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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Result & Analysis

Date: 30/11/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Atalanta
Atalanta
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atalanta win✓ Hit
44.6%
Avg Implied 54.9% · @ 1.71
Edge
-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.78
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina win✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.65
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D11D11D01L10W03L13L30WH·COM04/10H·LAZ19/10H·SLA22/10A·CRE25/10H·AC 28/10A·UDI01/11A·MAR05/11H·SAS09/11A·NAP22/11A·EIN26/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.001.071.071.870.93
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (15)1.130.800.750.881.570.71
vs Weaker (14)1.931.001.431.292.430.71
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L30W22D03L01L12L22D11D01LH·AS 05/10A·AC 19/10A·RAP23/10H·BOL26/10A·INT29/10H·LEC02/11A·FSV06/11A·GEN09/11H·JUV22/11H·AEK27/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.371.431.431.381.31
vs Stronger (3)0.672.331.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.501.351.501.501.501.25
vs Weaker (7)1.431.001.501.001.331.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.0%
@ 1.85-2.7%
Under 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.90+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-0 ✓
8.3%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
Atalanta goals ↓
Fiorentina goals →
01234
08.7%7.1%4.6%1.7%0.5%
19.9%14%6.8%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.1%5.1%1.9%0.5%
34.1%4.5%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.5%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atalanta goals (down), columns = Fiorentina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Atalanta is 0.45 points better than Fiorentina in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Atalanta is 0.26 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Atalanta is 0.37 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Atalanta is 4.2 percentage points better than Fiorentina in terms of average possession (55% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AtalantaAtalanta

For 6.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

13065354136459410263718311859913129811A·EINA·NAPH·SASA·MARA·UDIH·AC A·CREH·SLAH·LAZH·COM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

50212323113133241323254445442A·NAPH·SASA·MARA·UDIH·AC A·CREH·SLAH·LAZH·COMH·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

30077121198171311149886815105101914231730251714231529A·EINA·NAPH·SASA·MARA·UDIH·AC A·CREH·SLAH·LAZH·COM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FiorentinaFiorentina

For 4.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

13073737323445856523134101010581311747H·AEKH·JUVA·GENA·FSVH·LECA·INTH·BOLA·RAPA·AC H·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

90323332334131361233235656549365H·AEKH·JUVA·GENA·FSVH·LECA·INTH·BOLA·RAPA·AC H·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 17.5 · Total 31.4

⚠️ Fouls

400131611181520121914211611132014151214192129293531352733292640H·AEKH·JUVA·GENA·FSVH·LECA·INTH·BOLA·RAPA·AC H·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AtalantaAtalanta

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.78.63.03.13.020.921.220.5
vs Stronger (3)8.37.09.02.73.02.521.328.018.0
vs Similar (24)9.710.19.33.63.83.321.221.421.0
vs Weaker (23)8.79.58.02.52.32.820.420.520.4
% over line36%44%28%36%32%40%46%48%44%
% under line64%56%72%64%68%60%54%52%56%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.68.34.84.84.828.930.727.1
vs Stronger (9)9.49.09.83.32.44.525.927.824.0
vs Similar (31)8.48.78.15.45.94.929.031.427.1
vs Weaker (10)7.98.27.54.34.34.230.831.030.5
% over line37%38%36%76%72%80%86%96%76%
% under line63%62%64%24%28%20%14%4%24%
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.3
Udinese
9.9
Parma
9.7
AC Milan
9.6
Cagliari
9.6
Lazio
9.6
Inter
9.4
Napoli
9.4
Juventus
9.3
AS Roma
9.3
Genoa
9.2
Atalanta
9.2
Torino
9.0
Hellas Verona
9.0
Cremonese
8.8
Fiorentina
8.5
Sassuolo
8.5
Bologna
8.4
Pisa
8.2
Como
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
6.0
Bologna
5.0
Fiorentina
5.0
Como
5.0
Cremonese
4.9
AS Roma
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.5
Genoa
4.4
Pisa
4.4
Parma
4.3
Sassuolo
4.2
Udinese
4.1
AC Milan
4.1
Cagliari
4.1
Lecce
4.0
Torino
3.9
Juventus
3.7
Inter
3.6
Atalanta
3.3
Napoli
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
30.8
Cremonese
30.1
Fiorentina
28.9
Como
27.9
Pisa
27.5
Genoa
26.6
Cagliari
26.3
Sassuolo
26.2
AS Roma
25.7
Lazio
25.4
Hellas Verona
25.4
Udinese
25.0
Lecce
24.7
Parma
23.9
Juventus
23.8
Torino
23.5
Napoli
23.3
AC Milan
23.1
Inter
22.9
Atalanta
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.6%
Under 9.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.9%
Under 3.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.9%
Under 21.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AtalantaAtalanta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D00D11D01L00D01L03L00DH·COM04/10H·LAZ19/10H·SLA22/10A·CRE25/10H·AC 28/10A·UDI01/11A·MAR05/11H·SAS09/11A·NAP22/11A·EIN26/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.530.470.670.53
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.330.530.380.500.290.57
vs Weaker (14)0.930.360.710.431.140.29
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D10W01L00D01L10W11D01L01LH·AS 05/10A·AC 19/10A·RAP23/10H·BOL26/10A·INT29/10H·LEC02/11A·FSV06/11A·GEN09/11H·JUV22/11H·AEK27/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.640.790.560.38
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.500.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.600.620.880.580.42
vs Weaker (7)0.860.291.000.250.670.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AtalantaAtalanta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D11D00D00D10W02L10W30WH·COM04/10H·LAZ19/10H·SLA22/10A·CRE25/10H·AC 28/10A·UDI01/11A·MAR05/11H·SAS09/11A·NAP22/11A·EIN26/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.500.530.601.200.40
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.800.270.380.381.290.14
vs Weaker (14)1.000.640.710.861.290.43
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L20W21W03L00D02L11D10W00DH·AS 05/10A·AC 19/10A·RAP23/10H·BOL26/10A·INT29/10H·LEC02/11A·FSV06/11A·GEN09/11H·JUV22/11H·AEK27/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.790.640.810.94
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.000.500.003.00
vs Similar (20)0.900.750.880.620.920.83
vs Weaker (7)0.570.710.500.750.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls87.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners84.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls76.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners75.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Atalanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianluca Scamacca29%
Mario Pašalić22%
Giacomo Raspadori19%
Nikola Krstović19%
Ademola Lookman16%
Lazar Samardžić16%
Giorgio Scalvini10%
Charles De Ketelaere10%
Marco Brescianini8%
Davide Zappacosta8%
Kamaldeen Sulemana8%
Yunus Musah7%
Éderson7%
Nicola Zalewski5%
Marten de Roon4%
Odilon Kossounou3%
Honest Ahanor3%
Isak Hien3%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Daniel Maldini0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marten de Roon20%
Isak Hien18%
Yunus Musah15%
Sead Kolašinac14%
Gianluca Scamacca13%
Berat Djimsiti13%
Kamaldeen Sulemana11%
Lorenzo Bernasconi11%
Éderson10%
Charles De Ketelaere10%
Odilon Kossounou9%
Daniel Maldini9%
Mario Pašalić9%
Honest Ahanor9%
Marco Brescianini8%
Nikola Krstović8%
Raoul Bellanova8%
Nicola Zalewski7%
Giorgio Scalvini7%
Davide Zappacosta6%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Marco Carnesecchi2%
Ademola Lookman0%
Giacomo Raspadori0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Charles De Ketelaere14%
Nicola Zalewski14%
Nikola Krstović12%
Mario Pašalić11%
Ademola Lookman11%
Daniel Maldini9%
Lorenzo Bernasconi8%
Marten de Roon8%
Davide Zappacosta6%
Giacomo Raspadori6%
Raoul Bellanova6%
Kamaldeen Sulemana5%
Gianluca Scamacca5%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Éderson5%
Yunus Musah4%
Giorgio Scalvini3%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Berat Djimsiti0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Isak Hien0%
Honest Ahanor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Scamacca32%
Nikola Krstović27%
Daniel Maldini18%
Ademola Lookman11%
Mario Pašalić9%
Davide Zappacosta8%
Giacomo Raspadori6%
Kamaldeen Sulemana5%
Lazar Samardžić5%
Charles De Ketelaere5%
Giorgio Scalvini3%
Honest Ahanor3%
Nicola Zalewski2%
Berat Djimsiti2%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Éderson0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Marten de Roon0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Isak Hien0%
Yunus Musah0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moise Kean24%
Albert Guðmundsson22%
Roberto Piccoli19%
Rolando Mandragora17%
Cher Ndour15%
Edin Džeko11%
Robin Gosens11%
Manor Solomon11%
Nicolò Fagioli7%
Luca Ranieri7%
Marco Brescianini6%
Simon Sohm5%
Jack Harrison5%
Dodô4%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Marin Pongračić2%
Daniele Rugani0%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
David De Gea0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Jacopo Fazzini0%
Niccolò Fortini0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Luís Balbo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pongračić35%
Daniele Rugani33%
Luca Lezzerini33%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia25%
Pablo Marí25%
Luca Ranieri22%
Fabiano Parisi22%
Dodô21%
Rolando Mandragora19%
Nicolò Fagioli16%
Moise Kean15%
Cher Ndour15%
Pietro Comuzzo15%
Albert Guðmundsson13%
Mattia Viti12%
Eddy Kouadio12%
Marco Brescianini11%
Simon Sohm10%
Jacopo Fazzini9%
Giovanni Fabbian9%
Robin Gosens8%
Roberto Piccoli7%
Edin Džeko6%
Manor Solomon5%
Jack Harrison5%
David De Gea4%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Amir Richardson0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Luís Balbo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Guðmundsson15%
Jack Harrison14%
Eddy Kouadio12%
Manor Solomon11%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Dodô6%
Cher Ndour6%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia6%
Marco Brescianini6%
Robin Gosens6%
Simon Sohm5%
Roberto Piccoli5%
Giovanni Fabbian5%
Nicolò Fagioli4%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Jacopo Fazzini3%
Moise Kean3%
Edin Džeko0%
Daniele Rugani0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Luís Balbo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moise Kean48%
Roberto Piccoli16%
Albert Guðmundsson13%
Edin Džeko11%
Giovanni Fabbian9%
Rolando Mandragora6%
Robin Gosens6%
Manor Solomon5%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Nicolò Fagioli2%
Dodô2%
Cher Ndour2%
Daniele Rugani0%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
David De Gea0%
Simon Sohm0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jack Harrison0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Jacopo Fazzini0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Niccolò Fortini0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Luís Balbo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Atalanta's squad is €108m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€438m vs €330m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Atalanta's attack is €33m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€158m vs €125m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Atalanta's midfield is €21m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€128m vs €107m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Atalanta's defence is €54m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€153m vs €98m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ATA wins
1
Draws
5
FIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Atalanta vs Fiorentina · H/A from ATA
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/25AFiorentina Vs ATA1-0
15/09/24HATA Vs Fiorentina3-2
02/06/24HATA Vs Fiorentina2-3
17/09/23AFiorentina Vs ATA3-2
17/04/23AFiorentina Vs ATA1-1
02/10/22HATA Vs Fiorentina1-0
20/02/22AFiorentina Vs ATA1-0
11/09/21HATA Vs Fiorentina1-2

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/25AEintracht Frankfurt Vs ATA0-3
22/11/25ANapoli Vs ATA3-1
09/11/25HATA Vs Sassuolo0-3
05/11/25AMarseille Vs ATA0-1
01/11/25AUdinese Vs ATA1-0
28/10/25HATA Vs AC Milan1-1
25/10/25ACremonese Vs ATA1-1
22/10/25HATA Vs Slavia Praha0-0
19/10/25HATA Vs Lazio0-0
04/10/25HATA Vs Como1-1

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/11/25HFIO Vs AEK Athens FC0-1
22/11/25HFIO Vs Juventus1-1
09/11/25AGenoa Vs FIO2-2
06/11/25AFSV Mainz 05 Vs FIO2-1
02/11/25HFIO Vs Lecce0-1
29/10/25AInter Vs FIO3-0
26/10/25HFIO Vs Bologna2-2
23/10/25ARapid Vienna Vs FIO0-3
19/10/25AAC Milan Vs FIO2-1
05/10/25HFIO Vs AS Roma1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Atalanta
Atalanta
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.64
HomeDDDDL1.36
AwayDLWLW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%32%56%
AVG goals2.782.642.92
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.721.402.04
Conceded1.061.240.88
BTTS54%64%44%
Clean Sheet34%24%44%
Corners9.189.728.64
Cards3.303.253.36
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.32
HomeLDLDL1.64
AwayLWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.802.882.72
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %68%64%72%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored1.481.681.28
Conceded1.321.201.44
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners8.458.628.28
Cards5.005.264.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches