Annecy vs Guingamp Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity is the theme for this encounter, with both sides averaging 0.8 goals conceded at home for Annecy and 1.4 away for Guingamp. The model favours an away win, assigning 38% to Guingamp, 31% to a home victory and 32% to a draw. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.7% chance. Annecy’s home form shows modest scoring and conceding, while Guingamp’s away attack is stronger, scoring 1.5 goals on average against similar opposition. Suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 94.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 88.0%, Under 11.5 corners at 83.0%, Under 3.5 at 82.2% (hit), Under 5.5 cards at 80.2%, Over 23.5 fouls at 77.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.5%, and Under 10.5 corners at 74.0%. Both sides entered the match after a draw, with Annecy’s last game 1-1 against Metz and Guingamp’s 3-3 against Nantes.

The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Guingamp, who had been tipped to win with a 38% chance. The model’s call was wrong, as the game finished level. Annecy, fresh from a draw, managed to hold their opponents to a stalemate, extending their recent run of mixed results. The model had also predicted an under 3.5 total, a 82.2% probability, and that pick hit, keeping the goal tally below the expected 2.2. With the final score of 1-1, the match ended in a draw, confirming the model’s under-3.5 selection while missing its away-win prediction.