Fiorentina vs AS Roma Result & Analysis

Fiorentina are tipped to win, with the model picking a home victory at 45%. The expected goal total sits at 2.5, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.8% chance. Fiorentina, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.5 goals for and 1.4 against, while Roma, on the road, average only 0.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The draw probability is 29%, the away win 26%. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 94.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.1%, Over 21.5 fouls at 88.1%, Over 23.5 fouls at 78.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.2%, Under 3.5 at 76.2% (hit), Under 11.5 corners at 75.2%, and Over 1.5 at 72.1% (hit). Fiorentina’s recent form shows a 5-game string of two losses, a draw and a win, while Roma are on a five-game winning streak, having beaten Lecce 4-0.

Fiorentina’s win extends their recent run, while Roma’s five-game winning streak was halted. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the home win, matching the model’s pick and its 45% probability. The model’s selection for Under 3.5 goals hit, with a 76.2% chance, and the Over 1.5 goals pick also succeeded, backed by a 72.1% probability. All suggested picks were settled, and the model’s forecast proved accurate. The match saw Fiorentina’s 1.5 average goals for and 1.4 conceded, contrasting with Roma’s 0.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. The predicted 2-goal total was close to the actual tally, underscoring the model’s solid performance.