Italy · Tier 1 · 35 teams · 2026/27

Italy - Serie A

01 Overview 02 Team analytics 03 Goal environment 04 Discipline 05 Corners & shots 06 Market character 07 Current season vs history 08 Current standings 09 Upcoming games 10 Top players

Italy - Serie A stats, table & predictions – 2026/27

Italy - Serie A statistics for 2026/27: goals per game, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and squad values for every team. See the Italy - Serie A table, weekly form trends, team analytics and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model win probabilities. At 2.45 goals a game, Italy - Serie A is one of the lower-scoring leagues we cover, with both teams scoring in 35% of matches – dive into Italy - Serie A scoring trends, team form, corner and card averages and squad values below.

In 2026/27, Italy - Serie A is averaging 2.45 goals a game across 20 matches – 45% of games go over 2.5 and 35% see both teams score. Home teams win 40%, draws land 5% and away teams win 55%. Matches average 8.0 corners, 3.05 cards, 22.3 fouls. Squads are worth €276m on average.

01Overview📊

How Italy - Serie A behaves relative to the 126 European leagues Pythia simulates. Bars show the last 12 matchweeks.

n=20

Goals / Game

2.45

-0.62 vs avg · #111 of 126

n=20

Over / Under 1.5

70% / 30%

-9.4pp vs avg · #109 of 126

n=20

Over / Under 2.5

45% / 55%

-13.2pp vs avg · #109 of 126

n=20

Over / Under 3.5

20% / 80%

-16.0pp vs avg · #116 of 126

n=20

BTTS Yes / No

35% / 65%

-17.9pp vs avg · #118 of 126

n=20

Corners / Game

8.0

-1.45 vs avg · #43 of 126

n=20

Fouls / Game

22.3

-2.32 vs avg · #37 of 126

n=20

Cards / Game

3.05

+1.37 vs avg · #46 of 126

Result split

40%

55%

Home wins Draws Away wins

02Team analytics👥

Team ⇅	Goals / Game ⇅	Over 1.5 ⇅	Under 1.5 ⇅	Over 2.5 ⇅	Under 2.5 ⇅	Over 3.5 ⇅	Under 3.5 ⇅	BTTS - Yes ⇅	BTTS - No ⇅	Clean Sheet % ⇅	Scored 1st half % ⇅	Scored 2nd half % ⇅	Cards / Game ⇅	Fouls / Game ⇅	Corners / Game ⇅	Squad Value ⇅	Attack Value ⇅	Defense Value ⇅
1AS Roma	4.00	100%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100%	100%	3.00	21.0	4.0	€471m	€138m	€215m
2Inter	3.00	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	100%	50%	3.50	15.0	10.0	€694m	€220m	€242m
3AC Milan	2.50	100%	0%	50%	50%	0%	100%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	0%	100%	2.50	19.0	5.0	€585m	€223m	€209m
4Juventus	1.50	50%	50%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%	50%	50%	4.00	33.5	13.5	€569m	€240m	€189m
5Atalanta	2.00	50%	50%	50%	50%	0%	100%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50%	100%	1.00	21.0	5.5	€438m	€158m	€153m
6Lazio	1.00	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%	50%	50%	4.50	30.0	10.0	€240m	€60m	€93m
7Udinese	3.50	100%	0%	50%	50%	50%	50%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100%	0%	2.00	23.0	8.5	€157m	€46m	€72m
8Como	2.50	100%	0%	50%	50%	0%	100%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	50%	50%	2.00	19.0	10.0	€488m	€261m	€144m
9Frosinone	2.00	50%	50%	50%	50%	0%	100%	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%	50%	50%	5.00	34.0	14.0	€84m	€34m	€24m
10Napoli	2.50	100%	0%	50%	50%	0%	100%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50%	50%	1.00	14.0	8.0	€459m	€206m	€152m
11Sassuolo	3.00	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	100%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	50%	100%	4.00	20.0	7.5	€194m	€90m	€52m
12Cagliari	1.00	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%	0%	50%	2.50	14.0	8.0	€134m	€51m	€52m
13Lecce	3.00	100%	0%	50%	50%	50%	50%	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%	0%	50%	3.00	18.5	5.5	€72m	€20m	€37m
14Torino	3.00	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	100%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	50%	50%	2.50	20.0	6.5	€144m	€43m	€54m
15Bologna	1.00	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0%	0%	4.50	30.0	8.5	€218m	€104m	€79m
16Parma	1.50	50%	50%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0%	0%	3.00	25.5	7.0	€142m	€35m	€46m
17Genoa	1.50	50%	50%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0%	0%	1.00	18.5	6.5	€182m	€54m	€84m
18Monza	5.00	100%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100%	50%	2.50	20.5	6.0	€70m	€26m	€20m
19Venezia	2.00	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0%	50%	4.00	19.5	6.0	€117m	€39m	€47m
20Fiorentina	3.50	100%	0%	100%	0%	50%	50%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0%	0%	5.00	30.0	9.0	€330m	€125m	€98m

03Goal environment⚽

Total goals per match (% of games)

30%

25%

10%

04Discipline🟨

n=20

Fouls / Game

22.3

-2.32 vs avg · #37 of 126

n=20

Yellows / Game

3.05

n=20

Reds / Game

–

n=20

Cards / Game

3.05

+1.37 vs avg · #46 of 126

05Corners & shots🚩

n=20

Corners / Game

8.0

-1.45 vs avg · #43 of 126

n=20

Shots / Game

27.1

n=20

Shots on Target

8.2

n=20

Home Advantage

-8.5 pts

-11.86 vs avg · #110 of 126

06Market character🎯

Pythia exclusive

Hit Rate

73/100

Pro-Picks hit rate here: 73% of our ≥60% confidence picks won. #29 of 126.

Home win

40%

-2.1pp vs avg · #80 of 126

Draw rate

5.0%

-16.7pp vs avg · #122 of 126

Away win

55%

+18.7pp vs avg · #12 of 126

07Current season vs history📈

Metric	2022/23	2023/24	2024/25	2025/26	2026/27
Goals / game	2.57	2.61	2.56	2.43	2.45
Over 1.5	75%	74%	74%	70%	70%
Under 1.5	25%	26%	26%	30%	30%
Over 2.5	46%	49%	48%	46%	45%
Under 2.5	54%	51%	52%	54%	55%
Over 3.5	24%	26%	26%	22%	20%
Under 3.5	76%	74%	74%	78%	80%
BTTS - Yes	50.4%	52.4%	51.6%	45.3%	35.0%
BTTS - No	49.6%	47.6%	48.4%	54.7%	65.0%
Clean Sheet %	27.4%	27.8%	27.9%	32.1%	32.5%
Cards / game	0.00	5.58	5.16	5.08	3.05
Fouls / game	–	24.1	25.1	25.3	22.3
Corners / game	–	9.6	9.3	8.8	8.0

08Current standings🏆

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	AS Roma	2	6	100%	3.0	8	0	+8	4.0	100%	100%	100%	4.0	0%	3.0	50%	21.0	50%	471	138	118	215	4.0	0.0	56%
2	Inter	2	6	100%	3.0	5	1	+4	3.0	50%	50%	50%	10.0	50%	3.5	50%	15.0	0%	694	220	232	242	2.5	0.5	60%
3	AC Milan	2	6	100%	3.0	4	1	+3	2.5	100%	50%	0%	5.0	0%	2.5	50%	19.0	0%	585	223	153	209	2.0	0.5	52%
4	Juventus	2	6	100%	3.0	3	0	+3	1.5	50%	0%	0%	13.5	100%	4.0	100%	33.5	100%	569	240	140	189	1.5	0.0	58%
5	Atalanta	2	6	100%	3.0	3	1	+2	2.0	50%	50%	0%	5.5	0%	1.0	0%	21.0	50%	438	158	128	153	1.5	0.5	55%
6	Lazio	2	6	100%	3.0	2	0	+2	1.0	0%	0%	0%	10.0	50%	4.5	50%	30.0	100%	240	60	86	93	1.0	0.0	50%
7	Udinese	2	4	50%	2.0	4	3	+1	3.5	100%	50%	50%	8.5	50%	2.0	0%	23.0	100%	157	46	39	72	2.0	1.5	46%
8	Como	2	4	50%	2.0	3	2	+1	2.5	100%	50%	0%	10.0	50%	2.0	0%	19.0	50%	488	261	83	144	1.5	1.0	62%
9	Frosinone	2	3	50%	1.5	3	1	+2	2.0	50%	50%	0%	14.0	100%	5.0	100%	34.0	100%	84	34	27	24	1.5	0.5	-
10	Napoli	2	3	50%	1.5	3	2	+1	2.5	100%	50%	0%	8.0	0%	1.0	0%	14.0	0%	459	206	101	152	1.5	1.0	59%
11	Sassuolo	2	3	50%	1.5	3	3	+0	3.0	100%	100%	0%	7.5	0%	4.0	100%	20.0	0%	194	90	53	52	1.5	1.5	46%
12	Cagliari	2	3	50%	1.5	1	1	+0	1.0	0%	0%	0%	8.0	50%	2.5	0%	14.0	0%	134	51	31	52	0.5	0.5	46%
13	Lecce	2	3	50%	1.5	2	4	-2	3.0	100%	50%	50%	5.5	0%	3.0	50%	18.5	0%	72	20	16	37	1.0	2.0	42%
14	Torino	2	0	0%	0.0	2	4	-2	3.0	100%	100%	0%	6.5	0%	2.5	50%	20.0	0%	144	43	46	54	1.0	2.0	44%
15	Bologna	2	0	0%	0.0	0	2	-2	1.0	0%	0%	0%	8.5	50%	4.5	50%	30.0	100%	218	104	34	79	0.0	1.0	55%
16	Parma	2	0	0%	0.0	0	3	-3	1.5	50%	0%	0%	7.0	50%	3.0	50%	25.5	50%	142	35	60	46	0.0	1.5	44%
17	Genoa	2	0	0%	0.0	0	3	-3	1.5	50%	0%	0%	6.5	0%	1.0	0%	18.5	50%	182	54	44	84	0.0	1.5	49%
18	Monza	2	0	0%	0.0	3	7	-4	5.0	100%	100%	100%	6.0	0%	2.5	50%	20.5	50%	70	26	24	20	1.5	3.5	-
19	Venezia	2	0	0%	0.0	0	4	-4	2.0	100%	0%	0%	6.0	0%	4.0	100%	19.5	0%	117	39	31	47	0.0	2.0	-
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0%	0.0	0	7	-7	3.5	100%	100%	50%	9.0	50%	5.0	100%	30.0	100%	330	125	107	98	0.0	3.5	51%

Italy - Serie A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

09Upcoming games📅

Fri 04 Sep 18:45Genoa v Como

Sat 05 Sep 13:00Fiorentina v Torino

46%

29%

25%