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Rio Ave vs Estrela Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 2-1
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Vs
45%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Ave win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied 41.0% · @ 2.26
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.31
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estrela win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 31.1% · @ 2.98
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L31W02L04L03L03L12L01L00D10WA·SPO28/12H·CAS04/01H·BEN17/01A·NAC25/01H·ARO31/01A·SC 08/02H·MOR16/02A·FC 22/02H·FAM01/03A·TON09/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.801.001.501.122.06
vs Stronger (7)0.432.290.672.330.252.25
vs Similar (23)1.261.651.091.271.422.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W33D05L04L11D10W12L02L00D22DA·FAM27/12H·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01A·ALV31/01H·SAN07/02A·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.771.201.470.872.07
vs Stronger (9)1.112.331.251.501.003.00
vs Similar (21)1.001.521.181.450.801.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.4%
@ 1.98+0.5%
Under 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.75-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
Rio Ave goals ↓
Estrela goals →
01234
08.9%7.0%4.5%1.6%0.4%
110%14%6.6%2.4%0.6%
28.5%9.2%4.9%1.8%0.5%
34.2%4.6%2.5%0.9%0.2%
41.6%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rio Ave goals (down), columns = Estrela goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Rio Ave is 0.18 points better than Estrela in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Rio Ave is 0.09 goals worse than Estrela in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Rio Ave is 0.03 goals worse than Estrela in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Rio Ave is 0.1 percentage points better than Estrela in terms of average possession (47% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Rio AveRio Ave

For 3.9 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

140235511071195555311941851011810101014139A·TONH·FAMA·FC H·MORA·SC H·AROA·NACH·BENH·CASA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

60542321311213121115654233312A·TONH·FAMA·FC H·MORA·SC H·AROA·NACH·BENH·CASA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 15.9 · Total 27.8

⚠️ Fouls

41014151915161417248141115618128102361329343041222624203319A·TONH·FAMA·FC H·MORA·SC H·AROA·NACH·BENH·CASA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

For 3.2 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1608975329362916145749816811911751213H·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUIH·SANA·ALVA·BENH·ESTH·SC A·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

80121334234121433221533475537538H·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUIH·SANA·ALVA·BENH·ESTH·SC A·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 13.8 · Total 29.5

⚠️ Fouls

340161791712171813159171724101612148161833262931243434282234H·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUIH·SANA·ALVA·BENH·ESTH·SC A·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Rio AveRio Ave

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.19.84.84.84.828.328.328.3
vs Stronger (13)10.49.811.43.94.23.425.426.024.4
vs Similar (36)9.710.39.35.15.05.129.529.629.3
vs Weaker (1)11.011.0-5.05.0-27.027.0-
% over line57%57%58%60%67%54%89%91%88%
% under line43%43%42%40%33%46%11%9%12%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.89.35.25.64.831.130.831.5
vs Stronger (16)9.19.09.14.85.44.230.629.931.2
vs Similar (34)9.18.89.45.45.65.231.431.131.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line35%29%42%74%71%77%96%92%100%
% under line65%71%58%26%29%23%4%8%0%
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Nacional
10.4
Torreense
10.1
Benfica
9.9
Rio Ave
9.7
Tondela
9.4
Sporting CP
9.4
Casa Pia
9.3
Arouca
9.3
Estrela
9.3
Guimaraes
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.2
AVS
9.1
Estoril
8.7
Santa Clara
8.7
FC Porto
8.6
Alverca
8.5
SC Braga
8.5
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.4
Casa Pia
5.8
Sporting CP
5.8
Torreense
5.8
Arouca
5.7
Benfica
5.6
FC Porto
5.5
Guimaraes
5.5
AVS
5.4
Estrela
5.3
Famalicao
5.3
Nacional
5.3
Moreirense
5.1
Rio Ave
5.1
GIL Vicente
5.1
Tondela
5.0
Alverca
4.9
Estoril
4.5
SC Braga
4.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.1
Estrela
30.9
Santa Clara
30.8
Moreirense
30.4
Guimaraes
29.6
Casa Pia
28.4
Rio Ave
28.4
GIL Vicente
28.2
Estoril
27.7
Arouca
27.2
Sporting CP
27.2
FC Porto
26.9
AVS
26.9
Nacional
26.9
Benfica
26.0
SC Braga
24.7
Tondela
22.1
Alverca
19.5
Torreense
14.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.5%
Under 3.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.6%
Under 21.5
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rio AveRio Ave

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L01L01L01L11D01L00D00DA·SPO28/12H·CAS04/01H·BEN17/01A·NAC25/01H·ARO31/01A·SC 08/02H·MOR16/02A·FC 22/02H·FAM01/03A·TON09/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.570.860.440.69
vs Stronger (7)0.291.140.671.670.000.75
vs Similar (23)0.570.650.550.640.580.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D11D01L01L00D00D10W01L00D01LA·FAM27/12H·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01A·ALV31/01H·SAN07/02A·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.600.530.401.07
vs Stronger (9)0.561.000.500.500.601.40
vs Similar (21)0.480.710.640.550.300.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rio AveRio Ave

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L31W00D03L02L02L01L00D00D10WA·SPO28/12H·CAS04/01H·BEN17/01A·NAC25/01H·ARO31/01A·SC 08/02H·MOR16/02A·FC 22/02H·FAM01/03A·TON09/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.030.430.640.691.38
vs Stronger (7)0.141.140.000.670.251.50
vs Similar (23)0.701.000.550.640.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D04L03L11D10W02L01L00D21WA·FAM27/12H·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01A·ALV31/01H·SAN07/02A·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.970.600.930.471.00
vs Stronger (9)0.561.330.751.000.401.60
vs Similar (21)0.520.810.550.910.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls97.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls93.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls86.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls76.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.6%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Rio Ave
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jalen Blesa46%
Clayton37%
André Luiz32%
Dario Špikić7%
Diogo Bezerra6%
Brandon Aguilera5%
Jakub Brabec4%
Tamás Nikitscher4%
Andreas Ndoj3%
Marios Vrousai3%
Olinho3%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Omar Richards0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karem Zoabi40%
Clayton37%
Andreas Ndoj30%
Cezary Miszta29%
Gustavo Mancha29%
Francisco Petrasso26%
Ryan Guilherme25%
Jonathan Panzo21%
Brandon Aguilera21%
Tamás Nikitscher19%
Diogo Bezerra18%
Jakub Brabec16%
André Luiz16%
Nelson Abbey15%
Tamblé Monteiro15%
Omar Richards14%
Julien Lomboto14%
Marios Vrousai13%
João Graça12%
João Tomé11%
Ennio Van Der Gouw10%
Georgios Liavas8%
Jalen Blesa8%
Olinho6%
Nikolaos Athanasiou6%
Antonis Papakanellos5%
Dario Špikić3%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Marc Gual0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Luiz26%
Clayton16%
Diogo Bezerra12%
Tamblé Monteiro8%
Dario Špikić7%
Andreas Ndoj7%
Marios Vrousai6%
Nikolaos Athanasiou6%
Georgios Liavas4%
Nelson Abbey4%
Tamás Nikitscher4%
Olinho3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Brandon Aguilera0%
Omar Richards0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Jalen Blesa0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jalen Blesa31%
André Luiz21%
Clayton16%
Diogo Bezerra12%
Marios Vrousai10%
Tamblé Monteiro8%
Andreas Ndoj3%
Olinho3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Brandon Aguilera0%
Dario Špikić0%
Omar Richards0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Tamás Nikitscher0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas29%
Jovane Cabral22%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Abraham Marcus16%
Stefan Leković11%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Paulo Moreira10%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Ianis Stoica9%
Eddy Doué7%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Jorge Meireles0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahya Kalley33%
Eddy Doué29%
Oumar Ngom27%
Jefferson Encada27%
Atanas Chernev27%
João Moisés Gastão25%
Paulo Moreira24%
Kevin Höög Jansson23%
Bernardo Schappo23%
Otavio23%
Stefan Leković22%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho22%
Sydney van Hooijdonk20%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Alisson Souza de Jesus20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Max Scholze18%
Guilherme Montóia18%
Rodrigo Pinho17%
Renan Ribeiro15%
Alex Sola12%
Ianis Stoica12%
Luan Patrick10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kikas0%
Bruno Langa0%
Alan Godoy0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral13%
Abraham Marcus13%
João Moisés Gastão12%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Oumar Ngom9%
Jorge Meireles9%
Jefferson Encada8%
Paulo Moreira7%
Kikas6%
Otavio5%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho4%
Jovane Cabral4%
Rodrigo Pinho3%
Ianis Stoica3%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
Eddy Doué0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Ianis Stoica6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Bernardo Schappo4%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
Eddy Doué0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Rio Ave's squad is €17m more valuable than Estrela's (€37m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Rio Ave's attack is €2m more valuable than Estrela's (€8m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Rio Ave's midfield is €5m more valuable than Estrela's (€8m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Rio Ave's defence is €10m more valuable than Estrela's (€21m vs €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
RA wins
2
Draws
1
EST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rio Ave vs Estrela · H/A from RA
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25AEstrela Vs RA1-2
05/05/25HRA Vs Estrela2-0
23/12/24AEstrela Vs RA1-0
14/04/24AEstrela Vs RA2-2
02/12/23HRA Vs Estrela1-1

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26ATondela Vs RA0-1
01/03/26HRA Vs Famalicao0-0
22/02/26AFC Porto Vs RA1-0
16/02/26HRA Vs Moreirense1-2
08/02/26ASC Braga Vs RA3-0
31/01/26HRA Vs Arouca0-3
25/01/26ANacional Vs RA4-0
17/01/26HRA Vs Benfica0-2
04/01/26HRA Vs Casa Pia3-1
28/12/25ASporting CP Vs RA4-0

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HEST Vs GIL Vicente2-2
28/02/26AAVS Vs EST0-0
20/02/26HEST Vs Tondela0-2
14/02/26AGuimaraes Vs EST2-1
07/02/26HEST Vs Santa Clara1-0
31/01/26AAlverca Vs EST1-1
25/01/26ABenfica Vs EST4-0
19/01/26HEST Vs Estoril0-5
03/01/26HEST Vs SC Braga3-3
27/12/25AFamalicao Vs EST2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.04
HomeWLLLD1.08
AwayLLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals2.782.712.85
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.121.121.12
Conceded1.661.581.73
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners9.9410.139.75
Cards5.094.965.21
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD0.90
HomeDLWLD1.04
AwayWLDLD0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%25%15%
AVG goals2.522.582.46
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %40%46%35%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored0.861.080.65
Conceded1.661.501.81
BTTS38%42%35%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.068.839.29
Cards5.425.585.25

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches