This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.03
1.47
1.20
1.13
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.60
0.33
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.44
0.92
1.75
1.00
1.15
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.8%
Under 2.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
Bohemians goals ↓
Shelbourne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
7.0%
2.6%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.4%
7.2%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.3%
2.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bohemians goals (down), columns = Shelbourne goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Bohemians is 0.14 points worse than Shelbourne in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
Bohemians and Shelbourne are level in goals scored per game (both 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
Bohemians is 0.06 goals worse than Shelbourne in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
Bohemians is 1.1 percentage points worse than Shelbourne in terms of average possession (56% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bohemians
For 5.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
For 5.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.4 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.1
10.0
5.4
5.8
5.0
23.3
22.8
23.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
10.6
11.1
10.0
5.4
5.8
5.0
23.3
22.8
23.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
58%
48%
76%
84%
68%
66%
62%
70%
% under line
47%
42%
52%
24%
16%
32%
34%
38%
30%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.4
8.3
3.9
3.8
3.9
21.2
20.6
21.8
vs Stronger (5)
7.5
8.0
7.0
0.8
1.3
0.0
16.0
18.0
14.0
vs Similar (45)
8.9
9.5
8.4
4.2
4.1
4.3
21.5
20.8
22.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
50%
25%
58%
54%
62%
50%
45%
55%
% under line
62%
50%
75%
42%
46%
38%
50%
55%
45%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
10.7
Cork City
10.6
Bohemians
10.6
Waterford
10.3
Drogheda United
10.3
Galway United
9.9
St Patrick's Athl.
9.8
Shamrock Rovers
9.0
Shelbourne
8.8
Derry City
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.9
Bohemians
5.7
Waterford
5.6
Shamrock Rovers
5.4
Galway United
5.2
St Patrick's Athl.
5.2
Sligo Rovers
5.0
Shelbourne
5.0
Cork City
4.9
Drogheda United
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cork City
24.4
Derry City
24.4
Galway United
24.1
Waterford
23.6
Bohemians
23.5
Shamrock Rovers
22.7
Sligo Rovers
22.3
St Patrick's Athl.
22.1
Shelbourne
21.8
Drogheda United
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.4%
Under 9.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.3%
Under 3.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.0%
Under 21.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.60
0.60
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.63
0.60
0.60
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.60
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.48
0.75
0.58
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.60
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.87
0.60
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.44
1.00
0.42
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Douglas James-Taylor30%
James Clarke19%
Ross Tierney18%
Dawson Devoy16%
Lys Mousset12%
Sean Grehan12%
Archie Meekison12%
Dayle Rooney12%
Colm Whelan10%
James McManus9%
Jordan Flores6%
Rhys Brennan6%
Connor Parsons5%
Robert Cornwall4%
Keith Buckley4%
Niall Morahan3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Liam Smith0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Markuss Strods0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dawson Devoy28%
Robert Cornwall25%
Dayle Rooney24%
Adam McDonnell23%
Cian Byrne23%
Leigh Kavanagh21%
James Clarke19%
Jordan Flores19%
Sean Grehan19%
Liam Smith15%
Niall Morahan15%
Rhys Brennan12%
Ross Tierney12%
John Mountney12%
Douglas James-Taylor10%
Connor Parsons10%
Colm Whelan10%
James McManus9%
Keith Buckley7%
Kacper Chorążka4%
Lys Mousset0%
Archie Meekison0%
James Talbot0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Markuss Strods0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney18%
Ross Tierney12%
Archie Meekison12%
Leigh Kavanagh11%
Douglas James-Taylor10%
James Clarke10%
Dawson Devoy9%
Keith Buckley4%
Colm Whelan3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Lys Mousset0%
Liam Smith0%
Jordan Flores0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Niall Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Connor Parsons0%
Sean Grehan0%
James McManus0%
Markuss Strods0%
Rhys Brennan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ross Tierney33%
Douglas James-Taylor30%
James Clarke19%
Dayle Rooney18%
Dawson Devoy16%
Sean Grehan12%
Colm Whelan10%
Rhys Brennan6%
Leigh Kavanagh5%
Jordan Flores3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Lys Mousset0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Keith Buckley0%
Niall Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Connor Parsons0%
James McManus0%
Markuss Strods0%
Shelbourne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Wood20%
Ademipo Odubeko18%
Alistair Coote15%
John Martin13%
Daniel Kelly12%
Kerr McInroy11%
Sean Boyd8%
Jack Henry-Francis7%
Sam Bone7%
Evan Caffrey5%
Ellis Chapman4%
Mark Coyle3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sean Gannon0%
Conor Kearns0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
James Norris0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Lewis Temple0%
Milan Mbeng0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark Coyle42%
Rayhaan Tulloch33%
Tyreke Wilson29%
Sean Boyd28%
Paddy Barrett28%
Sam Bone27%
Sean Gannon26%
Harry Wood25%
John Martin18%
John O'Sullivan18%
James Norris18%
Jack Henry-Francis14%
Milan Mbeng13%
Jonathan Lunney13%
Kameron Ledwidge11%
Ademipo Odubeko11%
Evan Caffrey10%
Daniel Kelly8%
Kerr McInroy8%
Lewis Temple8%
Alistair Coote6%
Wessel Speel6%
Ellis Chapman4%
Conor Kearns0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kerr McInroy11%
Harry Wood10%
Sean Boyd8%
Ademipo Odubeko8%
Evan Caffrey8%
Tyreke Wilson7%
Daniel Kelly4%
Sean Gannon4%
Mark Coyle3%
James Norris3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
John Martin3%
Kameron Ledwidge3%
Ellis Chapman0%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sam Bone0%
Conor Kearns0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Alistair Coote0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Wessel Speel0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Lewis Temple0%
Milan Mbeng0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ademipo Odubeko26%
Kerr McInroy16%
Harry Wood15%
Ellis Chapman11%
Jack Henry-Francis7%
Milan Mbeng7%
Alistair Coote6%
John Martin5%
Evan Caffrey5%
Sean Boyd4%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sean Gannon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Conor Kearns0%
Mark Coyle0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
James Norris0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Lewis Temple0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Bohemians and Shelbourne have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Shelbourne have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Shelbourne have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Shelbourne have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers