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EnglandEngland · Tier 1 · 30 teams · 2026/27
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Premier League

01 Overview02 Team analytics03 Goal environment04 Discipline05 Corners & shots06 Market character07 Current season vs history08 Current standings09 Upcoming games10 Top players

Premier League stats, table & predictions – 2026/27

Premier League statistics for 2026/27: goals per game, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and squad values for every team. See the Premier League table, weekly form trends, team analytics and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model win probabilities. At 3.10 goals a game, Premier League is a mid-table league for goals we cover, with both teams scoring in 50% of matches – dive into Premier League scoring trends, team form, corner and card averages and squad values below.

In 2026/27, Premier League is averaging 3.10 goals a game across 20 matches – 55% of games go over 2.5 and 50% see both teams score. Home teams win 50%, draws land 20% and away teams win 30%. Matches average 9.2 corners, 4.25 cards, 22.6 fouls. Squads are worth €625m on average.

01Overview📊

How Premier League behaves relative to the 126 European leagues Pythia simulates. Bars show the last 12 matchweeks.

n=20
Goals / Game
3.10
+0.03 vs avg · #51 of 126
2.813.621.033.1
n=20
Over / Under 1.5
80% / 20%
+0.6pp vs avg · #67 of 126
80%891180200100
n=20
Over / Under 2.5
55% / 45%
-3.2pp vs avg · #78 of 126
55%673350500100
n=20
Over / Under 3.5
35% / 65%
-1.0pp vs avg · #65 of 126
35%227850500100
n=20
BTTS Yes / No
50% / 50%
-2.9pp vs avg · #85 of 126
50%336770300100
n=20
Corners / Game
9.2
-0.20 vs avg · #30 of 126
81112639
n=20
Fouls / Game
22.6
-1.97 vs avg · #34 of 126
25121223323
n=20
Cards / Game
4.25
+2.57 vs avg · #32 of 126
3.414.124.034.2
Result split
50%
20%
30%
Home wins Draws Away wins
02Team analytics👥
TeamGoals / GameOver 1.5Under 1.5Over 2.5Under 2.5Over 3.5Under 3.5BTTS - YesBTTS - NoClean Sheet %Scored 1st half %Scored 2nd half %Cards / GameFouls / GameCorners / GameSquad ValueAttack ValueDefense Value
4.00
100%0%100%0%
50%
50%100.0%0.0%0.0%50%100%3.0020.09.5€1326m€635m€531m
2.00
50%50%50%50%
0%
100%0.0%100.0%100.0%50%100%3.0023.08.0€1406m€608m€508m
1.50
50%50%0%100%
0%
100%0.0%100.0%100.0%50%50%4.0019.07.5€105m€22m€52m
6.00
100%0%100%0%
100%
0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100%100%4.5018.510.5€1407m€614m€514m
2.50
100%0%50%50%
0%
100%50.0%50.0%50.0%100%50%3.0024.510.5€565m€228m€209m
3.00
100%0%50%50%
50%
50%50.0%50.0%50.0%50%100%5.5027.512.0€568m€234m€210m
2.00
100%0%0%100%
0%
100%50.0%50.0%50.0%50%100%3.0022.510.5€459m€174m€123m
1.50
50%50%0%100%
0%
100%50.0%50.0%50.0%0%100%3.5023.58.0€427m€166m€163m
5.50
100%0%100%0%
100%
0%50.0%50.0%50.0%100%50%5.0019.59.0€620m€190m€249m
4.50
100%0%50%50%
50%
50%50.0%50.0%0.0%50%50%3.5019.09.5€929m€432m€261m
2.00
50%50%50%50%
0%
100%50.0%50.0%50.0%50%50%2.5025.57.5€392m€157m€125m
5.00
100%0%100%0%
50%
50%100.0%0.0%0.0%100%100%3.5022.510.0€280m€130m€85m
4.00
100%0%100%0%
100%
0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0%100%7.0027.08.0€980m€518m€260m
2.50
50%50%50%50%
50%
50%50.0%50.0%0.0%50%50%4.5026.06.5€551m€263m€236m
2.50
100%0%50%50%
0%
100%100.0%0.0%0.0%100%0%4.0023.514.0€573m€285m€182m
3.00
50%50%50%50%
50%
50%50.0%50.0%0.0%50%50%3.5022.08.5€329m€178m€123m
2.00
50%50%50%50%
0%
100%0.0%100.0%0.0%0%0%3.5021.09.0€237m€85m€99m
3.50
100%0%50%50%
50%
50%50.0%50.0%0.0%0%0%2.0019.06.0€505m€229m€182m
2.50
50%50%50%50%
50%
50%0.0%100.0%0.0%50%0%5.0022.06.5€536m€220m€156m
2.50
100%0%50%50%
0%
100%0.0%100.0%0.0%0%0%2.5027.513.0€920m€250m€388m
03Goal environment

Total goals per match (% of games)

0%
0
20%
1
25%
2
20%
3
15%
4
10%
5
0%
6
10%
7+
04Discipline🟨
n=20
Fouls / Game
22.6
-1.97 vs avg · #34 of 126
25121223323
n=20
Yellows / Game
3.75
 
3.314.124.033.8
n=20
Reds / Game
0.50
 
1.0010.0020.50
n=20
Cards / Game
4.25
+2.57 vs avg · #32 of 126
3.414.124.034.2
05Corners & shots🚩
n=20
Corners / Game
9.2
-0.20 vs avg · #30 of 126
81112639
n=20
Shots / Game
27.3
 
27129214327
n=20
Shots on Target
8.6
 
8192239
n=20
Home Advantage
11.4 pts
+8.09 vs avg · #32 of 126
06Market character🎯
Pythia exclusive
Hit Rate
70/100
Pro-Picks hit rate here: 70% of our ≥60% confidence picks won. #119 of 126.
Home win
50%
+7.9pp vs avg · #30 of 126
Draw rate
20.0%
-1.7pp vs avg · #74 of 126
Away win
30%
-6.3pp vs avg · #87 of 126
07Current season vs history📈
Metric2022/232023/242024/252025/262026/27Trend
Goals / game2.853.282.932.753.10
Over 1.576%86%81%79%80%
Under 1.524%14%19%21%20%
Over 2.553%65%57%55%55%
Under 2.547%35%43%45%45%
Over 3.532%44%34%28%35%
Under 3.568%56%66%72%65%
BTTS - Yes51.6%61.6%57.4%56.1%50.0%
BTTS - No48.4%38.4%42.6%43.9%50.0%
Clean Sheet %27.2%20.7%23.4%25.5%25.0%
Cards / game3.664.324.193.854.25
Fouls / game21.522.122.121.622.6
Corners / game10.110.810.310.09.2
08Current standings🏆
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
09Upcoming games📅
Fri 04 Sep 19:00Ipswich v LiverpoolPythia
28%
25%
47%
1
5.64
X
4.79
2
1.50
Sat 05 Sep 11:30Newcastle v BournemouthPythia
46%
24%
30%
1
2.13
X
3.66
2
3.24
Sat 05 Sep 14:00Nottingham Forest v TottenhamPythia
32%
29%
39%
1
2.40
X
3.39
2
2.90
Sat 05 Sep 14:00Brighton v LeedsPythia
57%
25%
18%
1
1.96
X
3.51
2
3.85
Sat 05 Sep 14:00Fulham v Crystal PalacePythia
45%
26%
28%
1
2.30
X
3.37
2
3.11
Sat 05 Sep 14:00Brentford v SunderlandPythia
62%
23%
15%
1
1.64
X
3.90
2
5.34
Sat 05 Sep 14:00Manchester City v CoventryPythia
75%
17%
8%
1
1.17
X
7.87
2
13.94
Sat 05 Sep 16:30Hull v Aston VillaPythia
23%
29%
48%
1
4.07
X
3.62
2
1.88
Sun 06 Sep 13:00Everton v Manchester UnitedPythia
33%
28%
39%
1
3.27
X
3.53
2
2.14
Sun 06 Sep 15:30Arsenal v ChelseaPythia
45%
28%
27%
1
1.70
X
3.78
2
5.00
Sat 12 Sep 14:00Crystal Palace v IpswichPythia
49%
25%
27%
1
1.89
X
3.60
2
3.93
Sat 12 Sep 14:00Chelsea v HullPythia
69%
19%
11%
1
1.23
X
6.06
2
11.65
Sat 12 Sep 14:00Liverpool v FulhamPythia
59%
23%
18%
1
1.46
X
4.71
2
6.01
Sat 12 Sep 14:00Aston Villa v Nottingham ForestPythia
50%
26%
24%
1
1.95
X
3.56
2
3.75
Sat 12 Sep 14:00Bournemouth v BrentfordPythia
42%
29%
29%
1
2.57
X
3.50
2
2.57
Sat 12 Sep 16:30Tottenham v EvertonPythia
31%
29%
40%
1
1.98
X
3.50
2
3.67
Sat 12 Sep 19:00Sunderland v ArsenalPythia
20%
30%
51%
1
6.61
X
4.11
2
1.50
Sun 13 Sep 13:00Coventry v BrightonPythia
33%
28%
39%
1
4.31
X
3.76
2
1.77
Sun 13 Sep 15:30Manchester United v Manchester CityPythia
34%
24%
41%
1
3.05
X
3.78
2
2.13
Mon 14 Sep 19:00Leeds v NewcastlePythia
37%
26%
37%
1
-
X
-
2
-
10Top players
Top 15 by each measure this season. Rating needs 450+ minutes, so a high mark off two appearances does not outrank a full season.

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