
Kelty Hearts statistics for 2025/26: goals scored and conceded, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and fouls, plus the squad's top scorers, form, results and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model probabilities.
In 2025/26, Kelty Hearts are scoring 0.92 and conceding 1.72 goals a game across 36 matches – 50% of their games go over 2.5 and 56% see both teams score. They win 17%, draw 31% and lose 53%, keeping a clean sheet in 14% of games. On the ball they average 3.8 corners, 2.61 cards, 10.6 fouls a game.
| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games (30) | 0.97 | 1.57 | 1.14 | 1.43 | 0.81 | 1.69 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.10 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.78 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Inverness CT | 36 | 74 | 58% | 2.1 | 60 | 24 | +36 | 2.3 | 72% | 39% | 25% | 9.1 | 39% | 3.5 | 47% | 22.2 | 53% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 36 | 67 | 50% | 1.9 | 50 | 27 | +23 | 2.1 | 64% | 33% | 22% | 8.6 | 39% | 5.2 | 81% | 27.0 | 81% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | H Hamilton | 36 | 55 | 44% | 1.5 | 54 | 42 | +12 | 2.7 | 75% | 58% | 33% | 9.7 | 44% | 3.2 | 42% | 20.4 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | QO Queen of Sth | 36 | 54 | 39% | 1.5 | 58 | 47 | +11 | 2.9 | 92% | 53% | 33% | 8.9 | 33% | 5.2 | 75% | 24.3 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | - |
| 5 | A Alloa | 36 | 53 | 42% | 1.5 | 50 | 38 | +12 | 2.4 | 67% | 44% | 22% | 9.4 | 42% | 4.5 | 61% | 23.4 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | - |
| 6 | Peterhead | 36 | 43 | 33% | 1.2 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 3.1 | 92% | 67% | 42% | 9.5 | 44% | 5.0 | 78% | 27.9 | 86% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | - |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 42 | 31% | 1.2 | 48 | 67 | -19 | 3.2 | 89% | 61% | 39% | 8.6 | 31% | 3.7 | 61% | 23.7 | 69% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | - |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 38 | 25% | 1.1 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 2.4 | 69% | 39% | 22% | 9.4 | 44% | 3.5 | 47% | 22.3 | 53% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | - |
| 9 | East Fife | 36 | 36 | 25% | 1.0 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 2.6 | 78% | 50% | 22% | 9.6 | 47% | 3.4 | 50% | 22.8 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | - |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 29 | 17% | 0.8 | 33 | 62 | -29 | 2.6 | 86% | 50% | 22% | 9.4 | 42% | 4.7 | 75% | 23.8 | 61% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | - |
| 11 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 4.0 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | - |
| 12 | Clyde | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 3.2 | 100% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 13 | Spartans | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2.0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - |
| 14 | Forfar | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - |
| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (18) | 9.1 | 9.8 | 8.4 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 5.7 | 23.0 | 22.7 | 23.3 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 8.6 | 9.6 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 22.8 | 21.7 | 23.9 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 11.0 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 23.8 | 26.0 | 21.5 |
| % over line (9.5/3.5/21.5) | 39% | 44% | 33% | 67% | 56% | 78% | 61% | 56% | 67% |
| % under line | 61% | 56% | 67% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 39% | 44% | 33% |
| Player | Pos | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cammy Cooper | Left Winger | – | €400k |
| Ricco Diack | Centre-Forward | – | €100k |
| Sam Fisher | Centre-Back | – | €100k |
| Lucas McCormick | Centre-Forward | – | €50k |
| Liam McLeish | Centre-Forward | €100k | – |
| Liam Russell | Goalkeeper | €50k | – |
| Sam Cleall-Harding | Centre-Back | €100k | – |
| Metric | 2026/27 | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2023/24 | 2022/23 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | – | 0.92 | 1.11 | 1.33 | 1.08 | ▼ |
| Conceded / game | – | 1.72 | 1.28 | 1.75 | 1.50 | ▲ |
| Over 1.5 | – | 86% | 75% | 78% | 75% | ▲ |
| Over 2.5 | – | 50% | 42% | 61% | 58% | ▼ |
| Over 3.5 | – | 22% | 25% | 44% | 19% | ▲ |
| BTTS | – | 56% | 39% | 58% | 56% | ▲ |
| Clean sheets | – | 14% | 39% | 14% | 28% | ▼ |
| Win % | – | 17% | 31% | 33% | 28% | ▼ |
| Draw % | – | 31% | 31% | 22% | 28% | ▲ |
| Points / game | – | 0.81 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.11 | ▼ |
| Corners / game | – | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 5.2 | ▼ |
| Shots / game | – | 7.4 | 7.7 | 8.7 | 8.8 | ▼ |
| Shots on target | – | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.6 | ▼ |
| Fouls / game | – | 10.6 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 12.2 | ▼ |
| Cards / game | – | 2.61 | 1.67 | 1.69 | 2.28 | ▲ |
| Yellows / game | – | 2.50 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 2.25 | ▲ |
| Reds / game | – | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.03 | ▲ |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | vs Cove Rangers | 0-2 | L |
| 02 May | @ Peterhead | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Jul | @ Queen of the South | 1-1 | D |
| 14 Jul | vs Queen's Park | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Aberdeen | 0-3 | L |
| 01 Aug | @ Forfar | 0-1 | L |
| 08 Aug | vs Stirling | 3-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Elgin | 1-4 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Dumbarton | 3-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Stranraer | 0-2 | L |