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Estrela vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: 29/03/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 0-3
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
7%
13%
80%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✗ Miss
6.9%
Avg Implied 10.8% · @ 8.67
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
13.3%
Avg Implied 18.5% · @ 5.08
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP win✓ Hit
79.8%
Avg Implied 70.7% · @ 1.33
Edge
+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L01L00D23L01L10W00D11D11D02LH·EST05/01H·SC 19/01A·FAM25/01H·BEN02/02A·CAS09/02A·BOA14/02H·SAN23/02A·MOR02/03H·GIL07/03A·GUI16/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.671.211.360.381.94
vs Stronger (11)0.552.451.002.250.292.57
vs Similar (19)0.891.211.301.000.441.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPSporting CP

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D03L22D00D22D10W31W31W31WH·FAR02/02A·FC 07/02H·BOR11/02H·ARO15/02A·BOR19/02A·AVS23/02A·GIL27/02H·EST03/03A·CAS09/03H·FAM15/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.232.331.331.871.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.121.751.502.250.751.25
vs Weaker (22)2.451.052.641.002.271.09
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.1%
Under 1.5
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.6%
@ 1.72+18.8%
Under 2.5
26.4%
@ 2.08-18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
9.7%
0-3 ✓
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-4
6.1%
1-1
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
Estrela goals ↓
Sporting CP goals →
01234
02.7%6.0%9.7%9.7%7.2%
11.3%6.0%8.2%8.2%6.1%
20.8%2.3%3.4%3.4%2.6%
30.2%0.6%1.0%1.0%0.7%
40.0%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = Sporting CP goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Estrela is 1.56 points worse than Sporting CP in terms of average points per game (0.85 vs 2.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Estrela is 1.88 goals worse than Sporting CP in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 2.59).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Estrela is 0.68 goals worse than Sporting CP in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 0.79).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Estrela is 15.8 percentage points worse than Sporting CP in terms of average possession (45% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 2.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

14028771452472572518331014571177796A·GUIH·GILA·MORH·SANA·BOAA·CASH·BENA·FAMH·SC H·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

80215242312244323131213764485443A·GUIH·GILA·MORH·SANA·BOAA·CASH·BENA·FAMH·SC H·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 16.3 · Total 33.1

⚠️ Fouls

400171522101320131917231617141715142110201832323332403331293138A·GUIH·GILA·MORH·SANA·BOAA·CASH·BENA·FAMH·SC H·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Sporting CPSporting CP

For 5.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1801144466542699483691561581298181291011H·FAMA·CASH·ESTA·AVSA·BORH·AROH·BORA·FC H·FARH·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

11051341265143116314567311172919H·FAMA·CASH·ESTA·AVSA·BORH·AROH·BORA·FC H·FARH·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 15.2 · Total 25.8

⚠️ Fouls

4701013109101013225146138181416128182923192035191926302047H·FAMA·CASH·ESTA·AVSA·BORH·AROH·BORA·FC H·FARH·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.710.94.44.54.328.528.528.5
vs Stronger (17)10.98.312.44.14.33.928.328.228.4
vs Similar (33)10.010.29.84.54.54.628.728.728.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%50%62%70%75%65%88%83%92%
% under line44%50%38%30%25%35%12%17%8%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPSporting CP

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.911.08.84.54.64.324.724.724.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)9.412.06.85.35.55.223.723.024.3
vs Weaker (38)10.010.69.54.24.44.125.025.424.6
% over line54%65%43%56%60%52%67%70%65%
% under line46%35%57%44%40%48%33%30%35%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
11.3
Nacional
10.9
Guimaraes
10.8
SC Braga
10.6
Benfica
10.4
Estrela
10.2
Famalicao
9.9
Rio Ave
9.9
Vizela
9.9
Arouca
9.8
Sporting CP
9.8
AVS
9.7
FC Porto
9.7
Estoril
9.4
Boavista
9.4
Casa Pia
9.3
GIL Vicente
9.2
Moreirense
8.8
Santa Clara
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.1
FC Porto
6.0
Guimaraes
5.9
Boavista
5.8
Famalicao
5.5
AVS
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Arouca
5.1
SC Braga
5.0
Farense
5.0
Nacional
4.9
Vizela
4.9
Moreirense
4.8
Estoril
4.7
Sporting CP
4.7
Benfica
4.7
Casa Pia
4.7
Estrela
4.7
GIL Vicente
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.0
Moreirense
29.1
Santa Clara
28.9
Estrela
28.7
Guimaraes
28.2
Rio Ave
28.1
Nacional
28.1
Estoril
27.6
Boavista
27.3
Farense
27.0
FC Porto
27.0
AVS
26.7
GIL Vicente
26.6
Arouca
26.4
Casa Pia
25.9
SC Braga
25.2
Sporting CP
24.7
Vizela
22.7
Benfica
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.7%
Under 9.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.2%
Under 3.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.9%
Under 21.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D00D13L01L10W00D00D00D01LH·EST05/01H·SC 19/01A·FAM25/01H·BEN02/02A·CAS09/02A·BOA14/02H·SAN23/02A·MOR02/03H·GIL07/03A·GUI16/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.870.500.790.190.94
vs Stronger (11)0.271.270.501.250.141.29
vs Similar (19)0.370.630.500.600.220.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPSporting CP

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W00D12L00D20W00D20W21W11DH·FAR02/02A·FC 07/02H·BOR11/02H·ARO15/02A·BOR19/02A·AVS23/02A·GIL27/02H·EST03/03A·CAS09/03H·FAM15/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.130.800.870.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.750.501.000.500.50
vs Weaker (22)1.180.641.360.731.000.55
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L00D10W00D00D00D11D11D01LH·EST05/01H·SC 19/01A·FAM25/01H·BEN02/02A·CAS09/02A·BOA14/02H·SAN23/02A·MOR02/03H·GIL07/03A·GUI16/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.800.710.570.191.00
vs Stronger (11)0.271.180.501.000.141.29
vs Similar (19)0.530.580.800.400.220.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPSporting CP

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L03L10W00D02L10W11D10W20WH·FAR02/02A·FC 07/02H·BOR11/02H·ARO15/02A·BOR19/02A·AVS23/02A·GIL27/02H·EST03/03A·CAS09/03H·FAM15/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.571.200.531.000.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.621.001.001.250.250.75
vs Weaker (22)1.270.411.270.271.270.55
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.590.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls89.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards87.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls80.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.0%-------✓ Hit
Away win79.8%1.33-----+9.2%✓ Hit
Over 2.573.6%1.72-----+18.8%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards73.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners70.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho15%
Nani11%
Tiago Gabriel9%
André Luiz8%
Jovane Cabral8%
Chico Banza8%
Leonel Bucca6%
Diogo Travassos4%
Paulo Moreira4%
Alan Ruiz4%
Léo Cordeiro4%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rúben Lima0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
João Costa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Manu0%
Caio Santana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alan Ruiz46%
Nani33%
Guilherme Montóia33%
Manu33%
Manuel Keliano32%
Ferro32%
Chico Banza31%
Igor Jesus29%
Danilo Veiga27%
Leonel Bucca26%
Till Cissokho25%
Diogo Travassos24%
Miguel Lopes19%
Tiago Gabriel18%
Rodrigo Pinho18%
Gerson Sousa17%
Jovane Cabral15%
Issiar Drame14%
Nilton Varela14%
Rúben Lima12%
Caio Santana12%
Kikas12%
Paulo Moreira12%
Léo Cordeiro11%
Amine Oudrhiri9%
Renato Pantalon8%
André Luiz8%
Bruno Brígido0%
João Costa0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Petterson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustavo Henrique25%
Danilo Veiga13%
Rúben Lima8%
André Luiz8%
Alan Ruiz7%
Nilton Varela7%
Leonel Bucca6%
Manuel Keliano5%
Jovane Cabral4%
Léo Cordeiro4%
Kikas3%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Chico Banza0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rodrigo Pinho0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Nani0%
João Costa0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Diogo Travassos0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manu0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Caio Santana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho18%
Jovane Cabral12%
André Luiz8%
Chico Banza8%
Alan Ruiz7%
Léo Cordeiro7%
Leonel Bucca3%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rúben Lima0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Nani0%
João Costa0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Nilton Varela0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Diogo Travassos0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Manu0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Caio Santana0%
Sporting CP
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres67%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Geny Catamo16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Francisco Trincão14%
Gonçalo Inácio13%
Marcus Edwards12%
Conrad Harder11%
Nuno Santos11%
Iván Fresneda11%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Morten Hjulmand7%
João Simões6%
Hidemasa Morita6%
Ousmane Diomande5%
Zeno Debast4%
Geovany Quenda4%
Eduardo Quaresma3%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandre Brito50%
Morten Hjulmand35%
Maximiliano Araújo24%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Jeremiah St. Juste19%
Ousmane Diomande16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Gonçalo Inácio15%
Eduardo Felicíssimo14%
Zeno Debast13%
Viktor Gyökeres12%
João Simões12%
Matheus Reis11%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Rui Silva9%
Geovany Quenda8%
Iván Fresneda7%
Eduardo Quaresma7%
Geny Catamo7%
Franco Israel5%
Conrad Harder5%
Francisco Trincão4%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Gonçalves26%
Francisco Trincão24%
Daniel Bragança23%
Viktor Gyökeres21%
Conrad Harder11%
Geovany Quenda10%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Zeno Debast7%
João Simões6%
Gonçalo Inácio5%
Morten Hjulmand5%
Matheus Reis5%
Geny Catamo4%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Ousmane Diomande0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres60%
Francisco Trincão28%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Conrad Harder14%
Ousmane Diomande11%
Geny Catamo11%
Geovany Quenda4%
Daniel Bragança4%
Hidemasa Morita3%
Morten Hjulmand2%
Maximiliano Araújo2%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Gonçalo Inácio0%
Zeno Debast0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
João Simões0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Estrela's squad is €394m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€20m vs €414m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Estrela's attack is €141m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€6m vs €146m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Estrela's midfield is €88m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€3m vs €91m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Estrela's defence is €165m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€11m vs €176m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
EST wins
0
Draws
3
SC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs Sporting CP · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/24ASporting CP Vs EST5-1
29/03/24HEST Vs Sporting CP1-2
05/11/23ASporting CP Vs EST3-2

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/25AGuimaraes Vs EST2-0
07/03/25HEST Vs GIL Vicente1-1
02/03/25AMoreirense Vs EST1-1
23/02/25HEST Vs Santa Clara0-0
14/02/25ABoavista Vs EST0-1
09/02/25ACasa Pia Vs EST1-0
02/02/25HEST Vs Benfica2-3
25/01/25AFamalicao Vs EST0-0
19/01/25HEST Vs SC Braga0-1
05/01/25HEST Vs Estoril2-4

Sporting CPSporting CP

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25HSC Vs Famalicao3-1
09/03/25ACasa Pia Vs SC1-3
03/03/25HSC Vs Estoril3-1
27/02/25AGIL Vicente Vs SC0-1
23/02/25AAVS Vs SC2-2
19/02/25ABorussia Dortmund Vs SC0-0
15/02/25HSC Vs Arouca2-2
11/02/25HSC Vs Borussia Dortmund0-3
07/02/25AFC Porto Vs SC1-1
02/02/25HSC Vs Farense3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDL0.90
HomeLLLDD1.29
AwayDLWDL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%33%4%
AVG goals2.502.962.08
Over 1.5 %70%79%62%
Over 2.5 %44%62%27%
Over 3.5 %26%38%15%
Scored0.861.380.38
Conceded1.641.581.69
BTTS46%62%31%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners10.299.7110.88
Cards4.564.464.67
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.24
HomeWLDWW2.40
AwayDDDWW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%76%60%
AVG goals3.303.483.12
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored2.402.562.24
Conceded0.900.920.88
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners9.8710.968.78
Cards4.875.044.70

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches