This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Caen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.30
1.07
0.67
1.33
1.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.33
0.75
1.25
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.30
1.18
0.45
1.42
2.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.7%
@ 2.01+1.9%
Under 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.77-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
Martigues goals ↓
Caen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
9.6%
8.1%
4.0%
1.5%
1
7.0%
13%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
2
4.6%
6.9%
5.2%
2.6%
1.0%
3
1.7%
2.6%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Martigues goals (down), columns = Caen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Martigues is 0.22 points better than Caen in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Martigues is 0.14 goals worse than Caen in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Martigues is 0.08 goals better than Caen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Martigues is 10.2 percentage points worse than Caen in terms of average possession (44% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Martigues
For 3.6 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Caen
For 6.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Martigues
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
10.3
11.0
9.6
3.9
3.0
4.8
24.8
23.2
26.4
vs Stronger (9)
11.3
11.0
11.8
3.4
3.0
4.0
24.3
23.2
25.8
vs Similar (1)
1.0
-
1.0
8.0
-
8.0
29.0
-
29.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
60%
40%
50%
40%
60%
70%
40%
100%
% under line
50%
40%
60%
50%
60%
40%
30%
60%
0%
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Caen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.4
3.7
3.3
4.0
28.1
28.1
28.0
vs Stronger (9)
9.7
8.2
12.7
3.2
2.7
4.3
24.7
23.5
27.0
vs Similar (39)
9.8
9.6
9.9
3.7
3.5
4.0
28.5
29.5
27.6
vs Weaker (2)
10.0
7.0
13.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
34.0
30.0
38.0
% over line
54%
50%
58%
48%
42%
54%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
52%
58%
46%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RED Star FC 93
11.0
Rodez
10.4
Martigues
10.3
Clermont Foot
10.0
Lorient
10.0
Caen
9.8
Dunkerque
9.7
Estac Troyes
9.7
Red Star
9.6
Grenoble
9.6
Guingamp
9.5
Laval
9.5
Annecy
9.5
Bastia
9.5
Paris FC
9.4
Amiens
9.3
PAU
9.2
Metz
9.1
Ajaccio
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
4.6
Clermont Foot
4.4
Martigues
4.3
PAU
4.2
Lorient
4.2
Dunkerque
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Estac Troyes
4.0
Annecy
3.9
Laval
3.9
Ajaccio
3.9
Metz
3.8
Guingamp
3.7
Rodez
3.7
Caen
3.7
Red Star
3.6
Paris FC
3.4
Grenoble
3.4
RED Star FC 93
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.1
Laval
28.0
Ajaccio
27.9
Amiens
27.8
Annecy
27.2
Red Star
26.9
Bastia
26.8
Guingamp
26.7
Estac Troyes
26.7
PAU
26.6
Dunkerque
25.2
Paris FC
25.0
Martigues
24.8
Metz
24.7
Lorient
24.6
Rodez
24.4
Clermont Foot
24.4
Grenoble
23.5
RED Star FC 93
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.0%
Under 9.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.0%
Under 21.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Martigues
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.20
0.40
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.78
0.20
0.40
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Caen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.40
0.27
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.57
0.36
0.27
0.58
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Martigues over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Martigues
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
1.30
0.00
1.40
0.40
1.20
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.44
0.00
1.40
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Caen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.67
0.40
0.67
1.20
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.74
0.82
0.18
0.83
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Martigues over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Martigues
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oualid Orinel23%
Karim Tlilli22%
Oucasse Mendy17%
Abdoul Diawara17%
Romain Montiel12%
Steve Solvet11%
Milan Robin10%
Ayoub Amraoui7%
Alain Ipiele6%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Simon Falette0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francois Kembolo Luyeye31%
Luan Gautier29%
Yan Marillat27%
Steve Solvet22%
Leandro Morante19%
Nathanaël Saintini18%
Akim Djaha18%
Yanis Hadjem17%
Simon Falette12%
Samir Belloumou12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Jeremy Aymes8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Yannick Etilé8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Milan Robin6%
Alain Ipiele6%
Romain Montiel6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Bevic Moussiti Oko4%
Ayoub Amraoui3%
Mahamé Siby0%
Steve Shamal0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayoub Amraoui13%
Alain Ipiele9%
Yanis Hadjem8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Nathanaël Saintini7%
Romain Montiel6%
Mohamed Bamba6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Samir Belloumou4%
Steve Solvet4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Oucasse Mendy3%
Milan Robin3%
Simon Falette3%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romain Montiel12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Karim Tlilli9%
Oualid Orinel8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Steve Solvet4%
Simon Falette0%
Mahamé Siby0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Milan Robin0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Alain Ipiele0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Caen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Mendy23%
Gabin Tomé20%
Ilyes Najim15%
Noe Lebreton12%
Samuel Grandsir11%
Kalifa Coulibaly11%
Bilal Brahimi10%
Tidiam Gomis10%
Romain Thomas8%
Godson Kyeremeh7%
Yann M'Vila5%
Lorenzo Rajot4%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Valentin Henry0%
Mathias Autret0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Yannis Clementia0%
Mickaël Le Bihan0%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua0%
Emmanuel Ntim0%
Hugo Vandermersch0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Lamine Sy0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
Didí Gaucho0%
Diabe Bolumbu0%
Robin Verhaeghe0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Léo Milliner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yann M'Vila37%
Hugo Vandermersch33%
Daylam Meddah33%
Didí Gaucho33%
Héliohdino Tavares33%
Jules Gaudin27%
Valentin Henry26%
Quentin Lecoeuche24%
Yannis Clementia22%
Noe Lebreton21%
Lorenzo Rajot15%
Diabe Bolumbu14%
Alexandre Mendy13%
Léo Milliner12%
Brahim Traoré12%
Emmanuel Ntim11%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda11%
Kalifa Coulibaly11%
Mathias Autret8%
Mickaël Le Bihan8%
Bilal Brahimi6%
Romain Thomas4%
Godson Kyeremeh3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Samuel Grandsir0%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua0%
Lamine Sy0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Robin Verhaeghe0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Gabin Tomé0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua17%
Bilal Brahimi16%
Yassine Benrahou14%
Tidiam Gomis10%
Jules Gaudin9%
Ilyes Najim8%
Godson Kyeremeh7%
Alexandre Mendy6%
Yann M'Vila5%
Mickaël Le Bihan4%
Brahim Traoré4%
Didí Gaucho3%
Noe Lebreton3%
Kalifa Coulibaly0%
Valentin Henry0%
Mathias Autret0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Lorenzo Rajot0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Romain Thomas0%
Yannis Clementia0%
Samuel Grandsir0%
Emmanuel Ntim0%
Hugo Vandermersch0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Lamine Sy0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
Diabe Bolumbu0%
Robin Verhaeghe0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Gabin Tomé0%
Léo Milliner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandre Mendy39%
Samuel Grandsir11%
Emmanuel Ntim11%
Yann M'Vila5%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Mickaël Le Bihan4%
Godson Kyeremeh3%
Bilal Brahimi3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Kalifa Coulibaly0%
Valentin Henry0%
Mathias Autret0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Lorenzo Rajot0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Romain Thomas0%
Yannis Clementia0%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua0%
Hugo Vandermersch0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Lamine Sy0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
Didí Gaucho0%
Diabe Bolumbu0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Robin Verhaeghe0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Gabin Tomé0%
Léo Milliner0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Paris FC
Metz
Dunkerque
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
PAU
Grenoble
Amiens
Ajaccio
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
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