This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.23
1.50
0.69
1.64
1.86
vs Stronger (13)
1.54
2.08
1.33
1.00
1.71
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.59
0.59
1.60
0.50
1.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.7%
@ 2.12-3.8%
Under 2.5
59.3%
@ 1.70+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.3%
Under 3.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-2 ✓
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
PAU goals ↓
Bordeaux goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
1
8.7%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.1%
6.6%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
3
1.7%
2.2%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAU goals (down), columns = Bordeaux goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
PAU is 0.70 points worse than Bordeaux in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
PAU is 0.31 goals worse than Bordeaux in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.41).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
PAU is 0.76 goals worse than Bordeaux in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.69).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PAU
For 4.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bordeaux
For 3.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.7 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAU
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.7
8.9
2.3
2.3
2.2
26.3
27.0
25.8
vs Stronger (7)
7.0
5.5
8.0
2.9
2.0
3.5
26.0
22.0
28.7
vs Similar (35)
8.9
7.8
10.1
2.2
2.6
1.8
27.2
28.9
25.6
vs Weaker (8)
7.8
9.5
7.0
1.9
0.7
2.6
23.8
23.5
24.0
% over line
34%
23%
44%
32%
30%
33%
79%
69%
88%
% under line
66%
77%
56%
68%
70%
67%
21%
31%
12%
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.2
2.7
2.9
2.5
23.3
24.2
22.4
vs Stronger (32)
9.4
9.8
9.0
4.1
4.6
3.5
23.1
23.5
22.7
vs Similar (18)
9.5
7.0
12.0
0.3
0.2
0.4
26.0
34.0
18.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
47%
43%
36%
38%
33%
59%
60%
57%
% under line
55%
53%
57%
64%
62%
67%
41%
40%
43%
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.0
Nimes
9.5
Dijon
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Bordeaux
9.4
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.1
Paris FC
8.8
Valenciennes
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Niort
8.6
Amiens
8.6
Grenoble
8.3
Rouen
8.0
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.9
Annecy
7.0
Laval
2.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
8.0
Metz
4.5
Valenciennes
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Caen
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Grenoble
4.2
Guingamp
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.0
Rouen
4.0
Annecy
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
PAU
3.9
Bastia
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Amiens
3.8
Nimes
3.7
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
37.0
Valenciennes
31.6
Rouen
29.8
Caen
28.9
Rodez
28.3
Guingamp
28.0
Nimes
27.8
Niort
27.7
Bastia
27.5
Amiens
27.5
Dijon
27.0
Grenoble
26.9
PAU
26.9
Sochaux
26.0
Le Havre
25.7
Metz
25.5
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Bordeaux
23.5
Annecy
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.1%
Under 9.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.5%
Under 3.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.7%
Under 21.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAU
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.43
0.79
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.73
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.88
0.31
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
0.92
0.50
0.50
0.86
1.29
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.18
1.10
0.20
0.86
0.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAU
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.64
0.57
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.64
0.80
0.60
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
0.50
0.00
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bordeaux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.62
0.38
0.79
1.14
vs Stronger (13)
0.85
1.15
0.83
0.50
0.86
1.71
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.41
0.50
0.30
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAU
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yanis Begraoui39%
Mayron George23%
Mons Bassouamina18%
Henri Saivet18%
Pape Ibnou Ba12%
Nguyễn Quang Hải8%
Quentin Boisgard6%
Steeve Beusnard5%
Mohamed Yattara5%
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan4%
Charles Boli4%
Abzi Diyaeddine3%
Eddy Sylvestre3%
Erwin Koffi3%
Sessi D'Almeida0%
David Gomis0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Jovan Nišić0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Walid Jarmouni0%
Nathan Monzango0%
Massamba Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Kouassi28%
Abzi Diyaeddine28%
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan27%
Sessi D'Almeida26%
David Gomis25%
Nathan Monzango25%
Antoine Batisse18%
Noé Sow17%
Steeve Beusnard16%
Jean Ruiz14%
Eddy Sylvestre12%
Quentin Boisgard11%
Mohamed Yattara10%
Mons Bassouamina9%
Jovan Nišić8%
Mayron George8%
Charles Boli7%
Henri Saivet6%
Yanis Begraoui6%
Alexandre Olliero5%
Erwin Koffi0%
Nguyễn Quang Hải0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Pape Ibnou Ba0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Walid Jarmouni0%
Massamba Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Quentin Boisgard11%
Eddy Sylvestre9%
David Gomis8%
Erwin Koffi8%
Mayron George8%
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan8%
Henri Saivet6%
Xavier Kouassi6%
Steeve Beusnard5%
Charles Boli4%
Abzi Diyaeddine3%
Mons Bassouamina3%
Mohamed Yattara0%
Sessi D'Almeida0%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Jovan Nišić0%
Nguyễn Quang Hải0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Pape Ibnou Ba0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Walid Jarmouni0%
Nathan Monzango0%
Massamba Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yanis Begraoui28%
Pape Ibnou Ba25%
Quentin Boisgard11%
Mons Bassouamina9%
David Gomis8%
Mohamed Yattara5%
Mayron George4%
Charles Boli4%
Henri Saivet3%
Jean Ruiz3%
Sessi D'Almeida0%
Erwin Koffi0%
Steeve Beusnard0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Antoine Batisse0%
Jovan Nišić0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan0%
Nguyễn Quang Hải0%
Abzi Diyaeddine0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Walid Jarmouni0%
Nathan Monzango0%
Massamba Ndiaye0%
Bordeaux
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Maja32%
Zuriko Davitashvili17%
Aliou Badji14%
Dilane Bakwa14%
Marvin de Lima14%
Yoann Barbet14%
Lenny Pirringuel12%
Fransérgio11%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet10%
Malcom Bokele7%
Alberth Elis6%
Danylo Ignatenko6%
Vital Nsimba3%
Stian Gregersen3%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Junior Onana0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Emeric Depussay0%
Tom Lacoux0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Junior Mwanga0%
Lucas Rocrou0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Johaneko Louis Jean0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Danylo Ignatenko35%
Dilane Bakwa20%
Tom Lacoux18%
Yoann Barbet17%
Aliou Badji14%
Fransérgio14%
Stian Gregersen14%
Vital Nsimba13%
Johaneko Louis Jean12%
Clément Michelin9%
Emeric Depussay8%
Josh Maja8%
Malcom Bokele7%
Alberth Elis6%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet5%
Zuriko Davitashvili3%
Junior Mwanga3%
Gaetan Poussin3%
Rafał Strączek0%
Junior Onana0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Lenny Pirringuel0%
Lucas Rocrou0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vital Nsimba20%
Dilane Bakwa20%
Josh Maja14%
Clément Michelin13%
Aliou Badji11%
Yoann Barbet7%
Zuriko Davitashvili7%
Alberth Elis6%
Junior Mwanga3%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Fransérgio3%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Junior Onana0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Emeric Depussay0%
Tom Lacoux0%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Lenny Pirringuel0%
Lucas Rocrou0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Johaneko Louis Jean0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Maja27%
Aliou Badji18%
Dilane Bakwa14%
Fransérgio11%
Yoann Barbet10%
Zuriko Davitashvili10%
Danylo Ignatenko9%
Alberth Elis6%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet5%
Vital Nsimba3%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Junior Onana0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Emeric Depussay0%
Tom Lacoux0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Lenny Pirringuel0%
Junior Mwanga0%
Lucas Rocrou0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Johaneko Louis Jean0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Caen
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Rouen
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
Dijon
Nimes
Niort