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FC Porto vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: 22/04/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 0-0
FC Porto
FC Porto
Vs
51%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table17 Who played
Match preview & prediction

FC Porto are tipped to win this Taça de Portugal clash, with a 51% chance of triumph, 25% for a draw and 24% for Sporting CP to come out on top. The model expects a lively 3.1-goal encounter, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 11.4% chance. Porto’s home form shows a solid 1.0 average goal per game and only 0.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Sporting’s away numbers are weaker, 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Suggested picks include an 98.6% chance of Under 7.5, 97.7% for Over 19.5 fouls, 96.4% for Away under 3.5 goals, 96.1% for Under 6.5, 94.3% for Over 21.5 fouls, 93.0% for Over 2.5 cards, 90.6% for Under 5.5 and 89.9% for Home +2 handicap. Porto’s recent four-game winning streak, capped by a 2-0 victory over Arouca, contrasts with Sporting’s two-game run, highlighted by a 3-1 win at Alverca.

Results analysis

The 0-0 draw shocked everyone, as the pre-match favourite, FC Porto, failed to deliver a win. The model had tipped a home win with a 51% probability, but the result was a draw, so the pick was wrong. The game also ended in a stalemate, matching the most likely score of 1-1, though that was only a 11.4% chance. The model’s selections performed remarkably well: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.6%, Over 19.5 fouls at 97.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.4%, Under 6.5 at 96.1%, Over 21.5 fouls at 94.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 93.0%, Under 5.5 at 90.6%, and Home +2 handicap at 89.9%. Both teams had been on winning runs - Porto on a four-game streak, Sporting on a two-game streak - yet neither could break the deadlock.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win✗ Miss
51.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC PortoFC Porto

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W30W20W21W22D11D31W01L20WA·BEN08/03A·VFB12/03H·MOR15/03H·VFB19/03A·SC 22/03H·FAM04/04H·NOT09/04A·EST12/04A·NOT16/04H·TON19/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.632.180.531.460.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.001.001.000.501.001.50
vs Weaker (26)2.000.582.330.531.550.64
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPSporting CP

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W22D03L50W41W42W01L10W00D12LH·FC 03/03A·SC 07/03A·BOD11/03H·BOD17/03A·ALV22/03H·SAN03/04H·ARS07/04A·EST11/04A·ARS15/04H·BEN19/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.370.902.810.561.861.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.881.121.001.000.751.25
vs Weaker (22)2.910.823.420.422.301.30
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.8%
Under 2.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0 ✓
5.6%
FC Porto goals ↓
Sporting CP goals →
01234
05.6%4.5%3.4%1.4%0.4%
17.4%11%6.4%2.6%0.8%
27.9%9.7%5.9%2.4%0.7%
34.9%6.0%3.7%1.5%0.5%
42.3%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Porto goals (down), columns = Sporting CP goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
3.00
Benfica
2.57
Rebordosa
2.40
Alverca
2.33
Amarante
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
Cinfães
2.25
Lusitânia
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
Farense
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Anadia
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Varzim
2.00
O Elvas
2.00
Operário
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Santa Clara
2.00
Brito
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
Rio Ave
1.67
Estrela
1.50
FC Porto
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Academica
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Atlético CP
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Alpendorada
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Amora
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Atlético Malveira
1.02
Vila Meã
1.02
Portalegrense
1.02
Correlhã
1.02
Vitória de Sernache
1.02
Florgrade
1.02
Nazarenos
1.02
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.02
Valenciano
1.02
Castro Daire
1.02
Uniao Nogueirense
1.02
Espinho
1.02
Naval 1893
1.02
Rebordelo
1.02
Portimonense B
1.02
Ançã
1.02
Resende
1.02
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.02
Silves
1.02
Vidago
1.02
AD Fornos Algodres
1.02
Vila Caíz
1.02
Angrense
1.02
Charneca Caparica
1.02
Oriental Lisboa
1.02
Sourense
1.02
Celoricense
1.02
AD Portomosense
1.02
Alcochetense
1.02
Fayal
1.02
Gouveia
1.02
Samora Correir
1.02
Ribeira Brava
1.02
Aparecida GO
1.02
Mirandela
1.02
Estrela Calheta
1.02
SC Celoricense
1.02
Almodôvar
1.02
Mosteirense
1.02
Águias do Moradal
1.02
Urzelinense
1.02
Celeirós
1.02
Quarteirense
1.02
AR São Martinho
1.02
Carregal
1.02
Juventude Évora
1.02
Fazendense
1.02
Pontassolense
1.02
Academico Viseu
1.00
Estoril
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Nacional
0.00
Trofense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Monção
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Portel
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
FC Porto is 1.50 points worse than Sporting CP in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.29
Amarante
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Sporting CP
2.57
Vilaverdense
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Cinfães
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Farense
2.33
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
FC Porto
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Leça
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Rio Ave
1.83
Lusitânia
1.75
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Estrela
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
O Elvas
1.40
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Atlético Malveira
1.29
Vila Meã
1.29
Portalegrense
1.29
Correlhã
1.29
Vitória de Sernache
1.29
Florgrade
1.29
Nazarenos
1.29
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.29
Valenciano
1.29
Castro Daire
1.29
Uniao Nogueirense
1.29
Espinho
1.29
Naval 1893
1.29
Rebordelo
1.29
Portimonense B
1.29
Ançã
1.29
Resende
1.29
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.29
Silves
1.29
Vidago
1.29
AD Fornos Algodres
1.29
Vila Caíz
1.29
Angrense
1.29
Charneca Caparica
1.29
Oriental Lisboa
1.29
Sourense
1.29
Celoricense
1.29
AD Portomosense
1.29
Alcochetense
1.29
Fayal
1.29
Gouveia
1.29
Samora Correir
1.29
Ribeira Brava
1.29
Aparecida GO
1.29
Mirandela
1.29
Estrela Calheta
1.29
SC Celoricense
1.29
Almodôvar
1.29
Mosteirense
1.29
Águias do Moradal
1.29
Urzelinense
1.29
Celeirós
1.29
Quarteirense
1.29
AR São Martinho
1.29
Carregal
1.29
Juventude Évora
1.29
Fazendense
1.29
Pontassolense
1.29
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Tirsense
1.14
Academico Viseu
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Academica
1.00
Tondela
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Monção
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Operário
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Brito
0.75
Vila Real
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Amora
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Portel
0.00
Peniche
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
FC Porto is 0.57 goals worse than Sporting CP in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Estoril
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Operário
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Academica
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Brito
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Benfica
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
Santa Clara
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
Academico Viseu
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
FC Porto
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Feirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Machico
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Louletano
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Alpendorada
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Portel
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Arouca
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Atlético CP
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Anadia
1.67
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Atlético Malveira
1.82
Vila Meã
1.82
Portalegrense
1.82
Correlhã
1.82
Vitória de Sernache
1.82
Florgrade
1.82
Nazarenos
1.82
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.82
Valenciano
1.82
Castro Daire
1.82
Uniao Nogueirense
1.82
Espinho
1.82
Naval 1893
1.82
Rebordelo
1.82
Portimonense B
1.82
Ançã
1.82
Resende
1.82
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.82
Silves
1.82
Vidago
1.82
AD Fornos Algodres
1.82
Vila Caíz
1.82
Angrense
1.82
Charneca Caparica
1.82
Oriental Lisboa
1.82
Sourense
1.82
Celoricense
1.82
AD Portomosense
1.82
Alcochetense
1.82
Fayal
1.82
Gouveia
1.82
Samora Correir
1.82
Ribeira Brava
1.82
Aparecida GO
1.82
Mirandela
1.82
Estrela Calheta
1.82
SC Celoricense
1.82
Almodôvar
1.82
Mosteirense
1.82
Águias do Moradal
1.82
Urzelinense
1.82
Celeirós
1.82
Quarteirense
1.82
AR São Martinho
1.82
Carregal
1.82
Juventude Évora
1.82
Fazendense
1.82
Pontassolense
1.82
Amarante
2.00
Farense
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Leça
2.00
Monção
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Amora
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Estrela
4.00
Vizela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Valpaços
5.00
FC Porto is 0.43 goals worse than Sporting CP in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.57).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC PortoFC Porto

For 4.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

1508318815243534114131281199778155410H·TONA·NOTA·ESTH·NOTH·FAMA·SC H·VFBH·MORA·VFBA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.3

🟨 Cards

100464113154543611426210541999268H·TONA·NOTA·ESTH·NOTH·FAMA·SC H·VFBH·MORA·VFBA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.0

⚠️ Fouls

340121111161513411201415126161415918171123272815342722292728H·TONA·NOTA·ESTH·NOTH·FAMA·SC H·VFBH·MORA·VFBA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Sporting CPSporting CP

For 6.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

20038381343495131645456631111177144209119H·BENA·ARSA·ESTH·ARSH·SANA·ALVH·BODA·BODA·SC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

702111314321341233233141737365H·BENA·ARSA·ESTH·ARSH·SANA·ALVH·BODA·BODA·SC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.5

⚠️ Fouls

350138117161411101222913171111151317122321183021342228263035H·BENA·ARSA·ESTH·ARSH·SANA·ALVH·BODA·BODA·SC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC PortoFC Porto

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.78.55.35.15.626.324.927.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)8.68.29.07.68.07.025.423.028.7
vs Weaker (43)8.68.88.45.04.55.426.425.327.6
% over line35%40%30%76%69%83%79%72%87%
% under line65%60%70%24%31%17%21%28%13%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPSporting CP

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.810.25.04.35.826.925.728.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)8.69.48.14.54.04.926.024.227.1
vs Weaker (37)10.59.911.25.24.46.227.226.128.6
% over line52%50%54%62%52%72%81%71%92%
% under line48%50%46%38%48%28%19%29%8%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Penafiel
12.1
Portimonense
11.2
Farense
11.0
Vilaverdense
10.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.7
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Famalicao
10.4
Nacional
10.3
Benfica
10.1
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Oliveirense
10.1
Academico Viseu
10.1
Rio Ave
10.0
Vizela
10.0
Sporting CP
9.9
Torreense
9.8
União de Leiria
9.8
Casa Pia
9.7
Pacos Ferreira
9.6
Tondela
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
AVS
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.2
Estrela
9.2
Arouca
9.1
Guimaraes
9.1
Chaves
9.1
Feirense
9.0
Alverca
9.0
Leixoes
8.9
Santa Clara
8.9
FC Porto
8.8
Mafra
8.5
Estoril
8.5
Maritimo
8.4
SC Braga
8.3
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Feirense
6.5
Vizela
6.3
Santa Clara
6.2
Chaves
6.2
Felgueiras 1932
6.1
Pacos Ferreira
6.0
Leixoes
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Maritimo
5.9
Farense
5.8
Casa Pia
5.7
Academico Viseu
5.6
União de Leiria
5.6
FC Porto
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Oliveirense
5.6
Famalicao
5.5
Portimonense
5.5
Benfica
5.5
Penafiel
5.5
Nacional
5.4
Estrela
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Sporting CP
5.4
Torreense
5.3
Guimaraes
5.3
AVS
5.3
Moreirense
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
Tondela
5.0
GIL Vicente
4.9
Alverca
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
SC Braga
4.6
Estoril
4.5
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Mafra
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
32.0
Santa Clara
30.8
Estrela
30.6
Farense
30.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.2
Guimaraes
29.8
Moreirense
29.7
Casa Pia
28.6
Vilaverdense
28.5
SC Covilha
28.2
GIL Vicente
27.8
Rio Ave
27.8
Estoril
27.5
Nacional
27.1
Sporting CP
27.0
Arouca
26.8
AVS
26.8
FC Porto
26.5
Benfica
26.4
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
SC Braga
24.3
Leixoes
23.5
Tondela
23.0
Pacos Ferreira
22.7
Academico Viseu
21.6
União de Leiria
20.7
Alverca
20.6
Oliveirense
20.0
Maritimo
19.1
Vizela
18.9
Felgueiras 1932
18.8
Chaves
18.3
Penafiel
18.2
Feirense
18.1
Portimonense
17.8
Torreense
16.9
Mafra
14.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.8%
Under 9.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.3%
Under 3.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.3%
Under 21.5
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Porto or Draw✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers FC Porto + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Porto or Sporting CP✗ Miss
75.3%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers FC Porto + Sporting CP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sporting CP✓ Hit
48.6%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers Draw + Sporting CP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Porto over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
84.6%
Under
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
55.8%
Under
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.8%
Under
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.6%
Under
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.6%
Under
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Porto, so a minus line means FC Porto give that many goals of a start and Sporting CP receive them. At -1, FC Porto must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Porto win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Porto)Actual: Sporting CP
FC Porto -2
13.8%
Draw -2
16.0%
Sporting CP +2
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Porto)Actual: Sporting CP
FC Porto -1
29.8%
Draw -1
21.6%
Sporting CP +1
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Porto)Actual: FC Porto
FC Porto +1
76.1%
Draw +1
13.8%
Sporting CP -1
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Porto)Actual: FC Porto
FC Porto +2
89.9%
Draw +2
6.9%
Sporting CP -2
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC PortoFC Porto

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W20W10W00D10W11D20W01L00DA·BEN08/03A·VFB12/03H·MOR15/03H·VFB19/03A·SC 22/03H·FAM04/04H·NOT09/04A·EST12/04A·NOT16/04H·TON19/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.271.180.180.540.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.750.000.500.001.000.00
vs Weaker (26)0.920.311.270.200.450.45
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPSporting CP

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W02L10W10W31W00D00D00D01LH·FC 03/03A·SC 07/03A·BOD11/03H·BOD17/03A·ALV22/03H·SAN03/04H·ARS07/04A·EST11/04A·ARS15/04H·BEN19/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.301.250.120.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.120.250.000.250.250.25
vs Weaker (22)1.320.321.670.080.900.60
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Porto over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC PortoFC Porto

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W10W21W12L00D11D00D20WA·BEN08/03A·VFB12/03H·MOR15/03H·VFB19/03A·SC 22/03H·FAM04/04H·NOT09/04A·EST12/04A·NOT16/04H·TON19/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.371.000.350.920.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.251.000.500.500.001.50
vs Weaker (26)1.080.271.070.331.090.18
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPSporting CP

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L40W31W11D01L10W00D11DH·FC 03/03A·SC 07/03A·BOD11/03H·BOD17/03A·ALV22/03H·SAN03/04H·ARS07/04A·EST11/04A·ARS15/04H·BEN19/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.601.560.441.140.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.750.881.000.750.501.00
vs Weaker (22)1.590.501.750.331.400.70
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Porto over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls97.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls94.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards93.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.590.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls88.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals88.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals87.4%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals84.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards83.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls78.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw76.1%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap76.1%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away75.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners75.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals71.2%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals70.6%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap70.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (22)
€460m
BEN (19)
€288m
SB (35)
€215m
FAM (27)
€109m
GUI (34)
€73m
GV (30)
€61m
EST (26)
€57m
RA (36)
€53m
ALV (32)
€52m
SC (31)
€46m
CP (34)
€34m
ARO (33)
€32m
EST (39)
€29m
MOR (25)
€28m
NAC (32)
€27m
TON (32)
€25m
TOR (32)
€20m
AVS (34)
€19m
AV (35)
€18m
MAR (26)
€15m
VIZ (31)
€12m
UDL (30)
€12m
FAR (32)
€11m
FEI (33)
€11m
POR (31)
€10m
CHA (29)
€9m
LEI (32)
€8m
F1 (28)
€8m
PEN (29)
€7m
OLI (30)
€7m
LL (27)
€6m
PF (24)
€6m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (7)
€190m
BEN (6)
€105m
SB (13)
€100m
FAM (11)
€51m
GV (14)
€37m
GUI (12)
€34m
EST (8)
€25m
RA (12)
€21m
ALV (11)
€18m
SC (11)
€17m
NAC (11)
€12m
ARO (11)
€12m
MOR (8)
€10m
CP (11)
€9m
AV (15)
€8m
TON (12)
€7m
EST (15)
€7m
TOR (13)
€6m
MAR (10)
€6m
AVS (12)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
POR (9)
€5m
FEI (12)
€4m
CHA (10)
€4m
UDL (7)
€3m
FAR (13)
€3m
OLI (11)
€3m
PF (10)
€3m
LEI (12)
€3m
F1 (9)
€2m
PEN (9)
€2m
LL (10)
€2m
ACA (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (6)
€93m
SC (4)
€72m
SB (9)
€46m
GUI (8)
€26m
FAM (5)
€17m
ALV (9)
€13m
CP (7)
€10m
EST (5)
€10m
SC (6)
€10m
ARO (7)
€9m
MOR (6)
€8m
AVS (7)
€7m
EST (7)
€7m
RA (7)
€5m
GV (4)
€5m
TOR (6)
€5m
NAC (8)
€4m
TON (6)
€3m
UDL (9)
€3m
FEI (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
AV (6)
€2m
POR (8)
€2m
CHA (8)
€2m
FAR (5)
€2m
PEN (7)
€2m
LEI (6)
€2m
F1 (5)
€2m
VIZ (3)
€2m
LL (5)
€1m
OLI (6)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (11)
€198m
BEN (7)
€90m
SB (13)
€69m
FAM (11)
€41m
RA (17)
€26m
ALV (12)
€22m
EST (13)
€22m
GV (12)
€19m
SC (14)
€19m
EST (17)
€15m
CP (16)
€15m
TON (14)
€15m
GUI (14)
€13m
ARO (15)
€11m
MOR (11)
€10m
NAC (13)
€10m
TOR (13)
€9m
AV (14)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
AVS (15)
€7m
FAR (14)
€6m
UDL (14)
€6m
VIZ (15)
€5m
FEI (14)
€4m
POR (14)
€4m
CHA (11)
€4m
F1 (14)
€4m
LEI (14)
€3m
PEN (13)
€3m
OLI (13)
€3m
LL (12)
€3m
PF (12)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FP wins
3
Draws
3
SC wins

Head-to-head

FC Porto vs Sporting CP · H/A from FP
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/26ASporting CP Vs FP1-0
09/02/26HFP Vs Sporting CP1-1
30/08/25ASporting CP Vs FP1-2
07/02/25HFP Vs Sporting CP1-1
31/08/24ASporting CP Vs FP2-0
28/04/24HFP Vs Sporting CP2-2
18/12/23ASporting CP Vs FP2-0
12/02/23ASporting CP Vs FP1-2

FC PortoFC Porto

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26HFP Vs Tondela2-0
16/04/26ANottingham Forest Vs FP1-0
12/04/26AEstoril Vs FP1-3
09/04/26HFP Vs Nottingham Forest1-1
04/04/26HFP Vs Famalicao2-2
22/03/26ASC Braga Vs FP1-2
19/03/26HFP Vs VfB Stuttgart2-0
15/03/26HFP Vs Moreirense3-0
12/03/26AVfB Stuttgart Vs FP1-2
08/03/26ABenfica Vs FP2-2

Sporting CPSporting CP

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26HSC Vs Benfica1-2
15/04/26AArsenal Vs SC0-0
11/04/26AEstrela Vs SC0-1
07/04/26HSC Vs Arsenal0-1
03/04/26HSC Vs Santa Clara4-2
22/03/26AAlverca Vs SC1-4
17/03/26HSC Vs Bodo/Glimt5-0
11/03/26ABodo/Glimt Vs SC3-0
07/03/26ASC Braga Vs SC2-2
03/03/26HSC Vs FC Porto1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FC Porto
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLW2.48
HomeWWDDW2.69
AwayDWWWL2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %78%85%71%
AVG goals2.542.692.38
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %22%27%17%
Scored1.982.231.71
Conceded0.560.460.67
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet52%58%46%
Corners8.608.688.52
Cards5.565.285.87
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL2.32
HomeWWWLL2.56
AwayDLWWD2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%84%60%
AVG goals3.203.323.08
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %70%76%64%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored2.342.721.96
Conceded0.860.601.12
BTTS56%40%72%
Clean Sheet40%56%24%
Corners10.009.8310.17
Cards5.364.506.26

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
0
0001.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
460
190721982.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
288
10593902.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
215
10046691.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
109
5117411.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
61
375191.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
28
108101.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
73
3426131.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
32
129111.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
57
2510221.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
52
1813221.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
46
1710190.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
53
215261.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
27
124101.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
34
910150.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
29
77151.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
25
73150.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
19
6770.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
20
6590.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 17. Who played

FC Porto
100'Pablo Rosario7.0
100'Diogo Costa7.5
100'Jan Bednarek7.3
100'Jakub Kiwior7.0
100'Victor Froholdt6.6
100'William Gomes6.7
80'Alberto Costa6.6
71'Oskar Pietuszewski7.9
71'Deniz Gül6.3
71'Gabri Veiga6.3
58'Thiago Silva7.2
31'Alan Varela6.3
29'Pepê6.9
29'Terem Moffi6.9
29'Rodrigo Mora6.6
20'Seko Fofana6.7
Sporting CP
100'Hidemasa Morita7.2
100'Rui Silva7.9
100'Luis Javier Suárez6.7
100'Geny Catamo7.3
100'Eduardo Quaresma7.2
100'Ousmane Diomande7.3
80'Maximiliano Araújo7.0
80'Geovany Quenda6.6
79'Francisco Trincão6.6
51'Morten Hjulmand6.3
11'Gonçalo Inácio6.6
89'Zeno Debast7.3
49'Daniel Bragança6.9
21'Luis Guilherme6.9
20'Pedro Gonçalves6.5
20'Ricardo Mangas6.3
Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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