS09/11H·TOR13/11H·BOL04/01A·AC 08/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.360.500.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.111.110.000.670.171.33
vs Weaker (21)0.570.430.450.450.700.40
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L11D11D30W10W10W11D10W00DA·LEC17/10H·INT22/10H·BAŞ27/10A·SPE30/10A·RĪG03/11A·SAM06/11H·SAL09/11A·AC 13/11H·MON04/01H·SAS07/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.501.060.560.570.43
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.750.75--
vs Similar (16)0.620.440.750.620.500.25
vs Weaker (10)1.200.502.000.250.670.67
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AS RomaAS Roma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D20W30W00D11D11D00D21WA·SAM17/10H·NAP23/10A·HJK27/10A·HEL31/10H·LUD03/11H·LAZ06/11A·SAS09/11H·TOR13/11H·BOL04/01A·AC 08/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.400.930.210.880.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.330.000.331.000.33
vs Weaker (21)1.000.431.180.180.800.70
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D10W10W00D10W11D01L01L21WA·LEC17/10H·INT22/10H·BAŞ27/10A·SPE30/10A·RĪG03/11A·SAM06/11H·SAL09/11A·AC 13/11H·MON04/01H·SAS07/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.690.810.430.71
vs Stronger (4)0.750.500.750.50--
vs Similar (16)0.311.000.501.000.121.00
vs Weaker (10)0.900.501.000.750.830.33
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls93.9%--------
Over 2.5 cards90.1%--------
Over 21.5 fouls87.0%--------
Under 3.584.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards78.0%--------
Over 23.5 fouls76.3%--------
Under 11.5 corners74.4%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

AS Roma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paulo Dybala42%
Stephan El Shaarawy22%
Tammy Abraham17%
Lorenzo Pellegrini15%
Nicolò Zaniolo12%
Eldor Shomurodov12%
Marash Kumbulla10%
Cristian Volpato10%
Georginio Wijnaldum9%
Ola Solbakken7%
Andrea Belotti7%
Chris Smalling7%
Roger Ibañez7%
Edoardo Bove6%
Leonardo Spinazzola5%
Nicola Zalewski4%
Nemanja Matić4%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Bryan Cristante2%
Mile Svilar0%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Mady Camara0%
Rui Patrício0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Diego Llorente0%
Matías Viña0%
Benjamin Tahirović0%
Filippo Missori0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filippo Missori33%
Roger Ibañez33%
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Gianluca Mancini27%
Mile Svilar25%
Zeki Çelik22%
Bryan Cristante22%
Mady Camara19%
Chris Smalling17%
Paulo Dybala17%
Nemanja Matić17%
Leonardo Spinazzola15%
Lorenzo Pellegrini15%
Ola Solbakken14%
Matías Viña14%
Nicola Zalewski11%
Marash Kumbulla10%
Cristian Volpato10%
Tammy Abraham10%
Benjamin Tahirović9%
Diego Llorente8%
Stephan El Shaarawy8%
Edoardo Bove6%
Rui Patrício6%
Rick Karsdorp6%
Georginio Wijnaldum0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lorenzo Pellegrini20%
Ola Solbakken14%
Paulo Dybala14%
Leonardo Spinazzola13%
Cristian Volpato10%
Tammy Abraham8%
Nicolò Zaniolo6%
Gianluca Mancini6%
Bryan Cristante6%
Stephan El Shaarawy5%
Mady Camara5%
Andrea Belotti4%
Nemanja Matić4%
Zeki Çelik3%
Nicola Zalewski2%
Chris Smalling2%
Georginio Wijnaldum0%
Mile Svilar0%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Rui Patrício0%
Roger Ibañez0%
Marash Kumbulla0%
Diego Llorente0%
Matías Viña0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Benjamin Tahirović0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Filippo Missori0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolò Zaniolo38%
Paulo Dybala28%
Stephan El Shaarawy18%
Tammy Abraham17%
Lorenzo Pellegrini13%
Eldor Shomurodov12%
Georginio Wijnaldum9%
Bryan Cristante6%
Nicola Zalewski4%
Roger Ibañez4%
Andrea Belotti2%
Mile Svilar0%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Leonardo Spinazzola0%
Chris Smalling0%
Nemanja Matić0%
Mady Camara0%
Rui Patrício0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Gianluca Mancini0%
Marash Kumbulla0%
Ola Solbakken0%
Diego Llorente0%
Matías Viña0%
Benjamin Tahirović0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Cristian Volpato0%
Filippo Missori0%
Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arthur Cabral34%
Nicolás González27%
Luka Jović22%
Gaetano Castrovilli18%
Antonín Barák17%
Giacomo Bonaventura16%
Riccardo Saponara15%
Christian Kouamé12%
Jonathan Ikoné11%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Nikola Milenković8%
Cristiano Biraghi6%
Riccardo Sottil4%
Alfred Duncan4%
Aleksa Terzić3%
Lucas Martínez Quarta3%
Dodô2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Josip Brekalo0%
Szymon Żurkowski0%
Igor Júlio0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Marco Benassi0%
Pierluigi Gollini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Lorenzo Venuti0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Youssef Maleh42%
Sofyan Amrabat34%
Igor Júlio28%
Lucas Martínez Quarta25%
Lorenzo Venuti25%
Nikola Milenković24%
Rolando Mandragora22%
Luca Ranieri19%
Jonathan Ikoné17%
Alessandro Bianco17%
Christian Kouamé15%
Alfred Duncan14%
Gaetano Castrovilli14%
Nicolás González14%
Dodô13%
Pierluigi Gollini12%
Antonín Barák12%
Arthur Cabral11%
Giacomo Bonaventura11%
Cristiano Biraghi10%
Aleksa Terzić10%
Riccardo Saponara10%
Josip Brekalo10%
Luka Jović9%
Riccardo Sottil4%
Pietro Terracciano2%
Szymon Żurkowski0%
Marco Benassi0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Szymon Żurkowski25%
Cristiano Biraghi21%
Christian Kouamé18%
Jonathan Ikoné13%
Riccardo Saponara13%
Riccardo Sottil12%
Rolando Mandragora11%
Lucas Martínez Quarta8%
Nicolás González8%
Aleksa Terzić7%
Dodô7%
Nikola Milenković5%
Gaetano Castrovilli5%
Giacomo Bonaventura4%
Lorenzo Venuti4%
Antonín Barák2%
Sofyan Amrabat2%
Arthur Cabral2%
Luka Jović2%
Josip Brekalo0%
Igor Júlio0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Marco Benassi0%
Pierluigi Gollini0%
Alfred Duncan0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolás González35%
Luka Jović24%
Arthur Cabral23%
Riccardo Sottil17%
Christian Kouamé15%
Lucas Martínez Quarta11%
Jonathan Ikoné11%
Giacomo Bonaventura9%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Riccardo Saponara8%
Antonín Barák7%
Gaetano Castrovilli5%
Alfred Duncan4%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Aleksa Terzić0%
Josip Brekalo0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Szymon Żurkowski0%
Igor Júlio0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Cristiano Biraghi0%
Marco Benassi0%
Pierluigi Gollini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Lorenzo Venuti0%
Dodô0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
SAM (27)
€37m
EMP (27)
€20m
SPE (34)
€11m
AS Roma's squad is €141m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€471m vs €330m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
SAM (7)
€14m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
SPE (10)
€3m
AS Roma's attack is €13m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€138m vs €125m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
SAM (6)
€7m
EMP (9)
€6m
SPE (11)
€4m
AS Roma's midfield is €11m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€118m vs €107m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
SAM (14)
€17m
EMP (9)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
AS Roma's defence is €117m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€215m vs €98m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
AR wins
2
Draws
1
FIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AS Roma vs Fiorentina · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/22AFiorentina Vs AR2-0
22/08/21HAR Vs Fiorentina3-1
03/03/21AFiorentina Vs AR1-2
01/11/20HAR Vs Fiorentina2-0
26/07/20HAR Vs Fiorentina2-1
20/12/19AFiorentina Vs AR1-4
03/04/19HAR Vs Fiorentina2-2
03/11/18AFiorentina Vs AR1-1

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/01/23AAC Milan Vs AR2-2
04/01/23HAR Vs Bologna1-0
13/11/22HAR Vs Torino1-1
09/11/22ASassuolo Vs AR1-1
06/11/22HAR Vs Lazio0-1
03/11/22HAR Vs Ludogorets3-1
31/10/22AHellas Verona Vs AR1-3
27/10/22AHJK Helsinki Vs AR1-2
23/10/22HAR Vs Napoli0-1
17/10/22ASampdoria Vs AR0-1

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/01/23HFIO Vs Sassuolo2-1
04/01/23HFIO Vs Monza1-1
13/11/22AAC Milan Vs FIO2-1
09/11/22HFIO Vs Salernitana2-1
06/11/22ASampdoria Vs FIO0-2
03/11/22ARīgas FS Vs FIO0-3
30/10/22ASpezia Vs FIO1-2
27/10/22HFIO Vs Başakşehir2-1
22/10/22HFIO Vs Inter3-4
17/10/22ALecce Vs FIO1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AS Roma
AS Roma
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWD1.70
HomeLWLDW1.75
AwayWWWDD1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals2.522.172.85
Over 1.5 %70%58%81%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %24%12%35%
Scored1.441.331.54
Conceded1.080.831.31
BTTS52%38%65%
Clean Sheet34%46%23%
Corners9.3910.008.82
Cards6.006.565.47
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.62
HomeLWWDW2.08
AwayDWWWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%62%29%
AVG goals2.782.962.58
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %26%35%17%
Scored1.521.851.17
Conceded1.261.121.42
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners8.037.188.94
Cards5.005.764.19

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NapoliNapoli3890
74%
2.4
7728+49
2.8
79%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
459
2061011522.00.7
-
2LazioLazio3874
58%
1.9
6030+30
2.4
74%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
240
6086931.60.8
-
3InterInter3872
61%
1.9
7142+29
3.0
71%
58%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
694
2202322421.91.1
-
4JuventusJuventus3872
58%
1.9
5633+23
2.3
61%
34%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
569
2401401891.50.9
-
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
585
2231532091.71.1
-
6AtalantaAtalanta3864
50%
1.7
6648+18
3.0
84%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
438
1581281531.71.3
-
7AS RomaAS Roma3863
47%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
68%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
471
1381182151.31.0
-
8FiorentinaFiorentina3856
39%
1.5
5343+10
2.5
76%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
330
125107981.41.1
-
9BolognaBologna3854
37%
1.4
5349+4
2.7
82%
53%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
218
10434791.41.3
-
10TorinoTorino3853
37%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
63%
34%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
144
4346541.11.1
-
11MonzaMonza3852
37%
1.4
4852-4
2.6
82%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
70
2624201.31.4
-
12UdineseUdinese3846
29%
1.2
4748-1
2.5
68%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
157
4639721.21.3
-
13SassuoloSassuolo3845
32%
1.2
4761-14
2.8
76%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
194
9053521.21.6
-
14EmpoliEmpoli3843
26%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
71%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
11641.01.3
-
15SalernitanaSalernitana3842
24%
1.1
4862-14
2.9
84%
55%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
16LecceLecce3836
21%
0.9
3346-13
2.1
71%
32%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
72
2016370.91.2
-
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3934
21%
0.9
3460-26
2.4
74%
41%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
57
1314300.91.5
-
18SpeziaSpezia3931
15%
0.8
3265-33
2.5
79%
49%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3440.81.7
-
19CremoneseCremonese3827
13%
0.7
3669-33
2.8
82%
47%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
49
1215220.91.8
-
20SampdoriaSampdoria3819
8%
0.5
2471-47
2.5
79%
42%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
37
147170.61.9
-
Italy: Serie A 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches