Rodez vs Saint Etienne Result & Analysis

Saint Etienne are the clear favourites, with a 50% chance of victory, compared with 23% for a Rodez win and 27% for a draw. The model expects roughly 2.7 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 12.8% chance. Rodez, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded; Saint Etienne, on the road to a weaker side, averages 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 96.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 91.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 88.5%, Over 23.5 fouls at 83.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 81.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.8% and Over 1.5 goals at 76.5%, which has hit. The match is poised for a tight contest, with Saint Etienne’s recent four-game winning streak and Rodez’s cautious, evenly balanced form setting the stage.

The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Saint Étienne, who had been on a four-game winning run and were tipped to win with a 50% chance. The model’s pick was wrong, as the match finished in a stalemate. The home side, Rodez, had been coming off a draw and had a 23% chance of victory, while the draw probability was 27%. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5, hit, with a 76.5% probability. The most likely total was two goals, a 26% chance, and the most common scoreline was 1-1 at 12.8%. In the end, the pre-match favourite failed to deliver.