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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Result & Analysis

Date: 30/03/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 1-2
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Vs
43%
25%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fiorentina win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied 33.6% · @ 2.85
Edge
+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.35
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan win✓ Hit
32.1%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.53
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L23L51W02L11D21W00D43W22D11DH·INT28/01A·LEC02/02H·FRO11/02A·BOL14/02A·EMP18/02H·LAZ26/02A·TOR02/03A·MAC07/03H·AS 10/03H·MAC14/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.032.000.941.071.14
vs Stronger (3)1.001.000.001.003.001.00
vs Similar (16)1.191.002.001.120.380.88
vs Weaker (11)2.271.092.670.671.801.60
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W24L23L11D10W42W10W31W31WH·NAP11/02H·REN15/02A·MON18/02A·REN22/02H·ATA25/02A·LAZ01/03H·SLA07/03H·EMP10/03A·SLA14/03A·HEL17/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.301.730.872.071.73
vs Stronger (2)1.002.002.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (14)1.861.291.751.002.001.67
vs Weaker (14)2.071.211.670.672.381.62
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.7%
@ 1.94+13.6%
Under 2.5
37.3%
@ 1.87-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.0%
No
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2 ✓
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
Fiorentina goals ↓
AC Milan goals →
01234
05.0%4.8%4.4%2.2%0.8%
15.8%11%7.6%3.8%1.4%
26.0%8.9%6.7%3.3%1.2%
33.5%5.2%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.5%2.3%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fiorentina goals (down), columns = AC Milan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.47
AC Milan
1.97
Juventus
1.87
Atalanta
1.82
Bologna
1.79
AS Roma
1.66
Lazio
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.39
Torino
1.39
Genoa
1.29
Monza
1.18
Lecce
1.00
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Empoli
0.95
Frosinone
0.92
Sassuolo
0.79
Salernitana
0.45
Fiorentina is 0.39 points worse than AC Milan in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
AC Milan
2.00
Atalanta
1.89
AS Roma
1.71
Fiorentina
1.61
Napoli
1.45
Bologna
1.42
Juventus
1.42
Lazio
1.29
Genoa
1.18
Frosinone
1.16
Sassuolo
1.13
Cagliari
1.11
Monza
1.03
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Torino
0.95
Salernitana
0.84
Lecce
0.84
Empoli
0.76
Fiorentina is 0.39 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.58
Juventus
0.82
Bologna
0.84
Torino
0.95
Lazio
1.03
Atalanta
1.11
Genoa
1.18
Fiorentina
1.21
AS Roma
1.21
Napoli
1.26
AC Milan
1.29
Monza
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.34
Udinese
1.39
Lecce
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Cagliari
1.79
Frosinone
1.82
Sassuolo
1.97
Salernitana
2.13
Fiorentina is 0.08 goals better than AC Milan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Napoli
61%
Bologna
58%
Fiorentina
58%
Inter
57%
AC Milan
57%
AS Roma
55%
Monza
54%
Lazio
53%
Torino
52%
Atalanta
51%
Frosinone
50%
Juventus
48%
Lecce
45%
Hellas Verona
44%
Salernitana
44%
Genoa
44%
Empoli
44%
Sassuolo
44%
Cagliari
42%
Udinese
39%
Fiorentina is 0.6 percentage points better than AC Milan in terms of average possession (58% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FiorentinaFiorentina

For 5.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

15078232541323322531767105915357413H·MACH·AS A·MACA·TORH·LAZA·EMPA·BOLH·FROA·LECH·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

7012252443223323133233767255465H·MACH·AS A·MACA·TORH·LAZA·EMPA·BOLH·FROA·LECH·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

29091610151513131315121415811168151361225252826272919242818H·MACH·AS A·MACA·TORH·LAZA·EMPA·BOLH·FROA·LECH·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1505353114845253210378212881512781210103A·HELA·SLAH·EMPH·SLAA·LAZH·ATAA·RENA·MONH·RENH·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

140313414216814212411147531453612A·HELA·SLAH·EMPH·SLAA·LAZH·ATAA·RENA·MONH·RENH·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

36089121018138919171216101210118991217223117362822211721A·HELA·SLAH·EMPH·SLAA·LAZH·ATAA·RENA·MONH·RENH·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FiorentinaFiorentina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.98.24.14.14.226.626.626.6
vs Stronger (5)9.012.06.03.44.52.723.525.521.5
vs Similar (30)8.99.08.84.44.74.127.727.527.9
vs Weaker (15)7.87.97.73.82.94.925.525.425.5
% over line31%36%25%58%56%60%81%82%80%
% under line69%64%75%42%44%40%19%18%20%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.19.44.33.25.423.722.424.8
vs Stronger (2)12.511.014.06.06.06.023.018.028.0
vs Similar (25)9.18.59.64.53.35.524.922.427.5
vs Weaker (23)9.19.68.64.02.85.322.223.121.5
% over line45%45%45%60%40%80%62%45%77%
% under line55%55%55%40%60%20%38%55%23%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Salernitana
11.1
Sassuolo
10.8
Udinese
10.7
Empoli
10.6
Napoli
10.5
Frosinone
10.3
Monza
10.1
Juventus
9.8
Atalanta
9.7
Hellas Verona
9.7
Cagliari
9.7
Inter
9.6
Lecce
9.4
Lazio
9.2
Bologna
9.2
Genoa
9.1
Torino
9.0
AC Milan
9.0
Fiorentina
8.7
AS Roma
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.7
Lecce
5.7
AS Roma
5.6
Salernitana
5.3
Udinese
5.2
AC Milan
5.1
Monza
5.1
Genoa
4.9
Bologna
4.9
Fiorentina
4.9
Napoli
4.9
Hellas Verona
4.9
Frosinone
4.8
Torino
4.8
Cagliari
4.6
Juventus
4.5
Empoli
4.5
Sassuolo
4.3
Atalanta
4.3
Inter
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lecce
29.0
Hellas Verona
26.6
Empoli
26.6
Udinese
26.5
Salernitana
26.5
Monza
26.3
Cagliari
26.0
Frosinone
26.0
Fiorentina
26.0
Genoa
25.6
Torino
25.6
AS Roma
25.4
Bologna
25.0
Atalanta
24.2
AC Milan
23.9
Lazio
23.9
Juventus
23.7
Inter
23.5
Napoli
23.4
Sassuolo
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.0%
Under 3.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FiorentinaFiorentina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L30W01L10W01L00D12L10W00DH·INT28/01A·LEC02/02H·FRO11/02A·BOL14/02A·EMP18/02H·LAZ26/02A·TOR02/03A·MAC07/03H·AS 10/03H·MAC14/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.810.500.430.57
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.380.560.620.620.120.50
vs Weaker (11)1.090.361.330.170.800.60
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W02L11D11D00D31W10W30W10WH·NAP11/02H·REN15/02A·MON18/02A·REN22/02H·ATA25/02A·LAZ01/03H·SLA07/03H·EMP10/03A·SLA14/03A·HEL17/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.000.331.000.60
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)1.140.431.120.381.170.50
vs Weaker (14)0.930.430.830.171.000.62
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FiorentinaFiorentina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D21W01L01L20W00D31W12L11DH·INT28/01A·LEC02/02H·FRO11/02A·BOL14/02A·EMP18/02H·LAZ26/02A·TOR02/03A·MAC07/03H·AS 10/03H·MAC14/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.190.440.640.57
vs Stronger (3)0.670.000.000.002.000.00
vs Similar (16)0.810.441.380.500.250.38
vs Weaker (11)1.180.731.330.501.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W22D12L00D10W11D00D01L21WH·NAP11/02H·REN15/02A·MON18/02A·REN22/02H·ATA25/02A·LAZ01/03H·SLA07/03H·EMP10/03A·SLA14/03A·HEL17/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.830.730.531.071.13
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.710.860.620.620.831.17
vs Weaker (14)1.140.790.830.501.381.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards89.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls87.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.584.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards77.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls76.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolás González33%
Giacomo Bonaventura21%
Lucas Beltrán20%
Lucas Martínez Quarta18%
Gaetano Castrovilli17%
Antonín Barák16%
Andrea Belotti14%
M'Bala Nzola14%
Jonathan Ikoné13%
Riccardo Sottil12%
Luca Ranieri10%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Cristiano Biraghi7%
Josip Brekalo6%
Christian Kouamé6%
Alfred Duncan5%
Arthur5%
Maxime López3%
Michael Kayode3%
Yerry Mina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Dodô0%
Fabiano Parisi0%
Gino Infantino0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Ranieri38%
Lucas Martínez Quarta31%
Cristiano Biraghi29%
Yerry Mina20%
Pietro Comuzzo20%
Rolando Mandragora20%
Giacomo Bonaventura18%
Nikola Milenković18%
Fabiano Parisi17%
Jonathan Ikoné15%
Lucas Beltrán13%
Gino Infantino12%
Nicolás González10%
Michael Kayode9%
Arthur7%
Pietro Terracciano7%
M'Bala Nzola7%
Antonín Barák6%
Riccardo Sottil6%
Dodô6%
Christian Kouamé6%
Alfred Duncan5%
Andrea Belotti5%
Maxime López3%
Josip Brekalo0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetano Castrovilli33%
Davide Faraoni20%
Cristiano Biraghi17%
Gino Infantino12%
Alfred Duncan11%
Giacomo Bonaventura10%
Nicolás González10%
M'Bala Nzola9%
Riccardo Sottil9%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Fabiano Parisi7%
Antonín Barák6%
Michael Kayode6%
Lucas Martínez Quarta5%
Jonathan Ikoné5%
Luca Ranieri5%
Arthur5%
Lucas Beltrán4%
Christian Kouamé3%
Nikola Milenković2%
Maxime López0%
Yerry Mina0%
Josip Brekalo0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Dodô0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolás González45%
Andrea Belotti18%
Christian Kouamé11%
Jonathan Ikoné10%
Antonín Barák10%
Giacomo Bonaventura5%
M'Bala Nzola5%
Lucas Beltrán4%
Rolando Mandragora4%
Riccardo Sottil3%
Alfred Duncan3%
Lucas Martínez Quarta3%
Luca Ranieri3%
Nikola Milenković2%
Arthur0%
Maxime López0%
Yerry Mina0%
Josip Brekalo0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Cristiano Biraghi0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Dodô0%
Fabiano Parisi0%
Gino Infantino0%
Michael Kayode0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chaka Traorè33%
Olivier Giroud33%
Christian Pulišić29%
Rafael Leão29%
Luka Jović25%
Jan-Carlo Simić25%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek21%
Noah Okafor17%
Matteo Gabbia12%
Fikayo Tomori11%
Theo Hernández11%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Yacine Adli3%
Alessandro Florenzi3%
Davide Calabria3%
Simon Kjær0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rade Krunić36%
Álex Jiménez33%
Fikayo Tomori31%
Matteo Gabbia29%
Theo Hernández27%
Luka Romero25%
Yunus Musah23%
Alessandro Florenzi21%
Malick Thiaw20%
Filippo Terracciano20%
Tijjani Reijnders19%
Davide Calabria18%
Yacine Adli16%
Rafael Leão16%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek15%
Luka Jović14%
Pierre Kalulu9%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Mike Maignan7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Olivier Giroud4%
Simon Kjær4%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Noah Okafor3%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão24%
Olivier Giroud20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Theo Hernández18%
Alessandro Florenzi15%
Davide Calabria10%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Noah Okafor8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Yunus Musah5%
Simon Kjær4%
Matteo Gabbia4%
Luka Jović4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Yacine Adli3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Mike Maignan2%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olivier Giroud35%
Rafael Leão20%
Alessandro Florenzi13%
Theo Hernández11%
Christian Pulišić8%
Noah Okafor6%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek5%
Luka Jović4%
Tijjani Reijnders2%
Yacine Adli0%
Davide Calabria0%
Samuel Chukwueze0%
Simon Kjær0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
CAG (31)
€134m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
Fiorentina's squad is €255m less valuable than AC Milan's (€330m vs €585m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
Fiorentina's attack is €98m less valuable than AC Milan's (€125m vs €223m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
Fiorentina's midfield is €46m less valuable than AC Milan's (€107m vs €153m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
Fiorentina's defence is €111m less valuable than AC Milan's (€98m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FIO wins
1
Draws
5
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fiorentina vs AC Milan · H/A from FIO
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/23AAC Milan Vs FIO1-0
04/03/23HFIO Vs AC Milan2-1
13/11/22AAC Milan Vs FIO2-1
01/05/22AAC Milan Vs FIO1-0
20/11/21HFIO Vs AC Milan4-3
21/03/21HFIO Vs AC Milan2-3
29/11/20AAC Milan Vs FIO2-0
22/02/20HFIO Vs AC Milan1-1

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/24HFIO Vs Maccabi Haifa1-1
10/03/24HFIO Vs AS Roma2-2
07/03/24AMaccabi Haifa Vs FIO3-4
02/03/24ATorino Vs FIO0-0
26/02/24HFIO Vs Lazio2-1
18/02/24AEmpoli Vs FIO1-1
14/02/24ABologna Vs FIO2-0
11/02/24HFIO Vs Frosinone5-1
02/02/24ALecce Vs FIO3-2
28/01/24HFIO Vs Inter0-1

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/24AHellas Verona Vs AM1-3
14/03/24ASlavia Praha Vs AM1-3
10/03/24HAM Vs Empoli1-0
07/03/24HAM Vs Slavia Praha4-2
01/03/24ALazio Vs AM0-1
25/02/24HAM Vs Atalanta1-1
22/02/24ARennes Vs AM3-2
18/02/24AMonza Vs AM4-2
15/02/24HAM Vs Rennes3-0
11/02/24HAM Vs Napoli1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.58
HomeLWWDD1.88
AwayLLDDW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals2.943.162.72
Over 1.5 %76%84%68%
Over 2.5 %54%68%40%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.722.081.36
Conceded1.221.081.36
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners8.578.918.20
Cards4.934.685.20
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.94
HomeWWDWW2.20
AwayLLWWW1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%68%48%
AVG goals2.902.603.20
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %54%44%64%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored1.761.841.68
Conceded1.140.761.52
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners9.249.109.36
Cards5.123.956.18

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3894
76%
2.5
8922+67
2.9
84%
55%
34%
9.8
47%
3.4
41%
22.1
58%
694
2202322422.30.6
57%
2AC MilanAC Milan3875
58%
2.0
7649+27
3.3
74%
66%
50%
9.0
39%
4.9
66%
22.6
50%
585
2231532092.01.3
57%
3JuventusJuventus3871
50%
1.9
5431+23
2.2
63%
39%
18%
9.6
53%
4.3
59%
23.1
63%
569
2401401891.40.8
48%
4AtalantaAtalanta3869
55%
1.8
7242+30
3.0
89%
66%
29%
9.4
42%
4.0
56%
23.2
63%
438
1581281531.91.1
51%
5BolognaBologna3868
47%
1.8
5432+22
2.3
74%
42%
16%
8.7
34%
5.5
82%
25.3
74%
218
10434791.40.8
58%
6AS RomaAS Roma3863
47%
1.7
6546+19
2.9
79%
61%
34%
8.8
42%
5.2
71%
24.0
66%
471
1381182151.71.2
55%
7LazioLazio3861
47%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.8
39%
5.4
79%
24.5
71%
240
6086931.31.0
53%
8FiorentinaFiorentina3860
45%
1.6
6146+15
2.8
74%
53%
34%
8.3
32%
4.3
63%
24.7
76%
330
125107981.61.2
58%
9NapoliNapoli3853
34%
1.4
5548+7
2.7
79%
55%
32%
9.8
58%
4.7
69%
22.6
66%
459
2061011521.41.3
61%
10TorinoTorino3853
34%
1.4
3636+0
1.9
63%
32%
11%
8.4
42%
4.3
68%
23.8
66%
144
4346540.90.9
52%
11GenoaGenoa3849
32%
1.3
4545+0
2.4
68%
42%
18%
9.1
45%
4.7
68%
23.7
74%
182
5444841.21.2
44%
12MonzaMonza3845
29%
1.2
3951-12
2.4
66%
39%
21%
9.5
50%
4.6
62%
23.4
53%
70
2624201.01.3
54%
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3838
24%
1.0
3851-13
2.3
63%
50%
24%
9.4
45%
4.7
76%
26.8
76%
57
1314301.01.3
44%
14LecceLecce3838
21%
1.0
3254-22
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.5
47%
5.1
70%
26.6
87%
72
2016370.81.4
45%
15UdineseUdinese3837
16%
1.0
3753-16
2.4
79%
37%
21%
10.7
68%
5.0
70%
24.8
79%
157
4639721.01.4
39%
16EmpoliEmpoli3836
24%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
63%
32%
13%
10.8
68%
4.3
71%
27.7
89%
20
11640.81.4
44%
17CagliariCagliari3836
21%
0.9
4268-26
2.9
84%
58%
32%
10.3
53%
4.5
58%
23.8
66%
134
5131521.11.8
42%
18FrosinoneFrosinone3835
21%
0.9
4469-25
3.0
79%
61%
37%
10.3
66%
4.2
70%
22.9
63%
84
3427241.21.8
50%
19SassuoloSassuolo3830
18%
0.8
4375-32
3.1
79%
55%
32%
10.7
66%
4.1
65%
21.3
39%
194
9053521.12.0
44%
20SalernitanaSalernitana3817
5%
0.4
3281-49
3.0
87%
66%
32%
10.9
68%
4.6
63%
24.9
84%
0
0000.82.1
44%
Italy: Serie A 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches